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Warming up: Agenda setting
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Definition of economics:
What’s wrong with the “standard” definition à la Robbins (1932)? the science which studies human behavior as a relationship btw ends and scarce means which have alternative uses
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Varieties of definitions As well as
Varieties of methodologies Varieties of ontologies/subject-matters Varieties of core assumptions Varieties of policies Different schools
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Classical political economy
Neoclassic Marxism Institutionalism Austrian ….
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History of economic thought
A linear one? Jumps? Parallel developments?
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E.g. Neoclassical school
Even within a school of thought, you may not be able to find a coherent approach. E.g. Neoclassical school Walrasian GE Marshalian PE
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Then, how to judge whether a theory is a good one? Do we want to
Explain? Predict? Intervene?
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We need a criterion! What about
Knowledge must be based on experience. Hence, a theory is to be judged only according to the accuracy of its predictions.
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All genuine knowledge is based on sense experience and extended by means of systematic experimentation alone (Positivism of Comte) Friedman 1953: Predictions are crucial; the plausibility of our assumptions is of no importance.
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Popper’s falsificationism (Logic of Scientific Discovery)
Science is to be defined as a practice designed to further knowledge by generating falsifiable hypotheses. Tests for truth and falsity are asymmetric in character
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METHOD: Generation of such hypotheses and their empirical testing
THEORIES: Scientific if they generate empirically falsifiable hypotheses SCIENTIFIC LAWS: are established as long as they are ready for empirical testing and hence rejection but not yet rejected. Science consists of yet-to-be-disproved hypotheses
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Economists should also start behaving like responsible empirical scientists!
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Anything wrong with positivism?
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“Light critiques” What about experimental, observational or statistical errors? Not to mention how to run experiments in social sciences Usually theories are a complex bundle of components (and not a single proposition); hence in the case of a disconfirmation, which particular component needs to be rethought?
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“Hard critiques” The impossible task of separating the facts from the theory Impossibilities of judging economic theories by the facts Inherent uncertainties
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An alternative approach
Facts do not exist except in conceptual frameworks. Theory and facts are from the same framework. Kuhn (Structure of Scientific Revolutions) describes a system of foundational ideas as a paradigm.
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Normal science: Problem solving activity in the context of an orthodox theoretical framework
Revolutionary science: Overthrown of one of the framework by another in consequence of repeated refutations and the collapse of credibility of a theory
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