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A User’s Perspective on Airborne Observations
Bruce Landsberg Senior Safety Advisor AOPA Air Safety Institute
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Weather Accidents Turbines are doing nicely Technology is better But …
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Wx Acc. Trend – Mostly Flat
VFR into IMC 63 in ‘2003 50 in ‘2012 80% Fatal
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2012 – 50 Wx Accidents Total VFR into IMC = 46%
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How Many Came Close???
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AIRMETs!!
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“VFR Not Recommended” Just take the Bus !!
Not now Not tomorrow Not next week Just take the Bus !!
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Crying Wolf ? Is it Really IMC? … Over the entire forecast area
… Over the entire time … Really???? Forecasts amended timely ?????
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Failure to WARN
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IMC in the Sunny South
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Only two PIREPs, but …
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METARs = Confirm
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Lotta ice: 020-FL180???
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Well, maybe not so much …
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Ice – SFC to 140 ?
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Not so much, but …
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Y’all be Careful … Orographic lifting Moisture aloft Temperature fluctuations
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Datalink Great for some things But not all… Pix of datalink Wx.
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Move GA into the 1990s Where is this Going?
Observations – Ground & Aloft Training – Pilots & Forecasters It’s about GOOD forecasts It’s about timely updates/changes It’s about verification Move GA into the 1990s
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PIREPS … “FAA should put a much higher priority on acquiring PIREPs …”
NATCA Need a pilot cockpit shot w/ headset….
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New World – Old World
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Icing & IMC … Tops? Bases? Is there really ice? What’s the Viz?
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Hundreds of PIREPs needed!
Downlink via ADS-B - using EFB? Eliminate the middle-person Near Real Time Null reports vital …
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Cut the Chit-Chat Direct to the system – All Users
Pilots, ATC, AWC, AFSS VFR aircraft can play Freqs uncluttered Real time
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Waiting for Airborne Obs …
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Good Info = Good Decisions
Important for forecasters Critical for pilots Confirm or Deny Failure to Warn greatly reduced Improve Utility Save Lives.
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A User’s Perspective on Airborne Observations
Thank You!
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