1. Robert David Steele <bear@oss.net> NISA 15 Nov 02
Information Peacekeeping & The Future of Intelligence The United Nations, Smart Mobs, & the Seven Tribes
Robert David Steele
NISA 15 Nov 02

2. Abstract #1: Seven Tribes
Military
Law Enforcement
Business
Academic
National
NGO &
Media
Religions
& Clans

3. Abstract #2: ISO Standards
Generic to All Tribes
Open Source Collection
Multi-media processing
Analytic toolkits
Analytic tradecraft
Operations security
Defensive counterintelligence
Leadership skills
Training & culture skills
Unique to Some Tribes
National clandestine & covert collection, offensive CI
Military targeting, mobility
Police arrest & interrogation
Business fiscal accountability
Media attention-getting skills
NGO humanitarian values
Religious faith-based insights
Ethnic blood-based insights

4. Abstract #3: Multi-Lateral Sharing
80% of Global Intelligence Will Be Via:
Shared Collection--Open, Human, Technical
Shared Processing--Data Entry, Translation
Shared Analysis--Multi-cultural, indigenous
20% of National Intelligence Will Be Via:
Unilateral or bi-lateral secret collection
Unilateral or bi-lateral secret analysis

5. Abstract #4: Public Intelligence
Intelligence as mixed public-private good
Must be taught in all schools at all levels
Public intelligence will drive public policy
Greatest impact will be on total national budgets--allocations among the instruments of national power (less on military, more on diplomacy, intelligence, public health, etc.)
Art of the long view will re-emerge.

6. Abstract #5: UNODIN & IP Will take 10-25 years
UN DPI is a one-way road with 77 lanes
UN in denial on all aspects of intelligence
Goals: to change how Nations spend money and how UN does business

7. State of the Tribes Today
National %
Military %
Business %
Academic %
Law Enforcement 20%
NGO-Media %
Religious %
We have much to do.

8. Bottom-Up and Peer-to-Peer
TIME IMPACT SHORT
TIME IMPACT LONG
MULTI-CULTURAL & TRANS-NATIONAL EQUITIES
SINGLE-CULTURE SINGLE-ORGANIZATION EQUITIES
LEADERS DECIDE
PEOPLE DECIDE
TOP-DOWN
COMMAND & CONTROL
SECRET
SOURCES & METHODS
BOTTOM-UP
INFORMATION-SHARING
OPEN
OBVIOUS DETAIL
OBSCURE DETAIL
OLD
NEW

9. New Measures of Merit Open Source Collection Multi-Media Processing
Analytic Toolkits
Analytic Tradecraft
Defensive Security
Leadership
Training
Culture

10. Sharing the Burden Open Source Collection, Translation, Digitization
Distributed Processing
LINUX/OS as new standard for all tribes
XML Geo and open API as mandated standards
Generic analyst toolkit
Share leaders, training
Create global culture

11. Processing Desktop: Generic Analytic Functionalities
Conversion of Paper Documents to Digital Form
Automated Extraction of Data Elements From Text and Images
Standardizing and Converting Data Formats
Processing Images, Video, Audio, Signal Data
Automated Foreign Language Translation
Open Literature
Non-Text Data
Restricted Information
Detection of Alert Situations
Clustering and Linking of
Related Data
Statistical Analysis to Reveal Anomalies
Detection of Changing Trends
Interactive Search and Retrieval of Data
Graphic and Map-Based Visualization of Data
Modeling and Simulations
Collaborative Work
Notetaking and Organizing Ideas
Structured Argument Analysis
Desktop Publishing and Word Processing
Production of Graphics, Videos and Online Briefings
Revision Tracking and Realtime Group Review
Finished Intelligence and Reporting A B C

12. New Paradigm (1 of 2) OLD Policy Over Intelligence Unilateral
Mostly Secret
Technical Emphasis
Collection Emphasis
One-language filter
Mistakes hidden
Short-term thinking
NEW
Intelligence Over Policy
Multilateral
Mostly Public
Human Emphasis
Analysis Emphasis
Multi-lingual filters
Mistakes acknowledged
Long-term thinking

13. New Paradigm (2 of 2) NATIONAL One leader, 3 deputies Unite the tribes
Secret Collection
Open Collection
All-Source Analysis
Unite the tribes
Pool resources
Serve the people
GLOBAL
Multi-lateral Councils
Collection
Processing
Analysis
Unite the tribes
Regional Centers
Serve the people

14. Regional Intelligence Center
Deputy for Counterintelligence
Japan
Deputy for Covert Action
Thailand

15. Collective Individual Intelligence Harnessing Distributed Citizen Intelligence

16. Change in Time Focus 7th Generation Thinking
Public Health
Bacteria, Preventive Medicine
Cultures of Violence
Education & Mental Health
Water
Food
Energy
Accountability of Leaders Over the Longer Term

17. Information Peacekeeping #1 Changing What We Spend Money On
Public intelligence can change public spending priorities
Less on military, more on everything else
Global intelligence can create global security forces and funds for sustaining Earth and Peace

18. Information Peacekeeping #2 Changing When & How We Intervene
Public warning can change public policy
More Prevention
More Peacekeeping
More Education
More Long-Term Aid
Less Corruption
Less Censorship
We have a sacred duty.
“Inconvenient Warning” & “Warning Fatigue” Are Obstacles.

19. Information Peacekeeping #3 Changing Who Does the Thinking
Public, not elites, must be the final judge of global security values
Public intelligence will enable public understanding/action
Berto Jongman’s map is Reference A--we must all support him.

20. Information Peacekeeping #4 Changing Who Makes a Difference & How
Military
Law Enforcement
Business
Academic
National
NGO &
Media
Religions
& Clans

21. Information Peacekeeping #5 Changing How the World Views Intelligence
Weekly report
Distance learning
Virtual library
Expert Forum
Shared directory
Shared calendar
Shared budget
Shared “plot” (map)

22. Information Peacekeeping #6 Changing the Strategic Focus
Connectivity everywhere
Content is digitized
Coordination of standards and investments
C4 Security across all seven tribes--public safety at same level as safety of secrets

23. Conclusion
The new craft of intelligence is the best hope for world peace through a world brain.
A United Nations Open Decision Information Network (UNODIN) is a possibility.
We work for the public. Only by educating the public, creating Smart Nations, can secret and open intelligence endeavors hope to succeed.
Millions more will die before we get it right.
There is no time to waste--we must start now.

24. Headlines, Books, & Conferences
UN INTELLIGENCE: Does Not Exist, Will Not Exist, Until Secretary General Makes Intelligence the Second Half of the Planned Reform of the Department of Public Information

25. Information Peacekeeping