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Transparency of Process: Measuring Statistical Quality in the Sustainable Development Goals Jennifer Park UNECE 28 June 2018.

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Presentation on theme: "Transparency of Process: Measuring Statistical Quality in the Sustainable Development Goals Jennifer Park UNECE 28 June 2018."— Presentation transcript:

1 Transparency of Process: Measuring Statistical Quality in the Sustainable Development Goals
Jennifer Park UNECE 28 June 2018

2 Statistical quality as transparency in process
What makes this model different? Why are the SDGs a useful case study? What does the model tell us about quality for the SDGs? What strategies does the model recommend for future achievement?

3 1. Why think of transparency of process as a way to assess quality?
Incorporates a dynamic understanding of NSS and ISS (not static nodes in a system but flows between and across systems) Reflects progress as incremental Emphasizes value of official statistics as relationships of trust Orients assessment of quality beyond calculation to communication

4 How is progress measured? Arrows, not Boxes
High-level Political Forum (July each year) National Thematic Global (Statistics) UN SG Global progress report on SDGs (UN Secretariat) Financing for Development Forum Global SDG indicator database (UNSD) National voluntary reports (national governments) Regional reviews: key findings and lessons Statistical Annex Thematic reviews by major groups, international organizations Major groups and other stakeholders NGOs Research Businesses Local authorities Custodian Agencies/International Organizations Databases National Statistical Offices and Ministries National SDG strategies National SDG indicators Global SDG indicators

5 How do these features help us improve quality?
Improves understanding of (expanding) statistical systems and the unique roles of various (and emerging) actors Conceptualizes progress as achievable but constant “Success is not final. Failure is not fatal. It is the courage to continue that counts.” – Winston Churchill Extends thinking on the value of official statistics by viewing trust as dynamic and relationship-specific Allows quality to be achieved even when policy decisions differ

6 2. Why are the SDGs a useful case study?
The overall scope and ambition of the project Global statistics for 244 global indicators over 15 years The maturity of statistical indicators for some conceptual areas 61 (26%) indicators designated as Tier 2 (not yet routinely used) 84 (36%) Tier 3 (requiring conceptual work before use); 5 (2%) multiple tiers The number and range of actors involved 193 countries, 50 custodian agencies, countless stakeholders The high profile of these statistics to (local), national, and international policy making Voluntary national reviews and Secretary-General’s annual report

7 SDG Indicator Development Process
5. IAEG-SDG proposes REVISIONS (substantive changes) to indicators UNSC for approval. Stakeholders UNSC 4. Custodian agencies, working with stakeholders, propose revisions or refinements to iAEG-SDG 1. NSOs in UNSC create IAEG-SDG to create initial indicator framework IAEG-SDG 2. NSO staff in iAEG-SDG, with stakeholders and agencies, develop initial indicator list, tier system, and designate custodian agencies and their roles Custodian agency 3. Tiering designation guides initial work (e.g., conceptualization, piloting, etc.)

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9 Progress in SDG measurement--UNECE countries
National coordination NSOs, other ministries, policy makers, stakeholders ~ 30% have prepared and 19% are preparing national road maps (or workplan) National assessment of available statistics Including data available to produce statistics ~ 60% have completed and another 15% are preparing their assessments National plans to provide and communicate statistics for SDGs ~ 40% use and another 13% plan to use platforms to share SDG statistics ~ 60% have reported national progress through voluntary national reviews National plans to address data gaps ~ 75% report statistics for 50% or more of tier 1 indicators; about 30% for tier 2

10 Tiers 1 and 2 Indicator Statistics Availability by UNECE Region and Subregion (February 2018)
 6. Building Capacity for SDG Statistics Recommendation: Consider identifying regional/ subregional priorities for capacity development Tool: Evaluation of progress, HLG Survey results; GIST Indicator: Percent of indicators for which countries can report 50% or more of tier 1 indicators, and tier 2 indicators, respectively, by region and subregion. (By definition, we would expect at least 50% of ECE countries to be able to report 50% or more of the statistics under tier 1.) Data Source: Analysis of IAEG census of tier 1 and 2 indicator statistics availabilty for region and subregion No information: 10.4 percent. Note, ECE stats pertain to the whole region; they do not show non-EECA and the non SEE countries, so differences among regions are sharper. [I did not receive the underlying data as non-EECA, non-SEE.] No information: Tier 1: 10.4%; Tier 2: 47.2% February 25, 2019

11 SDG Indicator Statistics Availability by Region and Subregion ( >=50%) (February 2018)
Orange is ECA (see prior note). Yellow is EECCA, and grey is SEE. In this chart, Tiers 1 and 2 are calculated together, so it is to be expected that percent countries that report 50% or more for SDG 13 indicators, for example, is much lower than 50%. It seems that percent of SDG indicators for which there 50% or more countries who can report it seems lower among non EECA and non SEE compared to others. Iin part, this can be due to small sample sizes, However, this could also be based on a difference in interpretation of what it means for data to be available? Statistics to be available? February 25, 2019

12 Progress in SDG measurement--globally
International coordination NSOs, custodian agencies, stakeholders, UNSC (IAEG and HLG), HLPF Increased efforts to map statistical policy making Global assessment and management of available statistics IAEG-SDG efforts documenting data and metadata; UNSD global database Data flows and communicating statistics for SDGs IAEG-SDG and CCSSA guidance, UNSC data flow discussions Secretary-General’s annual report; discussion at HLPF Developing statistical capacity HLG-PCCB CAP, financing plans, more focused coordination with custodian agencies

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14 3. What have we achieved? Assessing quality through transparency of process
Improved mapping of NSS and ISS as (connected) networks Methodological work to be done is achievable--incrementally Improved understanding of data flows among actors Effective connection with data users—the public and policy makers Universal need for developing statistical capacity at institutional level

15 What does a process model teach us?
Wider conceptualization of ISS relationships better reflects reality Recognizes equities and comparative advantage Methodological work cannot be done quickly enough for policymakers “Can’t get blood from a stone.” – Jen’s Grandma Balinsky Underscores differing expectations in roles regarding data flows “Good fences make good neighbors.” – Robert Frost Value both national and globally harmonized statistics for global indicators Different does not necessarily mean wrong. Welcome outside review. Global statistical capacity is developed at the national level Effective development is country-led, demand driven and focuses on practical tools to address national priorities.

16 4. What strategies do the process model suggest for the SDGs—and beyond?
Build communication loops with non-statisticians to meet user needs Most ISS actors are not (necessarily) statisticians Manage expectations and herald achievements of incremental progress Data flows must not only provide accurate data; flows must be efficient and accountable Only possible through relationships of trust (and transparency) Promote the utility of both national and globally harmonized statistics Develop statistical capacity through practical tools; develop demand for statistical capacity by linking statistics to national priorities

17 How does this understanding help us better achieve quality?
Understanding user needs in ISS supports relevance and utility Protects the scientific process to improve conceptualization and measurement Quality through accuracy is not enough. Timeliness and assessment of objectivity are essential. Moves discussion and effort away from choosing one “right” statistic to identifying the statistic (and data) most appropriate for a given use Centers statistical capacity development in national needs

18 Thank you for your kind attention
Comments or questions are most welcome at All materials are available on the UNECE public wiki

19 Transparency of Process: Measuring Statistical Quality in the Sustainable Development Goals
Jennifer Park UNECE 28 June 2018


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