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STATUS QUO BIAS ON RISK ASSESSMENT

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Presentation on theme: "STATUS QUO BIAS ON RISK ASSESSMENT"— Presentation transcript:

1 STATUS QUO BIAS ON RISK ASSESSMENT
Galip Cem Berk / Adem Yılmaz /

2 Status Quo Bias , a preference of the current state of affairs.
An implication of loss aversion Samuelson and Zeckhauser (1988)

3 Methodology A ball was thrown to a bin by subjects whether using the dominant hand or non-dominant hand. To percieve their risk assessment and the effect of status quo relationship, videos were shown to random groups and rewards are given for scores.

4 Experiment was done by the participation of 50 students.
In 4 days we have reached to required data. Collected data was processed with the relevant statistical programs, models were constructed and the results of each interpreted.

5 REWARD Dominant Hand Non-Dominant Hand

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7 Purpose The experiment examines how people make the assessment of risk under the effect of default option.* Choice Gender Success/Fail

8 Sample Profile Age : Gender:

9 Results Model 1: Logit, using observations 1-50
Dependent variable: Choice Standard errors based on Hessian coefficient std. error z p-value const − − DefaultOption ***

10 ND as Default Option

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12 Model 1: Logit, using observations 1-25
Dependent variable: Choice Standard errors based on Hessian coefficient std. error z p-value DefaultOption − −

13 (D as Default Option)

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15 Model 1: Logit, using observations 1-25
Dependent variable: Choice Standard errors based on Hessian coefficient std. error z p-value DefaultOption **

16 Correlation Among the Variables

17 Correlation between Default Option and Choice
corr(Choice, DefaultOption) = Under the null hypothesis of no correlation: t(48) = , with two-tailed p-value

18 Correlation between Gender and Success corr(Gender, SuccessFail) = -0
Correlation between Gender and Success corr(Gender, SuccessFail) = Under the null hypothesis of no correlation: t(48) = , with two-tailed p-value

19 Correlation between gender and choice corr(Gender, Choice) = 0
Correlation between gender and choice corr(Gender, Choice) = Under the null hypothesis of no correlation: t(48) = , with two-tailed p-value

20 Observation of the Magnitude of Bias by Gender

21 Male Model 2: Logit, using observations 1-25
Dependent variable: Choice Standard errors based on Hessian coefficient std. error z p-value const − − DefaultOption

22 Female Model 1: Logit, using observations 1-25
Dependent variable: Choice Standard errors based on Hessian coefficient std. error z p-value const − − DefaultOption

23 Probabilty of Making Status Quo Bias by Gender (Male)

24 Probabilty of Making Status Quo Bias by Gender (Female)

25 Conclusion As we had expected before our experiment the presence of the default option led people to be affected by Status Quo bias. We observed the correlation between default option and choice datas while there was not among other variables in our model.

26 Thank You

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