1. VERIFICATION – DAY 4
- 82 – High
- CLD: 5/10

2. FORECAST TECHNIQUES (TMP) CLIMO = 80F PERSISTENCE (YESTERDAY) = 68 MODIFIED PERSISTENCE …..

3. - torn reports > yest.= ?
RADAR LOOP
And the winners are …
VERIFICATION – DAY 3
- 82 – High
- CLD: 5/10
- PA RAIN ?
- torn reports > yest.= ?

5. WED P.M. SFC MAP L

6. NAM MODEL FCST – 500 MB map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) WED.

7. NAM MODEL FCST – 500 MB map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) WED.
NAM MODEL FCST – 500 MB map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) THR.

8. THRS LATE P.M. SFC MAP L L

10. WED CAPE (NAM)

11. THR CAPE (NAM)

13. WED HELICITY (NAM)

14. THR HELICITY (NAM)

15. SPC MESO

16. Penn State Weather Camps
Basic Weather Forecasting Guidelines
Sat IR – Sat V – Sat V – Sat WV - NWS - NHC – SPC – Radar - Radar
sfc. map 1 - sfc. map 2 – sfc map 3 - EWALL

17. Cloud top
Height ?
(50,000 ft. vs. 20,000 ft.)
500 mb
-15C
-10C
-15C

19. Cyclogenesis

24. Penn State Weather Camps
Basic Weather Forecasting Guidelines
Sat IR – Sat V – Sat V – Sat WV - NWS - NHC – SPC – Radar - Radar
sfc. map 1 - sfc. map 2 – sfc map 3 - EWALL

25. NAM MODEL FCST – 4 panel map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) THR.

26. NAM MODEL FCST – SFC map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) THR.

27. NAM MODEL FCST – 700 mb map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) THR.

28. NAM MODEL FCST – 4 panel map Valid at 8 p.m. (00z) THR.

29. GFS MODEL FCST – Precip. From 2 pm to 8 pm

32. MOS – Model Output S …
Accu Friends
Wx Channel Friends
NWS Friends

33. RISING AIR = CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION
Ways to produce rising motion:
FRONTS
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHS
MOUNTAINS (ORAGRAPHY)
CONVECTION

37. WED CAPE (GFS)

38. THR CAPE (GFS)