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Labor and Unemployment
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Factor of Production YOU are labor!!!
You sell your labor (FOP): supply Firms (business) buys your labor: demand
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Productivity and labor:
What is BEST way to increase productivity??? How are wages (payment for use of labor FOP) determined??? What happens to wages when firm profits go up??? Why??? The answer lies in supply/demand schedules!
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Supply/Demand for Labor
Market forces determine wages Price of Labor S Supply of Labor: the worker Ep D Demand for Labor: the Firm Eq Quantity of Labor
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Natural Market Forces When nothing interferes, labor is supplied and demanded at equilibrium There is no unemployment Everyone wins If something changes naturally (shift in D or S), the market adjusts
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Shift in Demand for Labor
Productivity up; firms expand; demand for labor shifts upward; D1 to D2 Price of Labor S Ep2 Ep1 D2 D1 Eq1 Eq2 Quantity of Labor
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Natural Market Forces still determine wages
Demand for labor up Firms hire more people Wages increase Equilibrium still intact! Everyone wins!!!
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Shift in Supply for Labor
Price of Labor S1 S2 Population up; Supply shifts up; S1 to S2 Ep1 Ep2 D Eq1 Eq2 Quantity of Labor
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Natural Market Forces still determine wages
Supply for labor up (S1-S2) Quantity demanded goes up (Eq1-Eq2) Wages decrease (Ep1-Ep2) Equilibrium still intact! Everyone wins!!!
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Reality… Over time the demand for labor has increased at a faster rate than the supply of labor As long as we continue to have increasing productivity, demand will out pace supply (remember that productivity only increases when production levels increase at a greater rate than population increases)
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Reality Price of Labor Quantity of Labor S1 S2 S3 Ep3 D3 Ep2 Ep1 D2 D1
Eq1 Eq2 Eq3 Quantity of Labor
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Derived Demand Labor Demand is a ‘derived demand’
Demand for labor set by demand for good or service
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P Q P Q The demand for inputs like labor also goes up!
Good or Service When the demand for a Good or Service goes up… S P D2 D1 Input: Labor Q S Labor P Wage The demand for inputs like labor also goes up! D2 Labor D1 Q Labor
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What is happening to our Demand for Non-Durable Goods?
What is happening to our Demand for Durable Goods What is happening to our Demand for Services? What are the implications on the labor force & the TYPES of jobs available?
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Labor Force Labor force: all nonmilitary people who are employed or unemployed & looking for a job 16 years old or older Not institutionalized Employed or Unemployed and looking for work
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People Outside the Labor Force
Discouraged Workers Full-time students Stay-at-home parents Retirees
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Occupational trends 1800’s = Agricultural By 1900’s = Industrial
Late 1900’s = Service Industry
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OUTSOURCING
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Sorting Tomatoes 1920’s 1950’s 2000’s
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Ford Motor Company 2000’s 1920’s
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Footloose Industry: An industry that is not tied to any particular location or country, and can relocate across national borders in response to changing economic conditions. Many manufacturing industries seem to have this characteristic.
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Footloose/Non-Footloose employment growth in Indiana 1969-2013
Figure 1 Footloose/Non-Footloose employment growth in Indiana Source: BEA, Author’s calculations
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More women in the labor force!
Increase in need for college/advanced degrees Human Capital Higher the degree, the higher the pay Immigrant workers increasing Hotly debated Supply of labor goes up… what does that do to wages?
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Immigration Many Americans still believe that immigration hurts U.S. workers and the economy. Immigrants are perceived as taking jobs away from native-born Americans and filling the rolls for public assistance without paying their share of taxes to replenish the kitty. Nothing could be further from the truth. The overall effect immigration has on gross domestic product is between $1 billion and $10 billion a year. While these amounts may seem negligible in an $8 trillion economy (about one-eighth of 1 percent at most), they are still a gain—and not the drain many believe immigration to be. Source:
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A recent report prepared by a panel of economists and sociologists, and published by the National Research Council (NRC), shows that immigrants not only diversify the American economy, but also contribute to economic growth. And it is because they are different from natives that the economy as a whole profits. In many instances, immigrants both cause prices to fall, which benefits all consumers, and enable the economy to domestically produce a wider variety of goods than natives alone could. Source:
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Unemployment Levels 4.9 % Unemployment (August 2016)
62.8 % Labor Participation Rate (August 2016) What does this mean???
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Types of Unemployment Frictional: People taking time to find a job
Structural: Worker’s skills do not match what skills are needed for a job Seasonal: Results from harvest schedules, vacations, or seasonal shifts Cyclical: BAD UNEMPLOYMENT! Results from economic downturns
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Determining the Unemployment Rate
Take the number unemployed and divide it by the number in the labor force, then multiple by 100 (to get the percent) Example: Labor force = million Unemployed = 7 million 7/151.4 = .046 .046 x 100 = 4.6 (4.6 % unemployment)
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Full Employment Full employment is when there is an absence of Cyclical unemployment Full employment is 4-6 % unemployment Anything above 6 % is considered Cyclical
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Underemployment Those who are employed but with fewer hours than desired (part time when full time is desired)
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Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
Number of people in the labor force Employment Levels Historical trends Reports monthly unemployment levels Other data
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Obstacles to Market Forces
Government Intervention Unions
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Concerns behind obstacles
Fairness Rules-Fair Results-Fair Morals/ethics Lorenz curve (Rich-Poor Gap) Diplomacy Ignorance
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Obstacles Government Taxes Quotas Ceilings Floors Unions Higher wages
Increased benefits Better working conditions
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