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International Trade Negotiations:
WTO and FTAs - John Riley, NZ High Commission, London
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Our panel: Yaryna Ferencevych, US Embassy (State)
Jennie Wilson, US Embassy (FAS) Tiffany McDonald, Aus High Com Matt Molloy, DEFRA, UK and John Riley
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Countries tend to act in their national interest.
Things to consider: Countries tend to act in their national interest. What is it that drives the decisions of politicians and officials?
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Trade Policy World Trade Organisation (WTO)
Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) Bilateral Trade Access (removing regulatory barriers)
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WTO Secretariat in Geneva 153 Members
Accession process – college fraternity Membership led oganisation
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WTO (continued…) Decisions made by consensus
Surprisingly very effective (dispute settlement) Ministerial meetings roughly biannually
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2 important WTO principles
National Treatment Most Favoured Nation
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History Began 1947 with the GATT
Negotiating Rounds – GATT, Kennedy, Tokyo, Uruguay Started with non-agricultural subsidies then tariffs Technical barriers addressed later
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How are WTO Rounds Negotiated?
By CONSENSUS!
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Yeah, nah… but there are 153 Members so…
Negotiating Groups Modalities Chair’s texts Ministerial Meetings The green room
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How are WTO Rounds negotiated?
The majors crunching it Splitting the difference (don’t get salami sliced) Hand of God text Lock them in a room!
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Why would they do a deal? Important factors:
Political capital = industry + votes Reason for urgency (TPA)
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Commenced 2001 Called Doha Development Agenda Incomplete
WTO Doha Round Commenced 2001 Called Doha Development Agenda Incomplete
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Some important Doha dates
2001 mandate July 2004 framework Hong Kong December 2005 Came close to modalities in July 2008
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The Negotiating Groups
Agriculture (subsidies and tariffs) Non-agricultural market access (tariffs and NTBs) Services
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Other Negotiating Groups
Rules (anti-dumping, fish subsidies) TRIPS (intellectual property, GIs) Trade facilitation
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Special and Differential Treatment
Developed countries Developing countries Least developed countries
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Who are the key players? The G4
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Do they have offensive interests or defensive interests?
If a WTO Member wants to reduce tariffs or subsidies… If a WTO Member wants to maintain tariffs or subsidies… the Member has offensive interests the Member has defensive interests
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US EU Brazil India defensive offensive offensive offensive (?!)
Agriculture: Domestic support (subsidies reductions) Market Access (tariff reductions) Non-agricultural goods: US EU Brazil India defensive offensive offensive offensive (?!) defensive offensive offensive offensive defensive offensive defensive defensive Is each Member mainly offensive or defensive? Mainly wants to reduce measures Mainly wants to maintain measures
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Which Members are saying this?
“We can’t offer to reduce non-agricultural tariffs until other countries offer to decrease agricultural subsidies and agricultural tariffs” - Brazil and India
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Which Member is saying this?
“We can’t offer to reduce agricultural subsidies until other countries offer to decrease their tariffs” - US
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Which Member is saying this?
“We can’t offer to reduce agricultural tariffs until other countries offer to reduce agricultural subsidies and non-agricultural tariffs” - EU
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What about China?
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G20 (developing countries wanting reduced agriculture subsidies by developed countries)
Argentina, Bolivia, Plurinational State of, Brazil, Chile, China, Cuba, Ecuador, Egypt, Guatemala, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, South Africa, Tanzania, Thailand, Uruguay, Venezuela, Bolivarian Republic of, Zimbabwe
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G33 (developing countries who are defensive on agriculture tariffs)
Antigua and Barbuda, Barbados, Belize, Benin, Bolivia, Plurinational State of, Botswana, Côte d’Ivoire, China, Congo, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Grenada, Guatemala, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras, India, Indonesia, Jamaica, Kenya, Korea, Republic of, Madagascar, Mauritius, Mongolia, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Pakistan, Panama, Peru, Philippines, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Senegal, Sri Lanka, Suriname, Tanzania, Trinidad and Tobago, Turkey, Uganda, Venezuela, Bolivarian Republic of, Zambia, Zimbabwe
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G10 (defensive on ag) Chinese Taipei, Iceland, Israel, Japan, Korea, Republic of, Liechtenstein, Mauritius, Norway, Switzerland
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Cairns group (offensive on ag subsidies and tariffs)
Argentina, Australia, Bolivia, Plurinational State of, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Indonesia, Malaysia, New Zealand, Pakistan, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, South Africa, Thailand, Uruguay
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Cairns group (offensive on ag subsidies and tariffs)
Argentina, Australia, Bolivia, Plurinational State of, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Indonesia, Malaysia, New Zealand, Pakistan, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, South Africa, Thailand, Uruguay
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G100
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What is the situation with Doha now?
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Substantially all trade Can’t deal with subsidies
FTA Negotiations Substantially all trade Can’t deal with subsidies
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Some common FTA areas Goods (tariffs) Services Investment
Government procurement Intellectual property TBT/SPS (Non-tariff barriers) Labour and Environment
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Bilateral Market Access
e.g. Sanitary and Phytosanitary conditions Sometimes justified Sometimes not
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Thank You!
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