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Indirect Loan analysis by HACKERS
Leon Savvas Michael Theriot Dasha Priklonskaya Date: May 2, 2000
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30 day Delinquency Distribution in $
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Relative 30 Day Delinquency
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60 day Delinquency Distribution in $
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Relative 60 Day Delinquency
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90 day Delinquency Distribution in $
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Relative 90 Day Delinquency
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Bottom Line B tier is clearly the most delinquent:
At least 60% of 30, 60, and 90 day delinquency comes from the B customers At least 60% of $ delinquency for B customers is a 30 day delinquency On the delinquency graphs B curve is always higher than A curve
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New Loan Origination
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Prepayment
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Profit
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Cumulative Charge-offs
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Bottom Line At least 60% of New Loan Origination, Prepayment and Profit come form A customers Both A and B customers tend to pay off their loans. However, most of the charge off volume come from the B customers. Asymptotically B customers charge offs are 3 times higher than A customers charge offs
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Charge-offs
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Bottom Line B and A customers have a similar charge off pattern, but on different scales B customers have greater charge off rate than A customers
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Conclusion Most of the delinquency and charge off volume can be explained by A and B customers A and B have similar patterns. However, numerically B always underperforms A Need to review B tier policies B tier has good Cash Flows B tier is less reliable
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