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Indirect Loan analysis by HACKERS

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Presentation on theme: "Indirect Loan analysis by HACKERS"— Presentation transcript:

1 Indirect Loan analysis by HACKERS
Leon Savvas Michael Theriot Dasha Priklonskaya Date: May 2, 2000

2 30 day Delinquency Distribution in $

3 Relative 30 Day Delinquency

4 60 day Delinquency Distribution in $

5 Relative 60 Day Delinquency

6 90 day Delinquency Distribution in $

7 Relative 90 Day Delinquency

8 Bottom Line B tier is clearly the most delinquent:
At least 60% of 30, 60, and 90 day delinquency comes from the B customers At least 60% of $ delinquency for B customers is a 30 day delinquency On the delinquency graphs B curve is always higher than A curve

9 New Loan Origination

10 Prepayment

11 Profit

12 Cumulative Charge-offs

13 Bottom Line At least 60% of New Loan Origination, Prepayment and Profit come form A customers Both A and B customers tend to pay off their loans. However, most of the charge off volume come from the B customers. Asymptotically B customers charge offs are 3 times higher than A customers charge offs

14 Charge-offs

15 Bottom Line B and A customers have a similar charge off pattern, but on different scales B customers have greater charge off rate than A customers

16 Conclusion Most of the delinquency and charge off volume can be explained by A and B customers A and B have similar patterns. However, numerically B always underperforms A Need to review B tier policies B tier has good Cash Flows B tier is less reliable


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