1. Data source: LRFairplay
Ship repair yards
Data source: LRFairplay
Jakub Walenkiewicz

2. Content The world fleet – recent changes
Ships in operation – what does it take to keep them running
Ship repair yards – estimated workload
Main challenges ahead
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3. The World Fleet © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved
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4. Contracting © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved
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5. Orderbook accumulated
370% of growth !
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6. Orderbook accumulated
500% of growth!
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7. Annual deliveries © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved
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8. Vessels sold for scrapping
Source: Fearnleys
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9. The World Fleet
0 %
3 %
8 %
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10. Ships in operation © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved
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11. Maintenance Special surveys Intermediate surveys Conversions
known as class renewals
every fifth year of a vessel’s operation
as a vessel gets older, surveys gradually take more time
cover hull, propulsion, machinery, equipment and installation inspections and repairs
always require dry docking
Intermediate surveys
ships have to by docked every 2 – 2.5 years
predominantly hull and propulsion inspections and repairs
machinery, equipment and installation inspections, usually based upon manufacturer instructions
Conversions
Casualties
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12. Ship repair yards - facts
It is estimated, that around 30% of the repair capacity has been converted to newbuilding
Fleet is growing by at least 8% per annum and may easily hit double digit growth
Ships get substantially bigger and naturally require bigger facilities (esp. super post panamaxes)
It is already nowadays difficult to get a slot in repair yards. Often ships are blocked for many days before they can be serviced
What can we expect in such circumstances?
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13. DELIVERY DATE!!! Methodology…
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14. Estimated workload for Ship repair yards
Data: LRFairplay
Scope: All vessels in operation above 1000 DWT built after 1980/01/01 plus all vessels currently under construction (total orderbook) – roughly vessels; 1.02 million GT
No scrapping included, although it wouldn’t substantially change the picture
No forecast included. Data presented in the time span 2000 – 2020
Estimated casualties added. Average 1200 vessels per year, corresponding to 20 mill. GT (based upon average from the past 5 years)
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15. Estimated workload for Ship repair yards
Estimated time for each survey
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16. Workload – Index (number)
34% growth
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17. Workload – number of vessels
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18. Workload – number of vessels per day
490 ships/day
360 ships/day
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19. Workload – Index GT 87% growth
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20. Workload - GT 390 million GT 210 million GT
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21. Workload - GT per day older ships 11.4 million GT 6.8 million GT
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22. What can be done? © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved
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23. What can be done? Two simple solutions
Improve existing facilities – reduce time for dry docking
Build more ship-repair yards
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24. Increased productivity?
Increased number of surveys and repairs during operation of a vessel
performed outside repair yards
reduces total time spent in a repair yard, but not the time in a dry dock
Increased prefabrication of steel in repair yards allowing quicker steel replacement
requires investment in yards’ steel workshops
but…
New IMO/Class etc. requirements in most cases increase a scope of work that needs to be done
Shipyards already struggle to cope with the current workload. Loads of improvements have been already implemented, including limiting time in dry docks
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25. Estimated workload – 10% productivity increase
9.8 million GT
6.8 million GT
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26. New repair yards?
The world fleet is growing much faster than it used to, hence more facilities will be necessary anyway
Even if all possible improvements in the existing facilities have been implemented, repair yards most likely will not be able to cope with the workload after 2011
Large VLCC dock are not capable to accept super post panamaxes as well as cruise vessels due to the draft limitation
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27. Ship-repair yards - Tankers
114% growth
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28. Ship-repair yards - Bulkers
63% growth
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29. Ship-repair yards - Containers
161% growth
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30. Final remarks TIME TO BUILD MORE SHIP REPAIR YARDS! do it quickly…
Repair yards are already running over their normal capacity
Ships often do not get a full scope of necessary repairs
Average waiting time in ship repair yards is around 4 months
Super post panamax container vessels as well as big cruise ships can not enter most of the VLCC docks due to the draft limitation
New requirements put even a bigger pressure on repair yards due to extended scope of inspections and repairs
Lack of skilled seafarers often leads into a measurable condition of a vessel, which naturally increases workload for repair yards.
TIME TO BUILD MORE SHIP REPAIR YARDS!
do it quickly…
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31. THANK YOU © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved
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