GEOSCIENCE CAREERS room to grow…

GEOSCIENCE CAREERS room to grow…
With all of the recruiters visiting campus and ads running for geoscientists major professional journals, we are experiencing the first major surge in geoscience employment in more than 20 years. Along with this are emerging concerns about the recent peak in the price of oil and the global decline in major new oil discoveries. You may be tempted to ask, as some of us once did – is there a long term career for me in the Petroleum Industry? Geoscience grads have many choices room to grow… Bata-1 Gas Discovery, Sumatra Photo by Chuck Caughey

THE GEOSCIENCE GRADUATE’S OPTIONS
Environment, Engr, Other Minerals Oil & Gas There are rewarding jobs in mineral exploration and development, although most of these are overseas. The oil industry is hot right now, and we’ll take a peek at the future of this sector today. The major employers of geoscientists in the US in the past decade, however, have been environmental, hydrology, and engineering geology, and this trend is now spreading globally. Whatever path you choose.. Modified from Lloyd & Kaldi 2002

PRODUCTIVE GEOSCIENTIST
THE PRODUCTIVITY “GAP” 8 Years STARTING UNIVERSITY PRODUCTIVE GEOSCIENTIST There is a productivity gap, the lag between starting technical education and becoming fully productive. As noted by John Kaldi in an IPA lecture, it typically takes at least 8 years (5-7 or more years in college, 2+ years on the job). cac 2006, photo by Wolf 1983 Modified from Kaldi, 2004 Photo by Bennett, 1885, from Wolf, 1983

PETROLEUM GEOSCIENTIST
PRODUCTIVE PETROLEUM GEOSCIENTIST Industry hire BSc MSc The Internet START UNI Four or more years are needed to achieve a Bachelors degrees, two to three more for a Masters degrees, followed by at least 2 years of training and work experience in a company. Kaldi, 2004

Kaldi, 2004 So what is in the pipeline?
We find that has changed over the years, and probably continues to change Kaldi, 2004

THE GENERATIONS Traditionalists 1925-45 Baby Boomers 1946-64
Resistant to high tech Value stable environment Want to leave a legacy Baby Boomers Willing to learn Try to build successful careers Generation X Adept with technology Look for portable careers Generation Y Technologically superior Respectful of tradition Embrace diversity Seek dual careers with spouses *Traditionalists – my father… *I am a baby boomer, … *following the boomers came a “lost generation” of those entering the job market in the bust of the mid 80s. This group grew up with MS DOS and Super Mario, Brothers, it eventually became known as Generation X and learned early about M&A, layoffs, and “headcount.” Concepts of job security and company loyalty that were hallmarks of the industry for the preceding 50 years disappeared, perhaps for good. *a more recent change emerged over the past several years. Graduates now are technologically superior, but more respectful of tradition and less oriented towards immediate gratification. Considerations for dual careers, with a spouse or significant other, have grown insignificance. Diversity in nationality and ethnicity is up on campus and in the industry. Globalization is not just coming, in many respects it is already here. AAPG Explorer, 3/05 p. 31

While technical degrees in the US have been relatively stable over the past 20 years, enrollment of Asians has increased sharply. And enrollment in Asian universities has skyrocketed. And where do these relatively few US Grads go to work? Worldwide Workers 04

Post Graduation Jobs for Geoscientists, US & Canada
The last AAPG study in 2003 showed that over half of all geoscience grads in the US and Canada went to work in envrionmental fields, with the rest split nearly evenly between oil and gas, teaching, and government jobs. European statistics show a similar lack of interest in joining our profession. This may result partly from development of rewarding careers in environmental geoscience, but another cause has been steady, longstanding attrition in petroleum industry jobs. Katz, 2003 AAPG Data normalized to exclude non-geoscience employment Post Graduation Jobs for Geoscientists, US & Canada

Brain Drain (top 25 US O&G Companies)
Jobs Continued Decline (-4.1% in 2004) 21,000 industry jobs lost in 2004 514,000 jobs now, with record oil prices 1,110,000 decline from last boom in ‘81 Productivity Increase: Driven by Technology 10.6% compound annual growth since ’94 Helped offset job losses in the slowdown Provides no cushion for rebound Overall, jobs in the petroleum industry declined 68% from the peak in More than 2 out of every 3 jobs in the industry are now gone. Two factors combined to force this demise: The price of oil cratered to less than $10/bbl in the mid 1980s, and it slumped again to less than $13/bbl in the late 1990s. Workforces were cut to keep companies afloat, and many went under. Pervasive mergers produced greater economies of scale, with the drive to reduce overhead and increase efficiency further reducing staff. Major breakthroughs in workstation technology and 3D seismic brought better and much faster imaging of the subsurface with smaller staffs. Exploration success increased with fewer wells being drilled with better exploration technology. Still, less oil was being found, and “cut to the bone” staffing levels provided no cushion for a rebound when prices finally increased. Stats from John S. Herold study, Market Watch

MEDIAN AGE OF AAPG / SPE MEMBERS
49 46 39 37 AAPG AAPG SPE SPE Little new blood has come into the industry, as witnessed by the median age of the technical professionals. In 1990 this was 39 and 37 years for the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, and the Society of Petroleum Engineers respectively. In 2000, the median age was 49 and 46 respectively. The workforce has ageing with the calendar, without significant renewal. 1990 2000 Modified from Lloyd & Kaldi 2002

MEDIAN AGE OF AAPG / SPE MEMBERS
In the next 7 years, 40-70% of Geoscientists will be eligible to retire 49 46 39 37 AAPG AAPG SPE SPE The industry clearly needs to add staff now, before the experienced supervisors and mentors retire. 1990 2000 From AAPG/SPE Modified from Lloyd & Kaldi 2002

US Graduate Degrees in 2004 Lawyers: 43,000 Geologists: 1,681
Due to instability in the past, the oil and industry is now long on jobs and short on qualified people to fill them. We can’t just send lawyers to the wellsite. But is there a future for college grads just entering the job market? Lawyers - Gaurdie Banister, Technical Director for Shell Energy Resources, Houston Chronicle p. 1; Geolosits - AGI

Dynamics of Oil Supply & Demand
$ /bbl, Dec 1998* $143.67/bbl, June 2008 Oil doubled in price in the fall of 2005, due to the disasterous impact of mega-hurricanes Katrina and Rita. The price of oil is important, because it is the dominant factor in the price of gasoline at the pump. *avg for Illinois Basin, iog.com cac 2008

Petroleum in Antiquity
3000 BC: Fertile Crescent & Baku Seeps Oil seeps noted along banks of Euphrates Fires of Babylon seen by Greeks, Romans Azerbaijan – Persia’s land of fire 600 BC: First Production by Chinese Gas burned to evaporate brine for salt 1291 AD: Marco Polo’s Journey Caspian oil produced for medicine, lamps Brought back sample of oil from Sumatra Harrison and Testa, 2003, Petroleum and the Environment Clark, OGJ 14 Aug 06 p. 15

THE WORLD IN 2030 *ExxonMobil Study of Energy Demand
50% Increase in Energy Demand in 25 yrs 205 to 335 mmboed 80% of increase in developing nations 33% Increase in Population 6 to 8 billion people No growth in Europe, Japan, S Korea, Oz N Amer increase less than 33% Oil & Gas: total world supply 3.2 tbo Conventional 1 tbo produced, 2 tbo remaining Only N Amer produced > 50% of reserves Non-Conventional: additional 1 tbo cac: OGJ, 9 Jan 06, p

Rose, AAPG Explorer, Oct 2005, p. 3
AAPG President Pete Rose put oil prices into longer-term perspective: the price surge extends back 7 years, up 500% from $12 in 1998 to a peak over $67 in Sept Not shown is the recent runup to $100/bbl in Dr. Rose is a recognized expert in exploration risk and economic return, and he assembled this graph to put the recent upswing into perspective. Actual prices are shown in blue, and inflation adjusted prices are in red. Other historical price shocks were the Arab oil embargo, which tripled the price of oil from $3 to $12 in 1973, and the collapse in , when oil fell from just under $30 to $10/bbl. It hovered in the $10-$30 range for 18 years before the current upswing. The price of oil is an important factor in energy investment – exploration and development activities are very commercial at today’s high prices, but they are not profitable in most areas of the world at prices below about $30/bbl. As a result Rose, AAPG Explorer, Oct 2005, p. 3

Exploration Activity Declined Worldwide over last 20 yrs
1 bbl discovered for every 4 bbls consumed (Halbouty, Explorer 8.04 p. 36) More oil consumed than discovered every year since 1985 (Wells, OGJ 2/21/05 p. 21) These are some sobering statistics about exploration activity and success. Let’s take a look at what oil has been found and produced, and what supplies may remain for you and me to discover. cac 2005

Global Discoveries Decreasing Global Production Increasing
Huge Resource yet to be Developed Annual Production Billion BOE per year Production Replacement ~ 50% Here is the history of the oil age, from the onset of significant discoveries in the early 1900s to the decline that started in the 1970s. These data were compiled from public sources, and arranged them to show volumes of conventional oil, heavy oil, and gas compiled by discovery year, and annual production shown by the heavy yellow line. Note that the world is currently replacing only about 50% of current production. Discovery of heavy oil peaked in the mid 1930s, with major resources in Canada and Venezuela. Conventional oil discoveries peaked in the mid 1960s, followed by Gas discoveries, which peaked in the mid 1970s. Note that discoveries of both oil and gas then declined through the late 1970s and early 1980s, before the disastrous price crash in the mid-1980s. The industry was running flat out with record rates of rig activity and still finding less oil and gas. By the end of the 1970’s, some drilling had been completed in some 1100 basins, covering almost all prospective areas of the world at that time other than deep water. There have been exceptions over the last 10 years, with significant discoveries in deepwater areas, the Middle East, and the North Caspian, but even these have not reversed the trend These new finds demonstrate the need to be flexible and vigilant in exploration, but they also show that we are approaching global limits for major new discoveries Let’s look next at what may remain to be discovered. (Heavy oil includes bitumen & assumes primary and secondary recovery) Source: Laherrere, 2003; Longwell, 2002; USGS

Oil Produced and Remaining
952 bbo produced thru 2004 Represents 32% of total reserves remaining recoverable (outside US) 859 bbo remaining discovered 649 bbo undiscovered 612 bbo reserve growth (existing fields) These figures are from Dr. Peter McCabe with the USGS; studies by others show variation in absolute numbers but a similar direction. We are getting a handle on world oil resources, discovered and yet to be found. McCabe’s study indicates that about 1/3rd of total oil reserves have been produced, with nearly that much discovered and waiting to be produced. The remainder consists of future discoveries and a similar (and growing) amount of reserve growth in existing fields. Another study by Brian Maxted.. cac 2005; McCabe, OGJ, 25 Apr 05 p

Oil Discoveries and Reserves (Brian Maxted quoted by Shirley, AAPG Explorer, 8.04 p. 8-9)
Ultimate resource base 2.5 tbo 1.9 tbo already discovered 0.6 tbo remaining to be found 90% will be found outside of N America Discovery rate peaked in 1960s 1990s discoveries 75% gas Only 1/3rd of total found in 1980s Strat traps increasingly important Now almost 40% of total Up from 10% 50 years ago Brian Maxted estimated a slightly lower total resource of 2.5 tbo vs. McCabe’s 3.1 tbo and shows that 90% of future volumes will be discovered outside of North America. As we have seen, the discovery rate peaked worldwide in the 1960s – before most of us entered the industry – and that strat traps, always difficult to image, are up to 40% of recent discoveries from only 10% back in the 1950s. Discoveries are down, most of the remaining oil is outside of N Amer, and what is left is hard to image. Where in the world are these remaining hydrocarbon resources located? cac 2005

Remaining Global Oil & Gas Resources
On this slide, produced oil and gas are in gray, discovered resources are red, and volumes yet to be found are in cyan. Heavy oil is gold. Canada and Venezuela hold 70 % of the worlds heavy oil The remained is spread among numerous other countries. The FSU has about 10% of the heavy oil resource and the Middle East only about 1%. Excluding heavy oil, the bulk of the world’s remaining resources – discovered and yet to be found - lie in the Middle East and the former Soviet Union. Although the Middle East has the largest resource, international oil companies have been largely unable to economically gain access here since the 1970’s Unconventional is ultimate recoverable heavy oil reserves from primary recovery. Source: U.S. Geological Survey, IEA

Control of Proven Oil Reserves
Bid Rounds Negotiated Clearly, national oil companies (NOCs, e.g. Petrobras, Pemex, Pertamina, PDVSA, Nigerian Nat’l Petroleum Co., Petronas, etc.) control most of the worlds discovered (as well undiscovered) reserves. Thus western companies must continue to find ways to partner with them, and this may be critical to future growth. Russian Oil Companies are the next largest holder of reserves behind NOCs, and several majors have been working on joint ventures there Exploration has been slow for the last 20 years, major petroleum supplies are located distant from consuming nations, and resources are largely controlled by national oil companies. It is therefore not surprising… Source: PFC Energy

World Oil Balance 2008 2007 Quarter 2nd* 1st* 4th 3rd 2nd 1st Supply
87.7 86.7 84.1 85.1 85.4 Demand 86.2 86.9 85.3 84.7 85.5 Balance 0.0 1.5 -0.2 -1.2 0.4 -0.1 *estimated OGJ 21 Jan 08 p. 25

Per Capita and Total World Demand for Oil
Country Bbl/person/yr World Demand* US 25.6 445 Italy 12.4 215 Indonesia 1.9 25 Low Income 1.5 3 World 4.5 78 World population growth alone accounts for some increases in demand. Western countries, led by the US, are profligate energy consumers, but these economies have slow to negative population growth and steady improvement in fuel efficiency. The problem is that developing economies account for most of the population growth, and those countries want cars, jet travel, and air conditioning just like the west. Annual population growth of about 90 million people/year occurs predominantly in developing countries where per-capita energy growth is also increasing. As a result *MMbo/day figures from OGJ 17 Apr 04 (except Indonesia)

Million tonnes oil equivalent
World Fuel Consumption: Oil Natural Gas Nuclear Energy Hydroelectricity Coal 8,000 6,000 Million tonnes oil equivalent 4,000 Overall world fuel consumption from all sources has increased progressively. Coal, hydro, and nuclear contributed incremental increases up until the early 1990s, but most of the world’s rivers have now been dammed and environmental concerns have largely halted expansion of coal and nuclear energy. Oil usage has been relatively flat, but notice the steady increase in natural gas. Let’s examine that in the US Gulf of Mexico. 2,000 1975 1985 1995 Year Cook and Sheath From Armentrout, 2000, AAPG.org

Future GOM Oil and Gas Production
Oil production is approaching plateau even in the relatively new deepwater Gulf of Mexico trend But note that new plays for deep gas – and deepwater gas – are continuing to increase largely offsetting declines in the very mature shallow water fields. OGJ 13.Dec 04 p. 24

US Exploration Switches to Gas
The US experienced a major shift in exploration starting in the mid 90’s, when there were about the same number of rigs drilling for oil and gas. Rigs drilling for gas increased over the next 10 years while rigs drilling for oil declined, changing the ratio dramatically to a recent figure of 86% drilling for gas. Nina M. Rach, OGJ p. 43

General Industry Trends
Production rates exceed discovery rates Large volume of discovered resource is undeveloped mainly gas & heavy oil in remote or sanction areas Discovery rate continues to decline long term Will be perturbations – DW, N.Caspian etc. Geography & control of undiscovered reserves Middle East, FSU, NOC > 75% New resource discovery & development of discovered resource will be key and challenging Understand market & technology drivers In summary: While production rates have exceeded discovery rates for the last 20 years, Large volumes of discovered oil remain undeveloped, in challenging areas that will require the best in technology and creativity for us to access There will be exciting new discoveries in different areas of the world, but the decline in overall exploration success is expected to continue The biggest prizes await those who are globally mobile, in areas like the Middle East and Former Soviet Union, and those able to work effectively with the cultures and bureaucracy of National Oil Companies Challenging and rewarding careers are available now in both exploration and production where success will reward those with creativity and technical acumen. Throughout the world.. CAC 06, mod from Langtree 05

GLOBAL OIL AND GAS FIELDS
Oil and gas are not distributed uniformly, but they are distributed widely. Oil is indeed where you find it, and that now covers much of the globe. This slide has been updated several times since initially published by John Armentrout in For those interested in working – and living – abroad.. Gas Oil Modified from Armentrout, 2000, AAPG.org

Living & Working Abroad: Concerns
Culture Shock Medical Services & Infrastructure Exposure to Disease Security Concerns and Stress Family Concerns Living remote from family & friends Schools and Child Care Spouse Work and Activities Access to Consumer Goods Some preparation can make an overseas assignment a much more positive and enjoyable experience. Culture shock is very real, manifested in frustrations of not being able to communicate or find the things you need, absence of familiar food, and feelings of insecurity and intense isolation even when surrounded by people. Medical services may be much different or even lacking, and precautions may be needed to maintain your health and that of your family Personal security has become a global issue, but concerns and precautions vary widely by location. Security checkpoints, searches, and alerts can escalate personal and family stress levels while living abroad. Other concerns best addressed in advance include: Keeping in touch with family and friends Access to quality education and child care Work permits and visas, which may be difficult and time consuming to arrange And be prepared to make adjustments in many aspects of your life A lot of geoscientists find these sacrifices small in comparison to the advantages of international assignments CAC 2006

Living & Working Abroad Advantages
Exposure to New Culture & Friends Exciting Work Environment Increased Responsibility Travel Lifestyle Compensation & Benefits Advantages of living and working abroad include learning a new and perhaps very different culture Working on projects that may be breathtaking in size, scope, and technical challenge Higher levels of individual responsibility, where you not only need to know how to do everything, you are expected to transfer these skills to a national employee One of the greatest advantages of living far away was easy access to most of the rest of the world Many find the expatriate lifestyle attractive, which may include household staff and a driver in some locations Compensation is last on the list, but still an advantage. International postings generally have an uplift in salary which may vary from 5-40%. Do not expect to get wealthy on a typical 3-5 year assignment, however. Be aware that you will have increased travel and vacation costs, and it may cost more to maintain your lifestyle far from home. At home or abroad, what careers are available to a petroleum geologist or geophysicist? CAC 2006

The Petroleum Geoscientist - A Detective
Predicts where oil and gas occurs by using well data and ‘remote sensing’ Uses tools to gather data - gravity and magnetics rock distribution and properties geophysical imaging computer process & visualization Uses concepts to develop models: structural concepts, petrol systems, etc Makes economic analysis and recommends drilling (modified from Armentrout 2000) In most cases, the petroleum geologist will be dealing with relatively small amounts of data and must learn how to interpolate and extrapolate from that limited data set to achieve success. This challenge is met by using all the tools and data available, evaluating the economic potential based on the interpretation of the data, and recommending a plan of action to management. Where else but in an oil company is a geoscientist going to find the resources to test geologic predictions with a well that costs millions of dollars? One aspect of petroleum geoscience familiar to most students is fieldwork From Armentrout, 2000, AAPG.org

Armentrout 2000, from American Petroleum Institute, 1986
Geologic Mapping and Sampling Gravity Magnetics Seismic Reflection Geologic Mapping (from Armentrout, 2000) Hard data from the field are needed at an early stage of many exploration projects, mapping surface geology, collecting data and rock and fluid samples. These are used to calibrate models and to project observations from outcrops into the subsurface. Seismic, gravity, and other geophysical data may also be acquired. Key observations of surface geology include stratigraphy… JMA Armentrout 2000, from American Petroleum Institute, 1986

Stratigraphy: Depositional Systems Sequence Stratigraphy
Petrophysics and Paleontology Understanding the processes creating sedimentary units Clastic Sedimentology Record missing due to erosion: Must recon -struct history from regional data MESOZOIC CENOZOIC & Rock Physics (modified from Armentrout, 2000) Stratigraphy is the study of the sequence, distribution, and nature of rock strata. Stratigraphic applications in the petroleum industry focus on characterizing the distribution and petrophysical parameters of hydrocarbon reservoirs, the seals that form traps for oil and gas deposits, and the source rocks that form petroleum. The science of stratigraphy changed dramatically over the last 20 years, as compilation of data from sources as disparate as ice cores and regional seismic lines showed global changes in sedimentation patterns related to periodic changes in sea level. Nearshore systems such as rivers, deltas, and barrier islands are related to deepwater deposits of the continental slope and deep oceanic basins. These systems are observed in nature and modeled through time with computer technology. Core, log and seismic data are used to calibrate and refine predictive models. Carbonate deposits such as limestones present special problems in relating modern environments to ancient deposits. These may form in situ by biologic agents such as coral reefs. The distribution and characteristics of carbonate platforms evolved through geologic time with changes in environment and carbonate secreting biota. Many of these organisms are now extinct, so concepts for reservoir prediction and characterization in carbonates must combine knowledge of modern systems with age-based analogues. Knowledge of geologic structures is also important to petroleum geology Stratigraphy is the study of the sequence, nature and distribution of rock units. Stratigraphic applications in the petroleum industry include definition of porous and permeable units that serve as hydrocarbon reservoirs, those impermeable units that seal the traps, and organic-rich strata that source oil and gas accumulations. Many stratigraphic studies focus on characterizing the distribution and petrophysical parameters for reservoirs in existing fields, and predicting reservoir presence and quality for exploration prospects. For Clastic systems, sandstones and conglomerates plus new plays for low permeability reservoirs in siltstone and even shale Sequence Stratigraphy and both deep water and deltaic depositional settings must be understood in relationship to each other, not in isolation. Forward modeling and rock physics modeling help reduce the risk of unknown alternatives and improve interpretation understanding. Core, log and seismic data to refine existing predictive models. Also, compiling reservoir parameters for debris flows versus turbidities utilizing flume experiments. Carbonates present special problems in relating modern environments to ancient deposits. Carbonates may form in situ, not linked by not linked by sediment dispersal systems such as rivers, deltas, and submarine fans. In addition, the distribution and characteristics of carbonate platforms have changed through geologic time. Concepts for reservoir prediction and characterization in carbonates must combine knowledge of modern systems with age-based analogues Time-specific spatial maps of carbonate reservoir distribution are important as interpretation aids. Along with Sedimentary Modeling Incorporating both clastic and carbonate processes and geometries. Forward modeling, using computer programs to simulate depositional processes constrained by local characteristics of the sedimentary basin, can be important to understanding both carbonate and clastic systems Forward Modeling Carbonate Analogues Sedimentary Modeling From Armentrout, 2000, AAPG.org

Physical Models as Guides
Case Histories: Outcrop and Seismic Modeling: Physical and Computer Stratigraphic Consequences Structural Geology Understanding the process of deformation of the subsurface due to external forces Seismic Interpretation Physical Models (modified from Armentrout, 2000) Structural geology strives to resolve causes and effects of tectonic processes to better image the geometry of rocks at the surface and in the subsurface. It is used to define subsurface traps for hydrocarbons with log, seismic, and other data such as gravity and magnetics. Physical modeling provides guidelines for interpreting structural features and resolving ambiguities, such as this seismic example of extension followed by compression and structural inversion (uplift of a previous low), and an oblique slip model to illustrate orientation and timing of complex fault patterns Kinematic computer modeling, restoration of the geologic forces and movements, is also important to determine in 3D the magnitude and direction of slip on faults. Geochemistry also plays an important role 3D Kinematic Model Building Physical Models as Guides to Interpretation Oblique Slip Model From Armentrout, 2000, AAPG.org

Exploration Geochemistry:
Inorganic & Organic Sedimentology Characterizing the type, history and origin of petroleum (modified from Armentrout, 2000) Geochemistry plays an important role in petroleum geoscience Analyzing organic richness, characteristics, and thermal maturity of potential source beds to predict volumes nature (oil vs gas) and even quality of hydrocarbons available for exploration geochemical biomarkers in oils act as “fingerprints” that can be matched to specific source strata Petroleum source rocks vary from terrestrial woody and herbaceous kerogen to coal, deltaic, and deep marine algal sources – each with specific characteristics Geochemistry helps determine petroleum sources, age, and timing of migration – all critical factors in exploration. Recently, variations in oil geochemistry has been used to define reservoir compartments in highly faulted fields. Reservoir geochemistry is one aspect of the broader field of reservoir characterization..… From Armentrout, 2000, AAPG.org

Reservoir Characterization:
Sedimentology Fluid Flow Computer Simulation Reservoir Characterization: Reservoir Characterization focuses on data integration to model reservoir architecture and flow properties CUM PROD TIME Fracture characterization Production data inversion Reservoir Optimization Seismic visualization Resistivity modeling Outcrop studies Geostatistics (modified from Armentrout, 2000) Reservoir Characterization integrates all available data to define the geometry, distribution of physical parameters, and flow properties of a petroleum reservoir. The goal is to accurately and quantitatively model reservoir architecture, connectivity, and flow properties such as porosity, permeability, and fluid saturations. This may involve expertise in sedimentology to define reservoir lithology and geometry, definition of flow units and boundaries within the reservoir, and computer simulation of fluid movement and changes in reservoir properties during production. Geologic models help capture reservoir heterogeneities as well as uncertainties resulting from sparse well control, inadequate resolution on geophysical data sets, and problems with indirect measurement of reservoir parameters from seismic, log, and production data. These models of the reservoir may aid in more accurately estimating the probability distribution of hydrocarbon volumes, assist in geosteering wells to optimum locations, and provide input to reservoir simulation. QUANTIFIED UNCERTAINTY Volumetric and reserve estimation Reservoir simulation Geosteering From Armentrout, 2000, AAPG.org

Computer Simulation and History Matching
(modified from Armentrout, 2000) Computer simulation is important to guide production throughout the life of a reservoir. History matching the computer model with actual data over time for parameters such as oil/water and gas/oil ratios, fluid volumes, and surface and downhole pressures produces a progressively more accurate picture of reservoir performance. This can also indicate irregularities in drainage, unswept compartments, and guide reinterpretation of reservoir geometry to match conditions in the subsurface. Computer simulation combines production, petrophysical, subsurface, and seismic data to provide the best possible characterization of a petroleum reservoir. This challenging endeavor requires close collaboration of geologists, geophysicists, and petroleum engineers. What are the requirements for entering these challenging technical careers? Dr. Chris Heath conducted surveys of oil and gas companies and found JMA Mobil From Armentrout, 2000, AAPG.org

Job Market Expectations By Employers
Self-motivated Computer Literate Well Educated Team Player Excellent Communicator Required Traits (modified from Armentrout, 2000) Recruiters will check transcripts to confirm that candidates are well educated, but they look for more. Computer literacy is required, but also some “soft skills,” such as ability to excel in a team environment and good communication skills. Perhaps most important is motivation, being a self starter oriented towards achievement. For technical skills… Modified from Armentrout, 2000, AAPG.org

GEOSCIENCE SKILLS Companies differ, but
All favor a mixture: science, computer, non-tech Geology & Geophy Fieldwork and mapping experience are important Top Technical Skills: Petroleum Geol Geophysics Sedimentology Mapping Strat/Sequence Strat Petroleum Systems Regional Geology Reservoir Geology Dr. Chris Heath conducted a survey of medium to large oil companies in Although there were differences, he found all companies to favor an educational background that combined a solid foundation of science with computer competencies and some non-technical background. Geology and geophysics courses are important, including experience in fieldwork and mapping. The top technical skills required by employers include the basic tools for petroleum geology. While structural geology is not listed, knowledge of structure and tectonics is likely implied in mapping and regional geology. Regarding Computer Skills.. Heath, 2002

COMPUTER SKILLS PC skills Required Workstation Word Processing
Spreadsheet Presentation Workstation Try to get exposure Interpretation most important: Landmark, Charisma, etc. Dr. Heath’s survey shows that basic PC skills are the foundation for everyday work throughout the industry, from office towers in Houston and Beijing to wellsites in remote rainforests of Sumatra. You must be able to knock out a memo in Word, analyze data in an Excel spreadsheet, and present results with PowerPoint. Once we figure out how to properly handle , that will also be added the list. Workstation skills are a big plus if you can get them. For geologists, these include mapping, well log correlation and cross sections, and log analysis. Geophysicists should try for experience in 2D and 3D seismic interpretation. It is not necessary to work on a Unix box; some PC systems perform as a geoscience workstations. What about non-technical or “soft” skills? Heath, 2002

NON TECHNICAL SKILLS Initiative Ethics and Integrity ENTHUSIASM
Adaptability Cooperation Oral Communication Grasp & Summarize Key Issues Dr. Heath’s survey emphasized the importance of motivation and interpersonal skills to geoscience employers. Personal traits of initiative, integrity, and enthusiasm top the list, followed by interpersonal skills of teamwork and communication. The ability to perceive and communicate key issues is important to problem solving in everyday work. These skills are critical to success in today’s work environment. Heath, 2002

PRESENT REALITY: RELEVANT INTERACTIVE RESEARCH
As illustrated in this slide from Dr. John Kaldi of the Australian School of Petroleum, technical work throughout the petroleum industry is now conducted by multidisciplinary teams in a collaborative environment. Workstations may be located in individual offices or cubicles or in common areas, but the emphasis is on communication and collaboration. A well recommendation may be a joint project involving a geologist, geophysicist, reservoir engineer, and drilling engineer. To facilitate the process, many companies provide “visualization rooms” or “collaboration centers” with projection equipment and access to all geological, geophysical, and engineering data. Teamwork and communication skills are as critical to success as technical expertise in this environment. We have covered the basic skills that employers seek in new hires. Next, let’s look at how you can direct yourself into an exciting and rewarding career in geoscience. Kaldi, 2004

Career Strategies Set Goals – Prepare to Compete Network Keep Growing
Direction Timing Prepare to Compete Stay Versatile Be Patient Network Keep Growing Find, use a Mentor Develop New Skills A key strategy to igniting your geoscience career is to set goals, and do it now – Consider what you like and what you are good at, and choose the direction This might be stratigraphy to support a career in petroleum exploration and production, or petrophysics to work in reservoir characterization Take note of remaining coursework, field or thesis studies, and desired summer jobs or internships and determine your timing Even with lots of recruiters on campus, expect to compete Know your strengths and maintain as much versatility as possible in areas like location and job assignment Above all, be persistent and patient Networking is important, among your peers on campus and with professors, recruiters on campus, and other professionals you may meet in society or campus events Now and throughout your career, it is important to keep growing in technical knowledge and professional competency Find someone more senior as a mentor – a professor, someone in industry, or even a student some years ahead of you And always be alert to developing new skills Professional societies like AAPG can help, now and throughout your career. CAC 2005

Professional Societies Why Join?
Learn about your future career Increase your knowledge with exposure to leaders in science and industry Expand interpersonal, organizational, & management skills Network – interaction with peers Helps you throughout your career Societies like AAPG bring you into contact with experienced professionals, so you can learn first hand what lies ahead Events like luncheon talks, short courses, field trips, and conferences expand your knowledge in both technical and practical areas and expose you to leading scientific experts and captains of industry What you get out of professional societies depends on what you put into them, and participation on committees and volunteering for events expands your skills in working with people and organizations Active participation provides important networking opportunities and support that helps you throughout all stages of your geoscience career AAPG also has direct benefits for students…

AAPG STUDENT BENEFITS Great Publications: Bulletin, Explorer
Books, Books, Books Publication Pipeline Discounts on AAPG Books $500 Book Gift (3 yr cycle) Grants-in-Aid for Grad Study Weeks Grants (SC and student) AAPG membership brings top geoscience publications to you each month the AAPG Bulletin, one of the world’s most highly read and respected geoscience journals and the AAPG Explorer, a “must read” magazine covering both domestic and internal arenas with the latest in geoscience news, events, and commentary Discounts on AAPG books are available to student members and Student Chapters receive an extra $500 in AAPG books that they select every 3 years in addition, the AAPG Publication Pipeline has provided tons of technical books as needed reference materials for universities in developing countries The Grants in Aid program is an AAPG benefit available for all graduate students providing direct financial aid to support for masters and PhD research Another important financial benefit from AAPG is the Weeks Grant provided annually to Student Chapters that meet basic requirements

$500/yr for Chapter $500/yr for Student
WEEKS GRANT 2003 awards $500/yr for Chapter $500/yr for Student For AAPG Student Chapters that meet basic membership and reporting requirements A bequest from L.G. Weeks provides major cash awards These may vary slightly from year to year but are in the range of about $500 to the Student Chapter. and another $500 to a student selected by the Student Chapter The Weeks Grant award to the Student Chapter can provide a major boost for activities

STUDENT CHAPTER ACTIVITIES
Distinguished Lecturers from AAPG and Industry Short Courses and Seminars Field Trips Exhibits at Conferences Other Events: on Campus & off Campus Reports from AAPG Student Chapters describe some great activities that would appeal to just about all of us. These include Distinguished Lecturers and Visiting Geoscientists, experienced (and sometimes world renown) professionals who visit campus to share their knowledge and experience with students and faculty. Informative short courses, many times arranged with support of industry to show practical applications of geoscience Exciting and educational field trips, such as this excursion into the rain forest of South Sumatra to explore for ancient Hindu artifacts from the 7th century using modern geophysical methods. Students participate in conferences such as domestic and international AAPG meetings, which now include presentations in both oral and poster sessions, and Many other events arranged to benefit the student members. These vary from outreach trips to encourage geoscience among high schoolers to regional leadership conferences and participation in events like “Earth Day.” AAPG student membership and participation in Student Chapters provide an excellent entrance into a geoscience career. Univ Sriwijaya geophysical survey in Sumatra, 21 Feb 2004

Why stay an AAPG Member through your career?
But what happens after you graduate? How does AAPG fufill it’s self described mission of becoming essential throughout your geoscience career?

Membership Value Pyramid
Included in Membership Professionalism Personal Member Programs Discounted and/or Supported Professional Development And Outreach Programs The AAPG Value Pyramid lists specific programs to answer needs of professional geoscientists as their careers evolve. These begin with a solid technical foundation, provide leading journals to members in both hard copy and electronic format. Next in line on the pyramid are professional programs like Distinguished Lecturers and Visiting Geoscientists plus outreach programs, including Grants-in-Aid, membership benefits, and assistance for students and student chapters. Above these are Professional events and activities, such as meetings and conferences, certification and professional affairs, short courses and e-Learning, field trips, and digital and hard copy books For more senior members, AAPG supports mid-career training centers and access to health care and retirement benefits Professionalism caps the pyramid, with ethics presentations and training, support of geoscience in education and the new AAPG office to provide accurate scientific information to the government, and networking throughout the global community of AAPG professionals. Mostly Subsidized Basic Programs Included in Membership

Professional Standing & Recognition
Code of ethics Membership limited to trained & experienced professionals Professional certification available Networking opportunities Present your work at meetings & conventions Regional & international contacts & events Honors & Awards Ways in which AAPG supports professional standing include Maintaining a firm code of ethics, clearly communicated to members via presentations and publications Professional qualifications, requiring a degree in geoscience and 3 years experience (or an advanced degree plus 2 years experience) The AAPG Division of Public Affairs takes this even higher, with certification of petroleum geologists or petroleum geophysicists, and coal geologists. Certification requires more professional experience (8 yrs, less with advanced degrees), a sustained record of the highest professional and ethical standards, and sponsorship by 3 certified geoscientists. AAPG meetings, field trips, talks and receptions provide networking opportunities with a broad cross section of the global geoscience community You are encouraged to present your work at dinner meetings and conventions, which provides excellent experience in communication skills, discussion, and feedback from peers With regional meetings, annual conventions, and international meetings AAPG also presents prestigious awards to it’s members for outstanding accomplishments and service, which are recognized as high honors in the geoscience community

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