1. Understanding Minnesota’s Labor Market
Tim O’Neill | Regional Labor Market Analyst
Labor Market Information Office –

2. Labor market information office
Each state produces employment and economic statistics in cooperation with U.S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics
LMI includes employment statistics, unemployment rates, wages and salaries, job projections and more
LMI is the foundation for informed, market- responsive planning

4. How is the job market doing?

5. U.S. and Minnesota labor market situations
Recent employment trends
Longer-term trends
Unemployment situation
Labor force participation rates
Wage growth

6. Population Trends in Minnesota

7. Labor force trends: 1976 – 2017

8. Age trends in Minnesota 2007 – 2017 American Community Survey 1-year Estimates
Total population grew by 7.3% between 2007 and 2017 (378,985 people)

9. Quarterly Employment Demographics (QED) Minnesota 2006 – 2016 Annual Data
Percent of Jobs
in 2006
in 2016
Change in Jobs
2006 – 2016
Total Jobs
100.0%
+5.1%
19 years & younger
8.1%
6.5%
-15.6%
20 to 24 years
12.2%
10.8%
-6.9%
25 to 44 years
43.4%
42.5%
+2.9%
45 to 54 years
22.0%
19.8%
-5.4%
55 to 64 years
11.4%
16.1%
+48.5%
65 years & older
2.9%
4.4%
+59.5%

10. Quarterly Employment Demographics (QED) 2015 Annual Data
From a workforce standpoint, the two oldest regions in the state were SW MN and NW MN – each with over 22% of jobs held by workers ages 55 and over
The Metro Area was the youngest region, with 18.5% of job holders in the older age cohorts
Central MN also slightly younger
Yet, every region has witnessed large increases in the number of older workers in the past decade…..

11. Quarterly Employment Demographics (QED) 2006 – 2016 Percentage Change in Workforce by Age Group

12. Quarterly Employment Demographics (QED) Minnesota 2006 Annual Data

13. Quarterly Employment Demographics (QED) Minnesota 2016 Annual Data

14. Minnesota’s tight labor market mn.gov/deed/jvs

15. Complexities in the labor market
Barriers to employment and hiring
Hiring difficulties due to mismatches between job requirements and the training, skills, education, or experience of applicants
Hiring difficulties caused by factors unrelated to qualifications of the candidate pool, such as unattractive wages, work hours, or geographic location
Jobs and poverty in America:
Americans holding multiple jobs:
Long commutes in the metro:
Demand for child care options: parents/ /

16. Regional unemployment rates mn.gov/deed/laus
Area
September 2018 Data
Q2 2018
Job Vacancies
Unemployment to Vacancy Ratio
Unemployment Rate
Number of Unemployed
Central MN
2.2%
8,679
15,536
0.6
Northeast MN
2.8%
4,566
8,542
0.5
Northwest MN
2.3%
7,119
14,136
Southeast MN
2.1%
5,754
9,641
Southwest MN
4,685
12,355
0.4
Metro Area
37,520
82,071
Minnesota
68,323
142,282
United States
3.6%
5.8 million -
Not Seasonally Adjusted

17. Minnesota job vacancies by industry mn.gov/deed/jvs

18. Minnesota job vacancies by occupation mn.gov/deed/jvs
Combined food prep and serving workers
Nursing assistants
Retail salespersons
Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers
Personal care aides
Maids and housekeeping cleaners
Supervisors of retail sales workers
Farmworkers and laborers
Cashiers
Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses
Cooks, restaurant
Stock clerks and order fillers
Waiters and waitresses
Teacher assistants
Janitors and cleaners
Counter attendants, cafeteria and food concession
Supervisors of food prep and serving workers
Recreation workers
Registered nurses
Bus drivers, school or special client
Occupational groups with the largest number of vacancies in the state include: food prep and serving, sales and related, personal care and service, office and administrative support, and healthcare practitioners
Top-20 occupations (above) account for 44% of the state’s total job vacancies

19. High demand & high wage mn.gov/deed/oid
High School Diploma or less
Postsecondary Award or Associate’s Degree
Bachelor’s Degree or higher
Plumbers ($69,888)
Registered Nurses ($78,354)
Financial Managers ($120,931)
Supervisors of Construction Trades Workers ($72,634)
Dental Assistants ($48,734)
Sales Managers ($121,701)
Insurance Sales Agents ($62,941)
Web Developers ($73,549)
Software Developers, Applications ($90,834)
Electricians ($71,136)
Radiologic Technicians ($64,709)
Computer Systems Analysts ($88,858)
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Mfg. ($64,646)
Industrial Engineering Technicians ($51,397)
Accountants & Auditors ($65,707)
Carpenters ($49,442)
Computer Network Support Specialists ($58,510)
Nurse Practitioners ($112,778)

20. Minnesota employment outlook 2016 – 2026: mn.gov/deed/eo

21. Minnesota employment outlook 2016 – 2026: mn.gov/deed/eo
Total employment in Minnesota is projected to increase by 5.8% between 2016 and 2026 – equivalent to approximately 181,600 net new jobs.

22. Minnesota employment outlook 2016 – 2026 total change: mn.gov/deed/eo
Personal care aides (33.5% growth rate)
Medical assistants (25.3%)
Combined food prep and serving workers (11.9%)
Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers (6.4%)
Home health aides (30.6%)
Childcare workers (8.5%)
Registered nurses (11.0%)
Teacher assistants (6.7%)
Janitors and cleaners (8.1%)
LPNs (12.2%)
Software developers, applications (23.7%)
Laborers and freight, stock, and material movers (5.5%)
General and operations managers (7.3%)
Business operations specialists (7.8%)
Market research analysts (20.0%)
Sales representatives, wholesale and manufacturing (5.7%)
Accountants and auditors (9.3%)
Nursing assistants (5.7%)
Financial managers (16.7%)
Cooks, restaurant (7.1%)
Fastest-growing occupations (projected) include:
Wind turbine service technicians (100.3%)
Statisticians (39.0%)
Personal care aides (33.5%)
Physician assistants (30.9%)
Home health aides (30.6%)
Nurse practitioners (27.8%)
Phlebotomists (26.1%)
MRI technologists (26.1%)
Medical assistants (25.3%)
Software developers, applications (23.7%)

23. Labor Force Participation Rate
Labor force stats by age in Minnesota 2017 American Community Survey 1-year Estimates
Age
In Labor Force
Labor Force Participation Rate
Unemployment Rate
Total, 16+
3,073,870
69.5%
3.6%
16 to 19 years
153,862
52.8%
12.1%
20 to 24 years
299,708
84.9%
5.2%
25 to 54 years
1,909,510
88.0%
3.1%
55 to 64 years
546,316
72.8%
2.6%
65 to 74 years
139,466
28.3%
1.9%
75 years+
24,162
6.6%
2.4%

24. Demographic trends in Minnesota 2007 – 2017 American Community Survey 1-year Estimates
2007: minority percentage of total population at 14.4%
2017: 20.1%
Populations of color grew by 24.6% in the US between 2007 and White alone, not Hispanic or Latino population decreased by 0.6%. Populations of color make up 39.4% of the total US population.
Native-born ( ): +237,743 (4.9%)
Foreign-born: +141,242 (40.9%)
345,001 foreign born persons in 2007 (18.7% reported as black or African American)
486,243 foreign born persons in 2017 (27.6% reported as black or African American)

25. 2017 Minnesota labor force statistics
Population
In Labor Force
2007 – 2017 Labor Force Growth
Labor Force Participation Rate
Unemployment Rate
Total Population 16+
3,073,870
+165,197 (+5.7%)
69.5%
3.6%
White alone
2,605,255
-11,028 (-0.4%)
69.2%
3.1%
Black or African American alone
179,530
+75,283 (+72.2%)
72.6%
8.3%
American Indian and Alaska Native alone
24,595
+1,655 (+7.2%)
56.9%
14.5%
Asian alone
145,166
+51,861 (+55.6%)
69.8%
4.2%
Some other race alone
57,769
+22,043 (+61.7%)
76.1%
4.4%
Two or more races
61,132
+27,348 (+80.9%)
74.7%
6.4%
Hispanic or Latino origin (of any race)
149,129
+47,245 (+46.4%)
76.6%
5.4%

26. Population trends by race 2000 – 2016 ACS Estimates

27. Population composition by race 2012-2016 ACS 5-Year Estimates

28. Minnesota industry employment change by race 2012-2017 Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI)

29. Minnesota industry employment change by race 2012-2017 Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI)

30. Minnesota percent below poverty level 2005 – 2016 ACS 1-Year Estimates

31. Minnesota median household income 2014 ACS 5-Year Estimates – 2016 ACS 5-Year Estimates
Population
2014
2016
Percent Change
Total
$60,828
$63,217
3.9%
White
$63,127
$65,864
4.3%
Black or African American
$29,873
$30,703
2.8%
American Indian
$32,161
$34,863
8.4%
Asian
$65,575
$69,647
6.2%
Hispanic or Latino
$41,674
$44,000
5.6%

32. Industry Trends in Minnesota

33. Minnesota industry trends Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages 2000 – 2017

34. Minnesota’s largest-growing industries QCEW 2012 – 2017
Industry Title
2017 Jobs
Job Growth
Percent
Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services
160,011
28,625
21.8%
Ambulatory Health Care Services
152,364
21,183
16.1%
Social Assistance
96,766
19,328
25.0%
Specialty Trade Contractors
77,332
17,466
29.2%
Food Services & Drinking Places
196,833
16,256
9.0%
Educational Services
228,707
12,613
5.8%
Credit Intermediation & Related Activities
63,250
9,639
18.0%
Public Administration
132,003
9,630
7.9%
Hospitals
126,863
7,642
6.4%
Food & Beverage Stores
56,521
6,151
12.2%
Largest-employing include Educational Services; Food Services & Drinking Places; Prof., Sci., & Technical Services; Ambulatory Health Care Services; Public Administration; Administrative & Support Services; Hospitals; Nursing & Residential Care Facilities; Social Assistance; Management of Companies; Specialty Trade Contractors; and Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods
Total of all industries expanded by 208,378 jobs (7.9%), and now stands at 2,853,313 total jobs (annual 2017)
4/6/2019
Optional Tagline Goes Here | mn.gov/websiteurl

35. Metro Area’s distinguishing industries Sorted by Location Quotient
Industry Title
Number of Jobs
Share of
MN Jobs LQ
Air Transportation
14,002
94.4%
1.6
Management of Companies
71,555
89.4%
1.5
Securities, Commodity Contracts, & Related Activities
16,771
85.9%
1.4
Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing
35,756
79.3%
1.3
Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services
124,798
78.0%
Insurance Carriers & Related Activities
44,315
76.4%
Miscellaneous Manufacturing
18,599
75.2%
1.2
Real Estate
20,634
75.0%
Administrative & Support Services
92,599
72.1%
Personal & Laundry Services
21,147
72.0%
Metro Area had 1,732,448 total jobs (60.7% of the state’s total employment)
Largest-employing industries include Educational Services; Prof., Sci., & Technical Services; Food Services & Drinking Places; Administrative & Support Services; Ambulatory Health Care Services; Management of Companies; Public Administration; Hospitals; Social Assistance; and Nursing & Residential Care Facilities

36. Central MN’s distinguishing industries Sorted by Location Quotient
Industry Title
Number of Jobs
Share of
MN Jobs LQ
Furniture & Related Product Manufacturing
2,712
28.2%
2.9
Animal Production & Aquaculture
2,614
23.6%
2.4
Heavy & Civil Engineering Construction
4,592
20.1%
2.1
Food Manufacturing
8,452
17.8%
1.8
Plastics & Rubber Products Manufacturing
2,851
17.7%
Gasoline Stations
4,404
17.3%
Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing
7,120
16.8%
1.7
Truck Transportation
4,269
16.1%
Motor Vehicle & Parts Dealers
5,330
15.1%
1.6
Accommodation
4,872
14.0%
1.5
Central MN had 274,862 total jobs (9.6% of the state’s total employment)
Largest-employing industries included Educational Services; Food Services & Drinking Places; Ambulatory Health Care Services; Hospitals; Nursing & Residential Care Facilities; Public Administration; Specialty Trade Contractors; Administrative & Support Services; Food Manufacturing; and Social Assistance

37. Southeast MN’s distinguishing industries Sorted by Location Quotient
Industry Title
Number of Jobs
Share of
MN Jobs LQ
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
2,640
25.3%
3.0
Food Manufacturing
10,639
22.4%
2.6
Ambulatory Health Care Services
31,624
20.8%
2.4
Gasoline Stations
3,389
13.3%
1.6
Machinery Manufacturing
4,068
12.4%
1.5
Hospitals
14,497
11.4%
1.3
Nursing & Residential Care Facilities
11,807
10.6%
Truck Transportation
2,760
10.4%
1.2
Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing
4,654
10.3%
Food & Beverage Stores
5,709
10.1%
Southeast MN had 241,811 total jobs (8.5% of the state’s total employment)
Largest-employing industries included Ambulatory Health Care Facilities; Educational Services; Food Services & Drinking Places; Hospitals; Nursing & Residential Care Facilities; Public Administration; Food Manufacturing; Administrative & Support Services; Social Assistance; and Specialty Trade Contractors

38. Northwest MN’s distinguishing industries Sorted by Location Quotient
Industry Title
Number of Jobs
Share of
MN Jobs LQ
Transportation Equipment Manufacturing
4,062
38.3%
4.9
Crop Production
2,260
30.4%
3.9
Wood Product Manufacturing
3,451
Accommodation
5,792
16.6%
2.1
Gasoline Stations
3,948
15.5%
2.0
Heavy & Civil Engineering Construction
3,558
Food Manufacturing
6,048
12.7%
1.6
Public Administration
15,755
11.9%
1.5
Machinery Manufacturing
3,810
11.6%
Amusement, Gambling, & Recreation Industries
4,118
11.3%
Northwest MN had 221,187 total jobs (7.8% of the state’s total employment)
Largest-employing industries included Educational Services; Public Administration; Food Services & Drinking Places; Nursing & Residential Care Facilities; Hospitals; Ambulatory Health Care Facilities; General Merchandise Stores; Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods; Social Assistance; and Food Manufacturing

39. Southwest MN’s distinguishing industries Sorted by Location Quotient
Industry Title
Number of Jobs
Share of
MN Jobs LQ
Animal Production & Aquaculture
3,990
36.0%
5.8
Electrical Equip., Appliance, & Component Mfg.
1,996
24.3%
3.9
Food Manufacturing
11,007
23.3%
3.8
Printing & Related Support Activities
3,354
15.2%
2.4
Truck Transportation
3,292
12.4%
2.0
Gasoline Stations
2,844
11.2%
1.8
Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods
4,506
10.2%
1.6
Machinery Manufacturing
3,222
9.8%
Nursing & Residential Care Facilities
10,303
9.2%
1.5
Heavy & Civil Engineering Construction
1,932
8.4%
1.4
Southwest MN had 177,301 total jobs (6.2% of the state’s total employment)
Largest-employing industries included Educational Services; Food Services & Drinking Places; Food Manufacturing; Nursing & Residential Care Facilities; Public Administration; Ambulatory Health Care Facilities; Hospitals; Social Assistance; Food & Beverage Stores; and Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods

40. Northeast MN’s distinguishing industries Sorted by Location Quotient
Industry Title
Number of Jobs
Share of
MN Jobs LQ
Mining (except Oil and Gas)
3,933
70.3%
14.0
Paper Manufacturing
1,953
21.0%
4.2
Utilities
1,629
11.8%
2.3
Accommodation
3,869
11.1%
2.2
Hospitals
13,419
10.6%
2.1
Nursing & Residential Care Facilities
10,745
9.6%
1.9
Gasoline Stations
2,187
8.6%
1.7
Amusement, Gambling, & Recreation Industries
3,098
8.5%
Public Administration
11,015
8.3%
Religious, Grant-making, Civic, & Professional Orgs.
2,451
7.1%
1.4
Northeast MN had 142,984 total jobs (5.0% of the state’s total employment)
Largest-employing industries included Hospitals; Educational Services; Food Services & Drinking Places; Public Administration; Nursing & Residential Care Facilities; Ambulatory Health Care Facilities; Social Assistance; Prof., Sci., & Technical Services; Mining (except Oil & Gas); Accommodation

41. Resources available at DEED

42. MN DEED labor market tools
Occupational Employment Statistics Cost of Living Calculator
Occupations in Demand
Job Vacancy Survey
Career and Education Explorer
Graduate Employment Outcomes
CareerOneStop and MySkillsMyFuture*
Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages
Staffing Patterns
Current Employment Statistics
Local Area Unemployment Statistics
Comparisons (MN and Metro Area)
Business Finder
Quarterly Employment Demographics

43. Occupational employment statistics mn.gov/deed/oes
Geography
Employment
25th Percentile Wage
Median Wage
75th Percentile Wage
Metro Area
1,769,290
$14.20
$21.92
$34.43
Minnesota
2,838,270
$13.41
$20.07
$31.06
U.S.
142,549,250
$12.05
$18.33
$29.72
According to DEED’s Cost of Living Calculator, the basic-needs budget for a typical family of three in the Metro is:
$63,996/year
This equates to an hourly wage of $20.51 for each adult worker
Top-Employing Industries (Metro)
Employment
Median Wage
Education & Health Services
403,350
$21.97
Trade, Transportation, & Utilities
333,620
$17.87
Professional & Business Services
306,570
$27.36
Manufacturing
173,770
$23.91
Leisure & Hospitality
169,760
$11.55
Financial Activities
133,140
$27.90
Public Administration
88,450
$29.13
Construction
69,260
$30.16

44. Career & education explorer tool
Offers a wide range of occupational information:
Wage information, including cost-of-living comparison
Current demand
Future openings and growth rate
Educational requirements, certifications, and licenses
On the job tasks, working conditions, and abilities
Links to MinnesotaWorks.net and WFC help

45. CareerOneStop Explore careers Skills & interest assessments
All new career videos!
Skills & interest assessments
Find training & jobs in your area

46. Keeping skills in mind www.myskillsmyfuture.org

47. Labor market publications and assistance
Minnesota Economic Trends:
Quarterly magazine on economic topics
Subscriptions available free of charge or on-line
Minnesota Employment Review:
Monthly magazine on economic data and regional trends
Includes Minnesota business development
Available exclusively on-line
LMI Helpline:
Send questions by to

48. Thank You! Tim O’Neill Regional Labor Market Analyst
Labor Market Information Office
mn.gov/deed/data