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Probability By Mya Vaughan.

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Presentation on theme: "Probability By Mya Vaughan."— Presentation transcript:

1 probability By Mya Vaughan

2 probability Probability is a measure of how likely it is that a specific outcome will occur We use a number (9 in 10), ratio (9:10), or a percent (90%)  Probability is calculated by the number of occurrences of a specific outcome with the total number of possible outcomes

3 definitions Theoretical Probability- The probability model calculated based on reasoning or counting possible successful outcomes and dividing by the total possible outcomes Experimental Probability- The actual data collected when outcomes are recorded during an experiment. It is the actual number of favorable outcomes recorded divided by the total number of trials

4 Complementary events For every outcome that describes a favorable event there are outcomes that are not favorable. For example, if a head on a coin is considered a favorable outcome then a tail is its complement Together, the favorable event and its complement make 100%

5 Compound events More than one event occurring in a situation
If the outcome of event A doesn't affect event B, they are independent If the outcome of event A DOES affect event B, they are dependent If the events will not happen at the same time, they are mutually exclusive

6 Independent events The outcome of the first event does not affect the outcome of the second event The probability of both events happening is the product of each events' probability

7 Dependent events Two events are dependent if the outcome of the second event is influenced by the first event The probability of both events happening is the product of the first event's probability and the probability that the second event occurs if the first had occurred

8 Mutually exclusive events
It is impossible for events that are mutually exclusive to happen at the same time If two events are mutually exclusive, then the probability that either event will happen is the sum of the probability of event

9 Fundamental counting principle
If one event can occur in m ways and another can occur in n way, then the number of ways that both events can occur is mxn  Area model of multiplication

10 factorials A factorial denotes the multiplication of the number and every whole number between the number and one 5! = 5x4x3x2x1 = 120

11 permutations A permutation is an ordered arrangement of some or all the elements in a set Any alteration in the order in which the elements are arranged in a new permutation

12 combinations An unordered collection of some or all the elements in a set Any alteration in the order in which the elements are arranged not be considered a new combination

13 quiz What is 7! A fair coin is flipped twice. What is the probability of heads coming up both times? A restaurant offers a choice of three salads, seven main dishes, four side dishes, and six desserts. How many different four course meals can be selected? If a number cube is tossed, what is the probability of rolling 2 or less?


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