1. Paper Presented At The Expert Group Meeting On SDG Economic Indicators In Africa November 2017, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Odelola Aaron Olusola National Bureau of Statistics ABUJA, NIGERIA.

2. Overview of Session Background Highlights of Nigeria’s MDGs
Presentation of Selected Six Nigeria SDGs
Issues Around SDGs Indicators
Conclusion and Recommendation

3. Background
Nigeria was among the 189 countries worldwide that endorsed the United Nations Millennium Declaration in New York in September 2000, which led to the adoption of the eight time-bound Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) with several targets and indicators to be achieved by 2015.
In 2005, Nigeria successfully negotiated debt relief from the Paris Club which enabled the country to increase and target public investments in pro-poor programmes and projects towards achieving the MDGs.
In September 2015, world leaders converged at the United Nations Headquarters in New York to consider and adopt a new comprehensive, ambitious and transformational development agenda. The Outcome Document1 adopted during the summit outlines a set of 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and 169 targets aimed at eradicating poverty in all its forms and shifting the world onto a sustainable and resilient development pathway while ensuring that ‘no one is left behind’.

4. Background (cont’d)
A review of the MDGs implementation in Nigeria reveals that the country has registered mixed results across the goals, geographic areas and gender groups. Despite progress on some indicators, many of the goals and targets have not been met.
The slow pace of progress notwithstanding, the country has registered multiple success stories
reaching threshold of eradicating polio
largely successful Conditional Grants Scheme (CGS)
mobilizing community utilisation of health facilities through the village health workers scheme
adoption of the independent monitoring and evaluation system
implementation of the Midwives Service Scheme (MSS) and
NYSC MDGs Corps Volunteers project

5. Highlights of Nigeria’s MDG’s
Nigeria’s 2015 End-Point Report

6. Highlights of Nigeria’s MDG’s ( cont’d)

7. Presentation of Selected Six Nigeria’s SDGs Indicators (cont’d) Figure 1 Figure 2
Source: SDGs baseline report (derived) Source: SDGs baseline report (derived)
In 2015 annual growth rate of real GDP per capita stood at from in In 2015, manufacturing value added as proportion of GDP was 9.43 percent (SDGs) from 7.11 percent in 2011 computed in real terms.

8. Presentation of Selected Six Nigeria’s SDGs Indicators(cont’d) Figure 3 Figure 4 Figure 5
Source: SDGs baseline report (administrative data from NBS) Own computation, CBN Financial Inclusion Report SDGs baseline report (administrative, CBN Financial Inclusion Report 2015
Figure 4 above shows that financial inclusion has moved from 53.7 percent in 2010 to percent in 2014 (This was introduced by me since it was not captured in SDGs baseline report, it is an indictor on its own aside ATM per 100,000). SDGs benchmark for financial inclusion uses number of ATM per 100,000 adults by year (as 42.8 per 100,000 baseline) and number of commercial bank branches per 100,000 adults by year (as 7.50 per 100,000 baseline).

9. Presentation of Selected Six Nigeria’s SDGs Indicators(cont’d) Figure 6 Figure 7
Debt Service as proportion of goods and services
Source: SDGs baseline report Source: Own Computation, Nigerian Communications Commission
The baseline proportion of population covered by a mobile network was estimated by SDGs baseline report at 74.0 urban and 48.3 percent rural, (Panel Survey, 2015) by owners of mobile telephone. Proportion of the population covered by a third-generation mobile-broadband network, by location and technology was 52.0 % in 2015 by SDGs baseline (NCC estimates). Moreover, percent was estimated by own computation in 2015 using proportions of populations with active lines (NCC).

10. Presentation of Selected Six Nigeria’s SDGs Indicators
Value of SDGs Indicator
Source of Data in concert note
Actual Sources
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Annual Growth Rate of Real GDP per capita
Country
4.99
2.1
1.51
2.6
3.52
5.54
Pop
SGDs
-2.87
2.04
-0.22
-4.16
-14
GDP, Pop, Exchange rate
Derived
Manufacturing Value Added as Proportion of GDP
149.1
170.9
188.52
223.28
249.1 NA
7.11
7.7
8.93
9.64
9.43
Real GDP, Real Manufacturing value added
Unemployment Rate by Sex, Age, and Persons with Disabilities
HH surveys
23.9
27.4
24.7
25.1 36
HH surveys and Establishments Surveys
Administrative (NBS)
Proportion of adults with an account with bank or other financial institution or with a mobile money service provider
HH surveys, Fin HH Surveys
Nil
Debt service as a proportion of exports of goods and services
0.36
0.33
0.25
0.39
BOP, GFS
8.09
10.25
10.07
12.77
Budget, BOP
Proportion of population covered by a mobile network. Technology 90
68.49
80.85
91.15
99.39
HH surveys, ICT Authority
Proportion of population covered by third generation mobile broadband network
52.0
NCC
Administrative (NCC)
Proportion of individuals who own a mobile telephone (Urban)
74.0
PANEL 2015
Proportion of individuals who own a mobile telephone (Rural)
48.3

11. ISSUES AROUND SDGS INDICATORS
Accuracy
(1) Are the values of the indicators on the left-hand side of your country’s country page correct? If not, please correct the values.
{Not correct, see table above}
(2) Is the information of data sources on the right-hand side of your country’s country page correct? If not, please correct the information.
{Not correct, see table above)
Availability
(3) Do you have an idea on how the discrepancies have arisen between the initial figures/information and those that you have provided? If so, please explain.
{data sources may have cause the discrepancies, and of course methodology used. Once the sources change, trend may change. I do not know precisely the sources in the country’s table}

12. ISSUES AROUND SDGS INDICATORS (cont’d)
(4) Do you have any values of the indicators that have not been reflected on the left-hand side of your country’s country page? If so, please fill in the blank cells.
{Yes, but on own computation, proportion of adults with an account with bank or other financial institution or with a mobile money service provider, this was not indicated in Nigeria’s SDGs baseline report. The Nigerian SDGs uses number of ATM per 100,000 adults by year (as 42.8 per 100,000 baseline) and number of commercial bank branches per 100,000 adults by year (as per 100,000 baseline) only. Proportion of adults with an account with bank or other financial institution or with a mobile money service provider is an indicator on its own that can be explored, that’s explains why its was blank in the table above. CBN financial inclusion report recorded against in 2014 and 2010 respectively}
(5) What recommendations would you make to increase the availability of values for the indicators?
{Increase household surveys, and explore other reliable data sources such as administrative. We can only induce frequent surveys for financial inclusion and in dept use of administrative data such as NCC (active lines in Nigeria not used in SDGs baseline report}

13. ISSUES AROUND SDGS INDICATORS (cont’d)
(6) Do you have any data sources that have not been reflected in the middle section and the right-hand side of your country’s country page? If so, please fill in the related blank cells.
{Except for cases of proportion of adults with an account with bank or other financial institution or with a mobile money service provider (CBN) and Proportion of population covered by a mobile network. Technology (NCC, own computation}
(7) Which data sources among the recommended in the country page have been effectively collected in your country and why?
{unemployment rate, because NBS does quarterly survey of unemployment in Nigeria, Proportion of population covered by a mobile network. Technology from NCC could be a good source if to be used in SDGs baseline report}
(8) Are there any other data sources, not reflected currently in the country page, that you have also used to collect data? If so, the data are applied for the calculation of which SDG economic indicators?
{Not necessarily, just a better way of usage e.g NCC active lines, and CBN financial inclusion survey}

14. ISSUES AROUND SDGS INDICATORS (cont’d)
Methodology
(9) For each of the indicators that you have chosen, are the methods that you have used for calculation and construction of the indicator the same or different from the ones as recommended in the above-mentioned UNSD’s metadata sheets? If different, please describe your methods.
{They are mostly derived from data of agencies such as NBS, CBN etc, so the methods do not change}
(10) What are the difficulties and challenges in terms of calculating the related SDGs economic indicators?
{In the cases of the chosen indicators, they are derived. The variations in figures/trend can only come from changing the sources of the data possibly}
(11) What are your suggestions and recommendations for dealing with the difficulties and challenges?
{Constant and proper use and monitoring of data uses)

15. ISSUES AROUND SDGS INDICATORS (cont’d)
Analysis, use, and dissemination
(12) What are your experience in uses of the SDG economic indicators in formulating or addressing development policy issues in your country?
{Obviously, they are for policy making. The problem with developing countries is that they pay less attention to data in decision making, no proper monitoring and evaluation plan, no synergy in collection and administration of data. The political will to do is key}
(13) Are there any indicators in the country page that would be unreasonable to compile in your country? If so, please explain why.
{Non, all we need to do is to harness resources to get the indicators. Funding for surveys is essential because most indicators require some forms of household surveys}
(14) Through what channels are the related indicators disseminated to the users?
{Publication of reports, webpages, media/press conferences etc}
(15) Do the data releases contain metadata?
{Yes, for instance unemployment rate gives an indication of poverty rate and so on}
(16) What are your suggestions and recommendations on the most effective way of dissemination so that the data produced by your country can also be reflected in the global database?
{Effective, constant use of global country site for uploading data}

16. Conclusion and Recommendations
Nigeria often has a problem of disaggregated data. This applied in the case of MDGs
It is strongly recommended that efforts of government be intensified in proper coordination, monitoring, and data tracking of the SDGs indicators.
In line with this, the NBS in collaboration with UNDP has completed the mapping of available relevant indicators and data that can be used to measure the tracking of the implementation of the SDGs.
Moreover, there should be disaggregated data collection process, mapping and central data bank for policy making purposes. Proper implementation of Data Bond and Supply Responsibility Framework between NBS and implementing partners.
In addition, it is important to consider other data sources alongside household surveys and make comparisons where necessary.
NSO and MDAs need to work together on surveys and administrative data
Federal Government need to fund NBS for detail disaggregated data on SDGs indicators.

17. Thank you