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Statistics for a Single Measure (Univariate)
(Click icon for audio) Dr. Michael R. Hyman, NMSU
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Wrong Ways to Think About Statistics
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Evidence
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Descriptive Analysis Transformation of raw data into a form that make them easy to understand and interpret; rearranging, ordering, and manipulating data to generate descriptive information
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Analysis Begins with Tabulation
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Tabulation Tabulation: Orderly arrangement of data in a table or other summary format Frequency table Percentages
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Frequency Table Numerical data arranged in a row-and-column format that shows the count and percentages of responses or observations for each category assigned to a variable Pre-selected categories
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Sample Frequency Table
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Sample SPSS Frequency Output
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SPSS Histogram Output
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Base Number of respondents or observations (in a row or column) used as a basis for computing percentages Possible bases All respondents Respondents who were asked question Respondents who answered question Be careful with multi-response questions
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Measures of Central Tendency
Mode - the value that occurs most often Median - midpoint of the distribution Mean - arithmetic average µ, population , sample
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Measures of Dispersion or Spread for Single Measure
Range Inter-quartile range Mean absolute deviation Variance Standard deviation
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Low Dispersion 5 4 3 Frequency 2 1 150 160 170 180 190 200 210
Value on Variable
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High Dispersion 5 4 3 Frequency 2 1 150 160 170 180 190 200 210
Value on Variable
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Range as a Measure of Spread
Difference between smallest and largest value in a set Range = largest value – smallest value Inter-quartile range = 75th percentile – 25th percentile
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Deviation Scores Differences between each observed value and the mean
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Average Deviation
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Mean Squared Deviation
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Variance
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Variance
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Variance Variance is given in squared units
Standard deviation is the square root of variance
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Summary: Central Tendency and Dispersion
Measure of Central Measure of Type of Scale Tendency Dispersion Nominal Mode None Ordinal Median Percentile Interval or ratio Mean Standard deviation
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Distributions for Single Measures
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Symmetric Distribution
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Skewed Distributions
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Normal Distribution Bell shaped Symmetrical about its mean
Mean identifies highest point Almost all values are within +3 standard deviations Infinite number of cases--a continuous distribution
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Normal Distribution 13.59% 13.59% 34.13% 34.13% 2.14% 2.14%
Conventional Product Adoption Life Cycle: Five types of customers who will end up adopting a product INNOVATORS (2.5%): People who are the first to adopt a product. They are trend-setting, risk-taking, and are not typical consumers. Example: See a movie first weekend it’s out or in a preview. EARLY ADOPTERS (13.5%): People who are among the first but not as risk-taking. They adopt ideas early but with consideration, and they enjoy roles as opinion leaders. They spread the word about the product. Example: See a movie the first week of its release. EARLY MAJORITY (34%): Deliberate customers; adopt earlier than most customers but are not leaders. Example: See a movie after a few weeks, after reading all the reviews and getting recommendations from early adopters. LATE MAJORITY (34%): Skeptical customers, will only adopt an idea if the majority of people have tried it. Example: See a movie after it has been nominated for an Oscar. LAGGARDS (16%): Tradition-bound, suspicious of change; will adopt an idea only after it has been around long enough. Example: See a movie after it has come out on video. 2.14% 2.14%
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Standard Normal Curve The curve is bell-shaped or symmetrical
About 68% of the observations will fall within 1 standard deviation of the mean About 95% of the observations will fall within approximately 2 (1.96) standard deviations of the mean Almost all of the observations will fall within 3 standard deviations of the mean
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Normal Curve: IQ Example
70 85 100 115 130
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Standardized Normal Distribution
Area under curve has a probability density = 1.0 Mean = 0 Standard deviation = 1
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Standardized Normal Curve
Conventional Product Adoption Life Cycle: Five types of customers who will end up adopting a product INNOVATORS (2.5%): People who are the first to adopt a product. They are trend-setting, risk-taking, and are not typical consumers. Example: See a movie first weekend it’s out or in a preview. EARLY ADOPTERS (13.5%): People who are among the first but not as risk-taking. They adopt ideas early but with consideration, and they enjoy roles as opinion leaders. They spread the word about the product. Example: See a movie the first week of its release. EARLY MAJORITY (34%): Deliberate customers; adopt earlier than most customers but are not leaders. Example: See a movie after a few weeks, after reading all the reviews and getting recommendations from early adopters. LATE MAJORITY (34%): Skeptical customers, will only adopt an idea if the majority of people have tried it. Example: See a movie after it has been nominated for an Oscar. LAGGARDS (16%): Tradition-bound, suspicious of change; will adopt an idea only after it has been around long enough. Example: See a movie after it has come out on video. z -2 -1 1 2
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Standardized Normal is Z Distribution
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Standardized Scores Used to compare an individual value to the population mean in units of the standard deviation
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Linear Transformation of Any Normal Variable into a Standardized Normal Variable
X m Sometimes the scale is stretched Sometimes the scale is shrunk
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Data Transformation Data conversion
Changing the original form of the data to a new format More appropriate data analysis New variables
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Summative Score = VAR1 + VAR2 + VAR 3
Data Transformation Summative Score = VAR1 + VAR2 + VAR 3
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Index Numbers Score or observation recalibrated to indicate how it relates to a base number CPI - Consumer Price Index
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Recap Count/frequency data Measures of central tendency
Dispersion from central tendency Data distributions Symmetric versus skewed (Standardized) normal Data transformation
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