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Money and Fixed-Income Market
Investments 2 Money and Fixed-Income Market Fed Funds Treasury Bills Rates and Yields Repos and Reverses Fixed-Income Securities Today, we are going to cover the money market. As we said earlier, this is an important part of our capital market. The money market is part of the debt market, it composes of mainly liquid short term securities, including Treasury bills, bank loans, CDs, etc.
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Introduction Money Market Instruments
Investments 2 Introduction Money Market Cash equivalents, short-term (maturity 1 year), liquid (marketable), low-risk debt securities Instruments Federal funds Treasury bills (T-bills) Certificate of deposit Commercial paper Bankers’ acceptances Eurodollars Repurchase agreements (repos) and reverses Brokers’ calls We will have a detailed coverage of T-bills and Repos. Investments 2
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Federal Funds Rate charged for Federal Funds among the banks
Most widely quoted “Fed” rate Is it set really set by the Fed? Effective Rate vs. Target Rate (Aug 27, 2008) Investments 2
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Treasury Bills Definition Characteristics
Investments 2 Treasury Bills Definition Short-term Gov. security issued at discount e.g., pay $900 today for 1yr T-bill of $1000 par value Characteristics Highly liquid Extremely safe (virtually risk free) Exempt of state and local taxes Initial maturity at 4, 13, and 26 weeks Pay $900 Receive $1000 face (par) value Today Maturity How does the government pay off its old debt when it matures? New debt Tax revenue Printing money Investments 2
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Treasury Bills Quotation
Investments 2 Treasury Bills Quotation Market convention is to use rate rather than price for T-bill quote Bank Discount Rate (BD) rBD: bank discount rate F: face value (par) P: price n: days to maturity Another to look at it is Investments 2
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Treasury Bills Example
Investments 2 Treasury Bills Example A 90-day T-Bill of par $10,000 trades at $9,600. What’s the bank discount rate? n = 90, F = $10,000, P = $9,600 Annualized return on the investment? rBEY: bond equivalent yield (APR) Is the bank discount rate the return for your investment? No. Bond equivalent yield is. Investments 2
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Treasury Bills Bond Equivalent Yield (BEY)
Investments 2 Treasury Bills Bond Equivalent Yield (BEY) Measures (simple) annualized return on T-bill investment Facilitates comparison of yields between T-bill and T-bond Bank discount rate is NOT a true interest rate Bank discount rates are converted to yields Bonds quoted in yields Converted Yields = Bond Equivalent Yield Investments 2
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Treasury Bills Sample quotes from WSJ (Sep 1 2005) Actual # days – 2
Investments 2 Treasury Bills Sample quotes from WSJ (Sep ) Actual # days – 2 Bank discount rate Bond Equivalent yield Investments 2
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Treasury Bills What about price?
Investments 2 Treasury Bills What about price? 9/1/05, on WSJ you see 12/1/05 T-bill is quoted at 3.43% (ask). How much does it cost to buy $1,000 par of that T-bill? F = $1,000, rBD = 3.43%, n = 91, P = ? Bond equivalent yield 7/27/00 Maturity date. 6/28/00 quote for 6/27/00 price, settle on 6/29/00, so n = 28 days. is the price you pay for 1,000 face value. 5.44% is the annualized return you get. Investments 2
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Certificates of Deposit (CD)
Investments 2 Certificates of Deposit (CD) Issued by Denomination Maturity Liquidity Default risk Interest type Taxation Depository Institutions Any, $100,000 or more are marketable Varies, typically 14 day minimum 3 months or less are liquid, if negotiable First $100,000 ($250,000) is insured Add on Interest income is fully taxable Investments 2 10
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Commercial Paper Issued by Maturity Denomination Liquidity
Investments 2 Commercial Paper Issued by Maturity Denomination Liquidity Default risk Interest type Taxation Large creditworthy corporations and financial institutions Maximum 270 days, usually 1 to 2 months Minimum $100,000 3 months or less are liquid if marketable Unsecured, Rated, Mostly high quality Discount Interest income is fully taxable New Innovation: Asset backed commercial paper is backed by a loan or security. In summer 2007 asset backed CP market collapsed when subprime collateral values fell. Investments 2 11
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Repos and Reverses Repo screen from Bloomberg: 8/19/99 Investments 2
The other important money market instrument is the repurchase agreement. This is a secured financing vehicle. Suppose you hold $10 MM T-bond. You need some cash, but do not want to sell the bond because you believe the bond is going to appreciate. Then you can borrow money using the bond as collateral. Investments 2
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Repos and Reverses Repurchase Agreement (Repo)
Investments 2 Repos and Reverses Repurchase Agreement (Repo) Sale of high grade security with agreement to buy it back at higher prices Repo rate: Repo dealer’s borrowing rate implied in the repo price differentials. Convention: 360 day Treasury Security Repo Dealer Lender Day 0: Cash (P ) Treasury Security Day n: Repo Dealer Lender Cash (F ) Investments 2
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Repos and Reverses Reverse Repo
Investments 2 Repos and Reverses Reverse Repo Purchase of high grade security with agreement to sell it back at higher prices Rev/Repo rate: repo dealers’ lending rate implied in the price differentials Treasury Security Repo Dealer Borrower Day 0: Cash (P ) Treasury Security Day n: Repo Dealer Borrower Cash (F ) Investments 2
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Repos and Reverse Example
Investments 2 Repos and Reverse Example You have $2M worth of 26 weeks T-bill you’d like to hold to maturity. However, you need $2M cash urgently for a week. What to do? (Term) Reverse/Repo Day 0: Get $2M from a repo dealer by giving him T-bill Look at the reverse/repo rate to determine the amount of money to pay back Day 7: get the T-bill back by paying $2,001,925 to the repo dealer Investments 2
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Money Market Instrument Yields
Investments 2 Money Market Instrument Yields Yields on money market instruments are not always directly comparable! Factors influencing “quoted” yields Par value vs. investment value 360 vs. 365 days assumed in a year (366 leap year) Simple vs. Compound Interest Par Value is the face value of the instrument. Investment value is what you paid for it. Some rate methods use 360 days instead of 365 days BEY uses simple instead of compound interest. Three popular yield measurements used in quotations: Bank Discount Rate Bond Equivalent Yield Effective Annual Yield Investments 2 16
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Major Components of the Money Market
Investments 2 Major Components of the Money Market Investments 2 17
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MMMF and the Credit Crisis of 2008
Investments 2 MMMF and the Credit Crisis of 2008 Between 2005 and 2008 money market mutual funds (MMMFs) grew by 88%. MMMFs had their own crisis in 2008 when Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy on September 15. Some funds had invested heavily in Lehman’s commercial paper. On Sept. 16, Reserve Primary fund “broke the buck.” What does this mean? A run on money market funds ensued, and unsecured money market rates jumped up. The U.S. Treasury temporarily offered to insure all money funds (close to $3.4 trillion) to stop the run. Investments 2 18
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Spreads on CDs and Treasury Bills
Investments 2 Spreads on CDs and Treasury Bills Investments 2 19
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Spreads on Commercial Paper and T-Bills
Investments 2 Spreads on Commercial Paper and T-Bills Investments 2 20
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Fixed-Income Securities
Investments 2 Fixed-Income Securities Publicly Issued Treasury Notes and Bonds Agency Issues (Federal Government) Municipal Bonds Federal tax exemption Local and state tax exemption for state residents Privately Issued Corporate Bonds Mortgage-Backed Securities Investments 2
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Fixed-Income Securities
Investments 2 Fixed-Income Securities What are they? A security promising full payment of coupon and principal according to a fixed time schedule E.g., A 10 year $10,000 T-note with 6¼% coupon Three Prominent Characteristics Principal Face value of a bond Interest Coupon of a bond Maturity Life span of a bond We believe Clinton has no principle. We have no interest in Gore. And we think Lewinski has no maturity. Investments 2
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