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Dr. Georges H. Bongi Group Executive Marketing and Strategy
Wednesday, 03 April 2019 Dr. Georges H. Bongi Group Executive Marketing and Strategy Tel.Com Conference – 23 October 2002 MTN Business Solutions 12 Sept 2002
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Agenda The Realities of Today The Changes The Future
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The Realities of Today The Facts
Market Reaching a saturation level but ! As in many mobile markets, increased competition has driven Average Revenue per User down ARPU Voice and SMS Products Distribution and Cost of Sales Essentially retail Very high subsidisation Customer Services Focus on services level and not on agent expertise
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Penetration and Income Levels
Wednesday, 03 April 2019 International Market Overview Market Penetration and Growth Penetration and Income Levels Annual GDP/capita $10000+ $ $10000 $ $2999 Up to $1499 Penetration Source: Merrill Lynch estimates for EOP 1Q2002 from ‘Wireless Matrix’, June 2002 ‘All Africa’ figure from Informa (March 2002 data) MTN Business Solutions 12 Sept 2002
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South Africa Market Overview Subscribers’ Base, Growth and Penetration
Source: Pyramid Research
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The Realities of Today The Facts
Market Reaching a saturation level but ! As in many mobile markets, increased competition has driven Average Revenue per User down ARPU Voice and SMS Products Distribution and Cost of Sales Essentially retail Very high subsidisation Customer Services Focus on services level and not on agent expertise
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Minutes of use (mins/subs/month)
Wednesday, 03 April 2019 International Market Overview ARPU and Minutes of Use ARPU ($/month) Minutes of use (mins/subs/month) Source: Merrill Lynch estimates for 1Q2002 from ‘Wireless Matrix’, June 2002 No data available Source: Merrill Lynch estimates for 1Q2002 from ‘Wireless Matrix’, June 2002 MTN Business Solutions 12 Sept 2002
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Wt. Average of 45 Countries
International Market Overview ARPU Evolution Mobile Operator ARPUs US$ Regional ARPU Trends STABILISING in Europe and South Africa RISING in part of Asia DECLINING in the Americas 1999 2000 2001 2002 Wt. Average of 45 Countries Source: Merril Lynch, Wireless Matrix, 1Q02
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The Realities of Today The Facts
Market Reaching a saturation level but ! As in many mobile markets, increased competition has driven Average Revenue per User down ARPU Voice and SMS Products Distribution and Cost of Sales Essentially retail Very high subsidisation Customer Services Focus on services level and not on agent expertise
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The Realities of Today The Facts
Market Reaching a saturation level but ! As in many mobile markets, increased competition has driven Average Revenue per User down ARPU Voice and SMS Products Distribution and Cost of Sales Essentially retail Very high subsidisation Customer Services Focus on services level and not on agent expertise
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International Market Overview Handset Subsidies & Cost Per Gross Add
Wednesday, 03 April 2019 International Market Overview Handset Subsidies & Cost Per Gross Add US$ (Approximately) No CPGA data 70 60 Note (*): M-Cell handset subsidy: Goldman Sachs report, February 2002; no data one CPGA Source: Morgan Stanley, ‘Global Telecom Outlook’, June 2002 MTN Business Solutions 12 Sept 2002
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The Realities of Today The Facts
Market Reaching a saturation level but ! As in many mobile markets, increased competition has driven Average Revenue per User down ARPU Voice and SMS Products Distribution and Cost of Sales Essentially retail Very high subsidisation Customer Services Focus on services level and not on agent expertise
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Agenda The Realities of Today The Changes The Future
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Convergence of Industries
Wednesday, 03 April 2019 The Changes Convergence of Industries Data Telecom Industry Mobile Voice Fixed Voice Internet PC-LAN Infocom Industry Computer Industry PC Desktop computing Main frames Media Industry Electronic publishing We can currently observe a convergence of the telecommunications, computer and media industries into the so-called Infocom industry. Disappearing demarcation between local and remote computing devices, desktop video conferencing or voice over IP are just a few examples of the integration between the telecommunications and the computer industry. The media industry has recognised the huge potential of this emerging technical infrastructure and trying to exploit it by bringing electronic content to the consumer. To remain competitive in this converging environment of rapid (technological) change and almost unlimited opportunities, it is imperative for MTN to find a market position where they can differentiate themselves from the competition. Entertainment To remain competitive as a telecom player, MTN will develop a position in the emerging convergence market Source: Ericsson MTN Business Solutions 12 Sept 2002
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Communication is at the heart of people’s lives
Wednesday, 03 April 2019 The Changes Calling The Next Generation Communication is at the heart of people’s lives As a result, the mobile phone is infused with rich new meaning MTN Business Solutions 12 Sept 2002
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The Changes The Changing Face of Communications
Wednesday, 03 April 2019 The Changes The Changing Face of Communications People to People People to Devices Devices to Devices Homes Appliances Buildings Computers People Transportation Vehicles & Systems Intelligent Subscriber Devices This presentations will provide a complete overview of the heritage of wireless networks and the growth areas especially those with an increasing dependence on Data. Data, not only as a means of accessing the Internet but also as the technology that will help negate our dependence on traditional Central Office based switching technologies. Once the cost of radios come down, inanimate object will be able to communicate and now instead of SPs thinking in terms of 100’s of subscribers, they will now think in terms of 100’s of thousands. Telematics (think electric meters in homes, cars etc.) will drive a whole new scale of operation. We will also review the ways competing wireless technologies are positioning themselves for the move to Packet Data and show how Lucent leverages common platforms to enable common solutions that benefit any customer regardless of their technology choice. Vending Machines Multiple Connections per Person Networking Embedded in Household and Business Devices “Always On, Always Connected”, At Home, At Work, and On the Go MTN Business Solutions 12 Sept 2002
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Data “Take-rates” The Changes Video MMS SMS
Increase in services and applications Subscriber penetration % Video MMS SMS Time from Launch Successful Data Products will require faster subscriber take-rates than their Predecessors!
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Operators’ Challenges
The Changes Operators’ Challenges Rate of Innovation Optimum Return High Loss of return Medium Loss of opportunity Low Rate of Market Acceptance Low Medium High
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Agenda The Realities of Today The Changes The Future
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Life Enhancement Tools: Devices
Wednesday, 03 April 2019 The Future Life Enhancement Tools: Devices MTN Business Solutions 12 Sept 2002
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SUCCESS VOICE SMS MMS VIDEO MUST Mobile Services’ Evolution The Future
Availability of Solutions VOICE SMS MMS VIDEO Connectivity / Internet Access MUST
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International Data Penetration
The Future International Data Penetration Data as % of ARPU % Significant Europe: 10-15% SA: 3% Selected Countries - 3 / 2002 Source: Merril Lynch, Wireless Matrix, 1Q 2002
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Consolidated ARPU Projection
The Future Consolidated ARPU Projection % Shares of ARPU
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Beyond the Price Plan The Future: Consumer Segment
The World of Voice & SMS Price Plan The World of Applications Content is the Differentiator Price Plan is the Differentiator
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The Future: Business Segment Defining the Products Requirement
Divergent worker profiles utilise unique computing and communication technology to fulfil their function Mobility of the Device Handset GSM PDA Laptop Desktop Executives Rovers Knowledge Workers Providing distributed access improves on-the-job productivity Desk- bound Distributed nature of connections Wired WAN Wireless WAN Wireless LAN Wired SYNC Wired LAN Source: Ovum
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The Future: Business Segment Data Positioning
Wednesday, 03 April 2019 The Future: Business Segment Data Positioning MTN Applications Office X-Change Instant Office Telemetry Applications Messaging Applications M-Commerce Applications MTN Networking Solutions Internet/ Intranet Access Integration, data cost, security MTNdataLIVE (GPRS)) Always on line MTNdataFAST (HSCSD) Speed MTN Data Solutions Value Proposition MTNdataMESSAGE (SMS) Universal Access MTNdataLINK (CSD) Basic data transfer MTN Business Solutions 12 Sept 2002
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The Future: Business Segment Generic vs Specific Applications
Examples: G1 = Office Xchange G2 = Corporate Access IS1 = Fleet management IS2 = Navigation assistance BS1 = Wireless patient monitoring Solution Generic 4 G4 Industry Specific IS4 Business Specific BS4 Generic 3 G3 Industry Specific IS3 Business Specific BS3 Industry Specific IS2 Generic 2 G2 Business Specific BS2 Industry Specific IS1 Generic G1 Business Specific BS1 MTN multi-server plan DataLIVE DataFAST DataMESSAGE
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Network and Solution Partners
The Future: Service Delivery MTN and Partners Network and Solution Partners Ericsson Understanding the need of the business user Microsoft AST Comparex Develop and market horizontal and vertical solutions for improved productivity Third party developers Network Service Providers LEAF Integrate with MTN network Integrate solutions within corporate systems Integrated Service Delivery and Support
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The MTN journey to the Future has already started !
Summary Potential rebound thanks to new technology and data Market Data and usage stimulation ARPU From Voice to Video and Business Solutions Products Evolution of channels to match technological evolution Distribution and Cost of Sales Increase ability to support more complex products Customer Services And… The key of success for content Partnership The MTN journey to the Future has already started !
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The best way to predict the Future . . .
Wednesday, 03 April 2019 The best way to predict the Future . . . (Introduction to the video) is to create it Peter Drucker MTN Business Solutions 12 Sept 2002
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