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Farm Loan Waiver – A Band aid?
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Points to be covered Problems with Indian Agriculture
What is loan waiver? Need for loan waiver? Arguments in favour and against the loan waiver Solution / way out
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Problems with Indian Agriculture
Substantial workforce is involved in agriculture Majority of the land under agriculture is dependent on monsoon Traditional methods of irrigation No fixed revenues/returns Land fragmentation Agriculture credit Demonetisation
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Problems with Indian Agriculture – Land Fragmentation
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Agriculture Credit (As per Report on Medium Term Financial Inclusion by RBI)
Size of the land Co-op society Bank Informal Sources Marginal 10% 27% 63% Small 15% 48% 37% Semi-Medium 16% 50% 34% Medium 18% 32% Large 14% 64% 22% Report on Medium Term Financial Inclusion – RBI
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Previous Loan Waivers Year Points 1990
Announced by V P Singh Government Total expenditure of over ₹ Cr Covered loan waiver of up to ₹ 10000 2008 Announced by UPA government Applicable to small and marginal farmers Expenditure incurred was over ₹ Cr 2012 Announced by Samajawadi Party Waived loans up to ₹ 50000 Expenditure incurred was around ₹ 1650 Cr 2014 Elected governments in AP and Telangana announced loan waiver In case of Telangana it was announced for ₹ Cr In case of AP it was announced for loans up to ₹ 1.5 lakh 2016 AIADMK government announced loan waiver Small and marginal farmers owning up to 5 acres were covered The expenditure incurred was ₹ 5700 Cr 2017 - UP government has announced a loan waiver of ₹ Cr
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Arguments in Favour of Loan Waiver
Agriculture is in distress Agriculture distress is one of the contributing factors for the farmer suicides Two successive droughts in FY15 and FY16 followed by good monsoon in the next two years Why not for agriculture?
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Arguments Against the Loan Waiver
Moral Hazard Argument Not all the farmers are covered Creates a conflict between lenders and borrowers The fiscal deficit of the states/central government It’s a temporary solution Domino effect Implementation concerns
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Do loan waivers work? CAG Report 2013 World Bank Report 2012
Commission and Omission errors Issue with the certificate Issue with the design of the scheme World Bank Report 2012
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Way Forward DBT might be tried out
M S Swaminathan Committee Recommendations Efficient Agriculture Export Policy Efficient Implementation of reforms Empowering FPOs Regulating informal lending
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