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Masterclass on lifestyle change How to help patients lose weight?
Masterclass on lifestyle change How to help patients lose weight? Prof. Paul Aveyard Oxford, United Kingdom
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The risks from obesity
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Ischaemic heart disease and stroke mortality
by BMI Figure 1 Prospective Studies Collaboration (2009) Lancet 373: 1083–96 Prospective Studies Collaboration (2009) Lancet 373: 1083–96
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BMI and blood pressure (males) BMI and blood lipids (males)
Cholesterol concentration (mmol/L) Figure 2 (males only) Prospective Studies Collaboration (2009) Lancet 373: 1083–96
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BMI and risk of diabetes
Colditz et al. (1995) Ann Intern Med 122(7): 481-6 Age-adjusted relative risk of diabetes Figure 3 Colditz et al. (1995) Ann Intern Med 122(7): 481-6 (original article) Anderson et al. (2003) J Am Coll Nutr. 22(5): (systematic review) AL: not sure what the ‘Reference (1)’ is in the graph for? AC:The risks are relative to the group – this is therefore the reference (i.e. assigned a risk of 1) BMI category (kg/m2)
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Remaining average lifetime risk of diabetes by age and BMI
Diabetes Care 30(6): Probability of developing diabetes (%) Figure 4 (males only) Narayan et al. (2007) Diabetes Care 30(6): BMI
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Life expectancy in obesity
Lancet 2009; 373: 1083–96
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Interventions in primary care
Dept of Primary Care Health Sciences April 4, 2019
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The UK Primary Care Challenge
Typical GP list will have >1000 patients who may benefit from weight loss QOF requires GPs to record BMI, but does not require them to offer treatment. There is perceived to be a lack of effective treatment options. Primary Care Severe obesity and/or multiple comorbidities specialist referral Overweigh and/or low health risks self help
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What is needed in primary care?
Time Training Tools Treatments
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Lighten Up Trial RCT involving 6 interventions vs. comparator for 3 months Weight Watchers (n=100) Slimming World (n=100) Rosemary Conley (n=100) Size Down NHS (n=100) Pharmacy (n=70) GP provision (n=70) Choice (n = 100) Control group that had no intervention (n=100)
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Standard care vs. commercial programmes
Weight loss at 12 months Mean weight loss (kg) Jolly et al. (2011) BMJ 343: d6500
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Australia, Germany & UK Jebb et al. (2011) Lancet 378(9801): 1485-92
p<0.0001 Figures 11a and 11b 11a - Lighten Up Jolly et al. (2011) BMJ 343: d6500 11b - UK, Germany, Australia Jebb et al. (2011) Lancet 378(9801): 12 mth intervention – weight loss at 12mth Data presented here are from results where the baseline observation was carried forward - for comparability with BWeL Jebb et al. (2011) Lancet 378(9801):
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What effective weight loss interventions mean
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Weight loss in the Lighten Up trial (Jolly et al)
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Weight regain after programme end
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Evidence that length of time you are obese matters for health
Years obese Up to 5 HR 1.51, HR 1.94 HR 2.25 >25 HR 2.52 All adjusted for degree of obesity International Journal of Epidemiology 2011;40:985–996 Similar study JAMA. 2013;310(3): Rats compared Overfed Healthy diet Intermittent dieting International Journal of Obesity (2013) 37, 1088–1094
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Diabetes Prevention Program
Long-term follow-up Change in weight (kg) -6 Follow-up (yrs) 10 Control Lifestyle intervention Metformin Cumulative diabetes incidence (%) 60 Follow-up (yrs) 10 Figures 7a and 7b Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group (2009) Lancet 374:
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Conclusions Modest benefits from group-based commercial programmes
No benefits from programmes delivered by GPs and nurses Modest average benefits conceal large variation between people Modest temporary weight loss can lead to health benefits- weight loss does not need to be permanent
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