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Destination Trends and Threats What Is Keeping Us Up At Night
November 9, 2018
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Today’s Discussion What Happened on Tuesday? US States We Are Watching
Issues We Are Tracking
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What Happened on Tuesday?
Top Line Take
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What Happened on Tuesday? Top Line Take
Healthcare Jobs & The Economy
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What Happened on Tuesday? Top Line Take
The Democratic strategy of targeting women, minorities and the young was vindicated with the new House majority. There was record liberal turnout in many suburbs. The Republican strategy of targeting men, whites and rural voters was vindicated with the larger Senate majority. There was record conservative turnout in rural areas.
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What Happened on Tuesday? Top Line Take
Red areas stayed red; blue areas stayed blue. The only real movement was in districts that were purple — districts that had voted for Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama or had narrowly supported Trump- tipped overwhelmingly to Democrats.
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What Happened on Tuesday? Top Line Take
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What Happened on Tuesday? Top Line Take
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What Happened on Tuesday? Top Line Take
Two parties with two wildly different bases and philosophies are pulling farther and farther apart — and are certain to double down on divisiveness heading into 2020.
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What Happened on Tuesday? Top Line Take
The United States is in the midst of a political realignment. The contested 2000 presidential election. 9/11. The Iraq War. The Great Recession. Obama. Trump.
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What Happened on Tuesday? Top Line Take
US House of Representatives Democrats: 52,323,796 votes (51.4%) Republicans: 47,808,433 votes (46.9%) The contested 2000 presidential election. 9/11. The Iraq War. The Great Recession. Obama. Trump.
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What Happened on Tuesday? Top Line Take
US Senate Democrats: 46,718,545 votes (57.0%) Republicans: 33,879,703 votes (41.4%) The contested 2000 presidential election. 9/11. The Iraq War. The Great Recession. Obama. Trump.
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States We Are Watching
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New Governors – No Previous Government Experience
Illinois - JB Pritzker (D) Tennessee - Bill Lee (R) Wyoming - Mark Gordon (R) Oklahoma - Kevin Stitt (R) Connecticut - Ned Lamont (D)
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New Governors – Great Personal Wealth
Illinois - JB Pritzker (D) Tennessee - Bill Lee (R) Wyoming - Mark Gordon (R) Oklahoma - Kevin Stitt (R) Connecticut - Ned Lamont (D)
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States With Low Bond Ratings
Illinois (lowest) BBB New Jersey A- Kentucky A+ West Virginia AA- Pennsylvania AA- Michigan AA- Kansas AA- Connecticut AA- California AA-
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States Loosing Population
Illinois West Virginia Alaska Hawaii Louisiana Mississippi North Dakota Wyoming
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Change In State Trifectas
Voters in 46 states chose over 6,000 state legislators. Minnesota is the only state in the nation where the legislature is divided. The Senate remains in Republican control and the House flipped to the Democrats.
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Change In State Trifectas
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New State Trifectas Alaska (R) Connecticut (D) Illinois (D) Maine (D) New Mexico (D) New York (D) Nevada(D) Colorado (D) Also Guam & Virgin Islands
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Change From State Trifecta To Split
Kansas Michigan New Hampshire Wisconsin
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Issues We Are Tracking
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National Mentions of Transgender
Search Terms: bathroom bill OR gender identity and expression OR transgender.
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National Mentions of Transgender
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National Mentions of LGBT
Search Terms: (rights OR pride OR support OR community OR adoption OR marriage OR boycott OR ban) WITHIN 10 OF LGBT.
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National Mentions of Sanctuary Cities
Search Terms: sanctuary city. These terms serve as the basis for other searches that incorporate “undocumented immigrant,” “illegal aliens,” “boycott,” and “ban.”
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Sanctuary Cities - Last 12 Months
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National Mentions of Confederate - Last 5 Years
Search Terms: (monument OR flag OR memorabilia) WITHIN 10 OF confederate. A similar search includes “(white nationalists OR KKK OR neo-Nazis OR Alt-Right) WITHIN 10 OF rally.”
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National Mentions of Corporate Welfare
Search Terms: corporate welfare OR crony capitalism OR subsidies OR handouts OR picking winners and losers.
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National Mentions of Corporate Welfare
Search Terms: corporate welfare OR crony capitalism OR subsidies OR handouts OR picking winners and losers.
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National Mentions of Corporate Welfare - Last 30 Days
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National Mentions of Corporate Welfare
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Mentions of American For Prosperity
Search Terms: Americans for Prosperity OR Koch brothers OR individual liberty and responsibility OR economic freedom. A similar search includes “(size OR big OR small OR less OR spending) WITHIN 5 OF government.”
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Texas Mentions of Texas Public Policy Foundation
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National Mentions of Transparency
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National Mentions of Transparency
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National Mentions of Transparency
Search Terms: (Grants OR Contracts OR Budgets OR Funding OR Government) WITHIN 10 OF Transparency OR Accountability.
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National Mentions of Tourism Funding
Search Terms: (budget OR funding OR grant) WITHIN 10 OF tourism.
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National Mentions of Hotel Tax
Search Terms: (hotel OR bed OR lodging OR transient OR room) WITHIN 10 OF (tax OR fee OR assessment).
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Mentions of Tourism Funding / Hotel Tax
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National Mentions of Affordable Housing - State
Search Terms: homelessness OR affordable housing. These terms serve as the basis for other searches that incorporate “tourism” and “tax.”
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National Mentions of Affordable Housing - Local
Search Terms: homelessness OR affordable housing. These terms serve as the basis for other searches that incorporate “tourism” and “tax.”
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National Mentions of Affordable Housing
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National Mentions of Affordable Housing
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Thank You!
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