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Stock Selection in Korea
Beyond Efficient Frontier Capital Management Onthida Boonpiamsak Pab Jotikasthira Jeongsik Lee Neal Triplett Jaekeun Yoon
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Agenda Sorting method and attributes for screening Diagnostics
Factor/portfolio selection Optimization Conclusion
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Sorting Method Attributes for Screening
We used sorting method in stock selection: Univariate Attributes Dividend yield Earning growth Projected Earnings Growth Projected P/E ROE Reinvestment Rate Momentum (1mo., 1yr.) Cash Flow to Price Earnings to Price Book to Price Revenue Growth Bivariate Attributes BV/P and MCAP Dividend yield and Earning growth Dividend yield and Projected EY
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Diagnostics Performance Measurement Consistency Measurement
Average return and excess returns over market and risk-free % Periods > Market % Periods with positive return Average ranking score Consistency Measurement Standard deviations of returns and excess returns Year by year ranking score
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Factor /Portfolio Selection
Significant Attributes CF/P E/P PPE ROE RIR BV/P and MCAP DY and PPE
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Korean Stock Market (6/93-5/98)
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Factor/Portfolio Selection
Cash Flow/Price
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Factor/Portfolio Selection
Earning/Price
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Factor/Portfolio Selection
Prospective Price/Earning
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Factor/Portfolio Selection
Return On Equity
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Factor/Portfolio Selection
RIR
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Factor/Portfolio Selection
Low Book Value/price Sorted by MCAP
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Factor/Portfolio Selection
Low Dividend Yield Sorted by Projected P/E
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Optimization Match market volatility and maximize return:
Weight Weight (Top) (Bottom) BV/P and DY CF/P E/P PPE ROE RIR
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Optimization In-sample performance:
Beat market by 0.96% per month on average. Beat market 68.75% of the time. Out-of-sample test on 11-month data: Beat market by 2.83% per month on average. Beat market 72.73% of the time.
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Conclusion Significant attributes in selecting stocks include CF/P, E/P, PPE, ROE, RIR, and BV/P and dividend yield together. In Korea, stock selection (by sorting method) can help improve performance. One important finding is that top fractiles tend to have high correlations with one another; hence, we may need to use bottom fractiles to reduce volatility.
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