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Stock Selection in Korea

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Presentation on theme: "Stock Selection in Korea"— Presentation transcript:

1 Stock Selection in Korea
Beyond Efficient Frontier Capital Management Onthida Boonpiamsak Pab Jotikasthira Jeongsik Lee Neal Triplett Jaekeun Yoon

2 Agenda Sorting method and attributes for screening Diagnostics
Factor/portfolio selection Optimization Conclusion

3 Sorting Method Attributes for Screening
We used sorting method in stock selection: Univariate Attributes Dividend yield Earning growth Projected Earnings Growth Projected P/E ROE Reinvestment Rate Momentum (1mo., 1yr.) Cash Flow to Price Earnings to Price Book to Price Revenue Growth Bivariate Attributes BV/P and MCAP Dividend yield and Earning growth Dividend yield and Projected EY

4 Diagnostics Performance Measurement Consistency Measurement
Average return and excess returns over market and risk-free % Periods > Market % Periods with positive return Average ranking score Consistency Measurement Standard deviations of returns and excess returns Year by year ranking score

5 Factor /Portfolio Selection
Significant Attributes CF/P E/P PPE ROE RIR BV/P and MCAP DY and PPE

6 Korean Stock Market (6/93-5/98)

7 Factor/Portfolio Selection
Cash Flow/Price

8 Factor/Portfolio Selection
Earning/Price

9 Factor/Portfolio Selection
Prospective Price/Earning

10 Factor/Portfolio Selection
Return On Equity

11 Factor/Portfolio Selection
RIR

12 Factor/Portfolio Selection
Low Book Value/price Sorted by MCAP

13 Factor/Portfolio Selection
Low Dividend Yield Sorted by Projected P/E

14 Optimization Match market volatility and maximize return:
Weight Weight (Top) (Bottom) BV/P and DY CF/P E/P PPE ROE RIR

15 Optimization In-sample performance:
Beat market by 0.96% per month on average. Beat market 68.75% of the time. Out-of-sample test on 11-month data: Beat market by 2.83% per month on average. Beat market 72.73% of the time.

16 Conclusion Significant attributes in selecting stocks include CF/P, E/P, PPE, ROE, RIR, and BV/P and dividend yield together. In Korea, stock selection (by sorting method) can help improve performance. One important finding is that top fractiles tend to have high correlations with one another; hence, we may need to use bottom fractiles to reduce volatility.


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