1. Employment Outlook: 2010-20 Employment Projections Program
Presented by the Bureau of Labor Statistics
March 16, 2012

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8. Presenters
Presenters:
Dixie Sommers
James Franklin Bureau of Labor Statistics
Alexandra Hall State of Colorado
Moderator:
Samuel Wright Employment and Training Administration

9. Introduction of Presenters
Dixie Sommers
Assistant Commissioner for Occupational Statistics and Employment Projections Bureau of Labor Statistics
James Franklin Chief, Division of Industry Employment Projections Bureau of Labor Statistics
Alexandra Hall
Director, Labor Market Information
State of Colorado

10. Overview
Background information
Population and labor force
Economic and Industry growth
Occupational growth
National Projections is a key input for State Projections

11. Employment Projections Background
10-year projections made every 2 years
projections cover over occupations and 300 industries
Projections are used to produce the Occupational Outlook Handbook—which has been published since 1949

12. Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections Products
Occupational Outlook Handbook
Occupational Outlook Quarterly
Long-term employment projections by industry and occupation
Technical materials— replacement rates, education and training categories, and more

13. Employment Outlook:
Population and
Labor Force
Growth

14. Population and Labor Force
2000
2010
Projected 2020
2000
2010
Projected 2020
Population Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau

15. Population Growth Rate
Annual rates of change
Population Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau

16. Labor Force Participation Rates
Percent

17. Labor Force Share by Age Group

18. Labor Force Share by Race

19. Labor Force Share by Ethnicity

20. Labor Force Growth by Race and Ethnicity
Change in millions, projected

21. Economic and Industry Growth
Employment Outlook:
Economic and Industry Growth

22. Real Gross Domestic Product Growth
Annual rate of change
Historic Data Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

23. Nominal GDP by Component
Percent of GDP
Historic Data Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

24. Employment

25. Total Nonfarm Payroll Employment
In millions
NOTE: BLS does not project specific data for years to The interim years between 2010 and the 2020 projection point are expressed by a straight dashed line only.

26. Employment and Output: 2010
Percent distribution

27. Employment by Industry Sector: 2010
Thousands of wage and salary jobs
Service providing
Goods producing

28. Percent Change in Employment by Industry Sector: Projected 2010-20
Annual rate of change for wage and salary employment
Total nonagricultural wage and salary growth= 1.4%
Service providing
Goods producing

29. Employment Change by Industry Sector: Projected 2010-20
Thousands of wage and salary jobs
Service providing
Goods producing

30. Occupational Employment
Employment Outlook:
Occupational Employment

31. Employment by Major Occupational Group: 2010
Thousands of jobs
(Continued on next slide)

32. Employment by Major Occupational Group: 2010
Thousands of jobs
(Continued)

33. Percent Change in Employment by Major Occupational Group
Projected
Average, all occupations = 14.3%
(Continued on next slide) 33

34. Percent Change in Employment by Major Occupational Group
Projected
(Continued)
Average, all occupations = 14.3%

35. Employment Change by Major Occupational Group
Thousands of jobs, projected
(Continued on next slide)

36. Employment Change by Major Occupational Group
Thousands of jobs, projected
(Continued)

37. Employment Trends for Occupational Groups whose Employment Declined 2006-10
Percent of 2006 employment
NOTE: BLS does not project specific data for years to The interim years between 2010 and the 2020 projection point are expressed by a straight dashed line only.

38. Employment Trends for Occupational Groups with Little Employment Change 2006-10
Percent of 2006 employment
NOTE: BLS does not project specific data for years to The interim years between 2010 and the 2020 projection point are expressed by a straight dashed line only.

39. Employment Trends for Occupational Groups whose Employment Increased 2006-10
Percent of 2006 employment
NOTE: BLS does not project specific data for years to The interim years between 2010 and the 2020 projection point are expressed by a straight dashed line only.

40. Job Openings by Major Occupational Group
Thousands of job openings, projected
(Continued on next slide)

41. Job Openings by Major Occupational Group
(Continued)
Thousands of job openings, projected

42. Fastest Growing Occupations
Median annual
wages, May 2010
$19,640
$20,560
$81,540
$27,780
$25,760
$29,710
$38,430
$49,690
$26,740
$45,260
Percent change, projected

43. Occupations with the Largest Job Growth
Median annual
wages, May 2010
$64,690
$20,670
$20,560
$19,640
$26,610
$17,950
$30,460
$37,770
$23,460
$45,690
Thousands of jobs, projected

44. Occupations with the Most Job Openings
Median annual
Wages, May 2010
$20,670
$18,500
$18,330
$64,690
$17,950
$26,610
$23,460
$30,460
$20,560
$22,210
Thousands of job openings, projected

45. Education and Training Classification
New classification system introduced with projections
Consists of three categories of information for each occupation:
Typical education needed for entry
Work experience in a related occupation
Typical on-the-job training needed to attain competency in the occupation

46. Employment by Typical Entry-level Education Category: 2010
Median annual
Wages, May 2010
$87,500
$60,240
$63,430
$61,590
$34,220
$44,350
$34,180
$20,070
Thousands of jobs

47. Percent Change in Employment by Typical Entry-level Education Category
Average, all occupations = 14.3%
Percent change, projected

48. Employment Change by Typical Entry-level Education Category
Thousands of jobs, projected

49. Bachelor’s Degree Occupations with the Largest Job Growth
Median annual
wages, May 2010 N
I/R
$51,660
$61,690
1-5
$78,160
$87,790
$94,180
$77,740
$60,570
$51,960
$69,160
$53,230
Thousands of jobs, projected

50. High School Diploma Occupations with the Largest Job Growth
Median annual
wages, May 2010 N S
$26,610
$30,460
1-5
$37,770
$19,300 M
$34,030
$25,240
$52,440
$30,530
$47,460 A
$39,530
Thousands of jobs, projected

51. Contact Information
Dixie Sommers James Franklin Employment Projections Program

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