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Water vapour changes in PDRMIP simulations
Øivind Hodnebrog, Gunnar Myhre, Bjørn H. Samset + PDRMIP PDRMIP, London 11-12 May, 2017
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Hydrological sensitivity
Kvalevåg et al. (2013, GRL) defined a new hydrological sensitivity as “the change in water vapour lifetime per change in surface temperature caused by a radiative forcing” Explored for different drivers in one model (CAM4) Slowdown of hydrological cycle for all drivers Lifetime of water vapour responds only to stabilization changes from atmospheric absorption slow fast Kvalevåg et al. (2013, GRL)
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Hydrological sensitivity
Slow δ (days/K) slow fast Kvalevåg et al. (2013, GRL)
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Hydrological sensitivity
Fast δ (days/K) slow fast Kvalevåg et al. (2013, GRL)
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Hydrological sensitivity
Total δ (days/K) slow fast Kvalevåg et al. (2013, GRL)
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Hydrological sensitivity
Total δ (days/K)
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Water vapour lifetime δ (days/K) Δτ (days)
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Water vapour lifetime τ (days) Δτ (days)
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Water Column Relative change normalized by ∆Ts (%/K) Model mean
prw variable is missing in data from IPSL and HadGEM3. MPI has been skipped.
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Water Column Relative change normalized by ∆Ts (%/K) BCx10
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Further analysis Evaluation of water column against MODIS/ECMWF
Water vapour lifetime change (δ) in historical and future runs in CMIP5 models Surface relative humidity change – land/sea contrast Vertical profiles of specific humidity CO2x2 BCx10 Fixed SST
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Extra
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Water Column Relative change normalized by ∆Ts (%/K) CO2x2
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Absolute change in near-surface RH (%) – coupled
hurs: MIROC, HadGEM2, CanESM2, CAM4, CAM5, NorESM1 hur (lev=1 of regridded fields): HadGEM3, GISS, IPSL
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Absolute change in near-surface RH (%) – fsst
hurs: MIROC, HadGEM2, CanESM2, CAM4, CAM5, NorESM1 hur (lev=1 of regridded fields): HadGEM3, GISS, IPSL
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Evaporation Relative change normalized by ∆Ts for each driver (%/K)
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Specific humidity profiles
CO2x2 BCx10 (scaled by ΔTs) Coupled Fixed SST
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