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FIN 360: Corporate Finance
Topic 5: Time Value of Money II: Cash Flow Streams Larry Schrenk, Instructor
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Today’s Outline General Notes Time Value of Money Rates of Change
Mixed Cash Flows Annuities Perpetuities Non-Annual Cash Flows Rates of Change Amortization
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1. General Notes
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Time Lines The Use of Time Lines Temporal Indices: t T 1, 2, 3,… 1 2 3
1 2 3 4 5 6 T C0 C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 CT
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Negatives Possible Representations Calculation: Same as Positive -10
(10) 10 Note: I will never use just color indicate a negative value. Calculation: Same as Positive
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‘Negatives’ Rule For problems covered in the this topic.
Of the dollar values entered from the data Make one and only one negative. It does not matter which one.
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2. Time Value of Money A. Mixed Cash Flows
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Mixed Cash Flows Non-Constant Examples
Calculate individually, them sum. 1 2 3 4 $101.24 $200.12 -$300.34 $2.23 1 2 3 4 $55.00 -$16.00
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Mixed Cash Flows: Example
1 2 3 4 $55.00 -$16.00 Assume a 10% discount rate N = 1; I/Y = 10; FV = -55; PV = 50.00 N = 2; I/Y = 10; FV = -(-16); PV = N = 3; I/Y = 10; FV = -55; PV = 41.32 N = 4; I/Y = 10; FV = -(-16); PV = Sum: – – = $67.20 Note: Easier Calculator Function Later.
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B. Annuities
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Annuities Annuities A finite series of constant cash flows, e.g.,
$100 per year for 5 years $10 per month for 7 months Variables Cash Flow Amount (per period) PMT key on your Calculator Date of the First Payment Period (weekly, quarterly, annually) Length (or Number) of Payments
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Annuities A 5 year annual, annuity of $50 beginning in year 1:
TECHNICAL NOTE: When we use the term ‘annuity’ we mean an ‘annuity in arrears’, i.e., an annuity whose first payment begins next (not this) period. An annuity that begins this period is called an ‘annuity due’ and will be considered toward the end of the lecture. 1 2 3 4 5 6 50 50 50 50 50
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Payments begin next period.
Annuity Time Line The constant cash flows of a 3 year annuity of $ per year at 10%: I/Y I/Y I/Y 1 2 3 PMT PMT PMT 10% 10% 10% 1 2 3 Payments begin next period. $100.00 $100.00 $ ▪
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Annuities Annuities can always be valued as a series of one time cash flow (r = 7%): 1 2 3 4 5 6 50 50 50 50 50
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Uses of Annuity: PV Present Value of an Annuity
‘Borrowing’ Problems (Loans) How much can I borrow (PV)? How much are my payments (PMT)? What interest rate am I getting (I/Y)? How long will it take (N)? ‘Value Now’ Problems How much is it worth now(PV)? How much are my cash flows(PMT)? What is the interest rate (I/Y)? How long does it go on(N)?
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Uses of Annuity: FV Future Value of an Annuity
‘Savings’ Problems (Retirement Fund) How much will I have (FV)? How much are my payments (PMT)? What interest rate am I getting (I/Y)? How long will it take (N)?
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Annuities: PV Formula Present Value Formula:
NOTE: The formula assumes that the first payment begins next period!
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Annuities: PV Example Thus:
N = 5; I/Y = 7; PV = $205.01; PMT = -50; FV = 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 50 50 50 50 50
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Annuities: FV Formula Future Value Formula :
NOTE: The formula assumes that the first payment begins next period and it give the future value in year T!
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Annuities: FV Example Thus:
N = 5; I/Y = 7; PV = 0; PMT = -50; FV = $287.54 1 2 3 4 5 6 50 50 50 50 50
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Cash Flow Problems
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Cash Flow, Time and Interest Rates
Annuities have three additional variables: Cash Flow Interest Rate Time PV and FV Versions
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Cash Flow Problems The are Two Versions of Cash Flow Problems
Present Value: What it the payment on a loan? Future Value: What do you need to save to achieve an investment goal?
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PV Cash Flow Problems Payments on a loan.
For example, if I borrow $1, at 11% for 5 years, what are my payments? That is a question of calculating the cash flows of an annuity. N = 5; I/Y = 11; PV = -1,000; PMT = ; FV = 0
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FV Cash Flow Problems Future value cash flow problems are the ‘savings’ problems. For example, if I want to have $100, in 5 years and the rate of interest is 11%, how much do I have to save per year? N = 5; I/Y = 11; PV = 0; PMT = 16,057.03; FV = -100,000
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Interest Rate Problems
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Interest Rate Problems
The are Two Versions of Interest Rate Problems Present Value: What it the interest rate on a loan? Future Value: What interest rate do you need to achieve an investment goal?
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PV Interest Rate Problems
Interest rate on a loan For example, if I borrow $1, for 5 years and repay it $250 per year, what is the interest rate? That is a question of calculating the interest on a loan. N = 5; I/Y = 7.93%; PV = 1,000; PMT = -250; FV = 0
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FV Interest Rate Problems
Interest rate on investments For example, if I want to have $1, in 5 years and can save $150 per year, what is the interest rate? That is a question of calculating the interest on an investment. N = 5; I/Y = 14.43%; PV = 0; PMT = -150; FV = 1,000
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Time Problems
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Time Problems The are Two Versions of Time Problems
Present Value: How long will it take to repay a loan? Future Value: How long will it take to save a certain amount?
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PV Time Problems If I borrow $1, at 11%, and I want to make annual payments of $350.00, how long will it take me to repay the loan? N = 3.62; I/Y =11; PV = -1,000; PMT = 350; FV = 0 3.62 = 0.62 x 12 = 7.44 7 3 years 7 months
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FV Time Problems I need $1, and can save $150 per year. If I can get a return of 11%, how long will it take me to reach my goal? N = 5.27; I/Y =11; PV = 0; PMT = 150; FV = -1,000 5.27 = 0.27 x 12 = 3.24 3 5 years 3 months
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Annuities Due
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Annuities Due Cash Flow Begins Now Method Not Next Period
Calculator: Change ‘END’ to ‘BEGIN’
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Annuities Due An annuity due is an annuity that begins this period, not next. Five Year Annuity of $100 per Year Five Year Due Annuity of $100 per Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 50 50 50 50 50 1 2 3 4 5 6 50 50 50 50 50
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Annuities Due What is the value of a 5 year annual, annuity due of $500 (r = 5%)? BEG/END = BEG; N = 5; I/Y = 5; PV = $2,272.98; PMT = -500; FV = 0
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C. Perpetuities
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Perpetuities Perpetuity
An infinite series of constant cash flows, e.g., $100 per year forever $10 per month forever Variables Cash Flow Amount (per period) Date of the First Payment Period (weekly, quarterly, annually)
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Perpetuities Valuing a Perpetuity Note:
Since perpetuities are infinite, they cannot have a future value.
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Perpetuity Example EXAMPLE
What is the present value of $1,000 per year (r = 10%)
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Growing Perpetuities A Growing Perpetuity
An infinite series of changing cash flows, e.g., If g = 5%, then $100.00, $105.00, , , … Variables Cash Flow Amount The Date of the First Payment The Period (weekly, quarterly, annually) Growth Rate
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Growing Perpetuities Valuing a Growing Perpetuity Three Notes:
The growth can be positive or negative, e.g., the cash flow can either increase or decline at x% per period. C1 refers to next period’s cash flow. There are economic reasons why g is never greater than r.
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Growing Perpetuities EXAMPLE
What is the present value of $1,000 per year growing at 3% per year (r = 10%)
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Growing Perpetuities EXAMPLE
What is the present value of $1,000 per year declining at 3% per year (r = 10%)
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Cash Flow and Interest Rate Problems
It is easy to solve perpetuity formula For the cash flow and The interest rate.
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Cash Flow and Interest Rate Problems
A perpetuity is valued at $5,000 and the interest rate is 7%. What is its cash flow? A perpetuity valued at $5,000 has a cash flow is $400. Find the rate?
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D. Non-Annual Cash Flows
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Non-Annual Periods m = Periods per Year Examples 2 = Semi-Annual
4 = Quarterly 12 = Monthly 52 = Weekly 364 or 360 = Daily
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Calculator Adjustments
Two Changes: Periods per Year (P/Y) Adjust P/Y to m Weekly P/Y = 52 Number of Periods (N) Remember N is the Number of Periods Monthly Discounting for 5 Years N = 12 x 5 = 60
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Changing P/Y TI [2nd ] [I/Y] m [Enter] HP m [Orange] PMT
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FV and Compounding Period
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PV and Compounding Period
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Single Dollar How much do we have after 2 years if we deposit $500 and the interest rate is 10% (compounded quarterly)? Set P/Y = 4 Input 8, Press N (2 x 4 = 8) Input 10, Press I/Y (annual rate) Input 500, press +/-, press PV (you get -500) Press CPT, FV to get $609.20
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Non-Annual Annuities Unfortunately, not all annuities have annual cash flows: Bonds Semi-annual coupons, Loans Monthly payments, Dividends Quarterly, We can put money in a bank quarterly, weekly, daily or even hourly. Need a mechanism for adapting all of our annuity formulae for non-annual periods.
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Annuity FV with a Calculator
How much do we have after 3 years if we save $200 per month beginning next month and the interest rate is 12%? Set P/Y = 12 Input 0, Press PV Input 36, Press N (3 x 12 = 36) Input 12, Press I/Y Input 200, press +/-, press PMT (you get -200) Press CPT, FV to get $8,615.38
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Annuity PV with a Calculator
You have a loan of $10,000 to be repaid in monthly installments over 5 years with an interest rate of 15%? What is the monthly payment? Set P/Y = 12 Input 0, Press FV Input 60, Press N (5 x 12 = 60) Input 15, Press I/Y Input 10,000, press +/-, press PV (you get -10,000) Press CPT, PMT to get $237.90
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Non-Annual Practice Problems
How much will you have if you save $ per month for 25 years at 8%? $95,102.64 How much can you borrow if you pay $50.00 per week for 5 years at 7%? $10,962.57 How much do you need to save per month to have $10,000 in 5 years at 10%? ▪ $ ▪
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Non-Annual Perpetuities
Formula: Remember that C is the period cash flow.
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T-S-P If you increase the number of periods per year, the present value will: Increase Remain the same Decrease Cannot determine
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3. Rates of Change
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Percentages Using Absolute (Dollar) Value versus Ratios (e.g., Percentages) Numerical Representation of Percentages Integer Form 5% Decimal Form 0.05 If in doubt, use the decimal form!
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Percentages Calculating a Percentage Basis Points
If you have 35 balls and 12 are red, what is the percentage of red balls? Basis Points A ‘basis point’ is 1/100 of a percentage 1% = 100 basis points 0.25% = 25 basis points
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Types of Rate of Change Problem
Three types of change are central: Returns: Change of Dollar Value over Time Growth Rates: Change of Size over Time Inflation: Change of Prices over Time
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Simple Rates (Interest)
Returns Return on your principal, but No return on the accumulated interest $100 in an account for three year at 12% simple interest = $136.
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Compound Rates (Interest)
Returns Return on your principal, and Return on the accumulated interest $100 in an account for three year at 12% compound interest A gain of $4.49 over simple interest! 100.00 1 100.00*1.12 112.00 2 112.00*1.12 125.44 3 125.44*1.12 140.49
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Holding Period Return Most basic rate calculation
Change from one point of time (t = 0) to another (t = 1):
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Holding Period Return My portfolio was worth $123,000 5 years ago and it is now worth $131,000: REMEMBER: The earlier value always goes in the denominator!
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Holding Period Return Problem: Comparing assets with different holding periods. Which is better? 7.8% over 7 years 10.5% over 10 year Need a common time period Convert all rates to an annual basis ‘Annualize’ them (as with ratios)
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Non-Annual Rates For example, monthly data for stock returns.
If a stock was at $110 at the end of last month and $108 at the end of this month: Need to annualize the return.
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Rate Conversions
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Rate Conversions Most often we will be converting a non-annual rate to an annual rate. Unfortunately, there are several ‘versions’ of annual rates.
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Conversions HPR EAR APR
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Annual Percentage Rate (APR)
This is an application of simple (not compound) interest. AKA: Nominal, Stated, Quoted Rate
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APR Example If you have a monthly HPR of 2%
But if I put $100 in an account at 2% per month and left it there for 12 months, I would have: So the APR understates my return by 2.82%!
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Effective Annual Return (EAR)
The correct annual rate to use is the Effective Annual Return (EAR). This form of the annual rate recognizes compound interest. AKA: Equivalent Annual Return (EAR)
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Effective Annual Return (EAR)
If you have an APR and want to convert it to EAR: In our example, we had an APR of 24%.
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Effective Annual Return (EAR)
If you have an HPR and want to convert it to EAR: In our example, we had a monthly rate of 2%.
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IMPORTANT DISTINCTION
Formula: APR EAR Formula: HPR EAR
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Effective Annual Return (EAR)
We can also start with the EAR and find any equivalent HPR. If my EAR is 31%, then the equivalent weekly HPR is:
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Calculator Functions Nom = Nominal Rate (APR)
Eff = Effective Rate (EAR)
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Rate Practice HPRweekly = 0.2%. Find EAR and APR.
APRweekly = 20%. Find EAR EAR = 10%. Find HPRquarterly. ▪
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4. Amortization
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Amortization Installment Loan Compound Interest Equal Payments
Distinguish Repayment of Principle Repayment of Interest
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Amortization Graph
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Amortization Example Loan: $1,000 Maturity: 3 years Interest Rate: 8%
Period: Annual Calculate Equal Payments N =3; I/Y = 8; PV = -1,000; PMT = $388.03; FV = 0
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Amortization Calculation
Find Interest due on Balance. Subtract Interest from Payment to get Principle. Subtract Principle from Balance to get New Balance.
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Amortization Calculation
Year 1 2 3 Begin Bal. 1,000 691.97 359.29 Payment 388.03 Interest 80.00 55.36 28.74 Interest 80.00 55.36 28.74 Principal 308.03 332.68 359.29 Principal 308.03 332.68 359.29 End Bal. 691.97 359.29 End Bal. 691.97 359.29 Interest = Rate x Balance 359.29(0.08) = 28.74 691.97(0.08) = 55.36 1,000(0.08) = 80 Principal = Payment – Interest – 80 = – = – = Balance = Balance – Principal – = 1,000 – = – = 0
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