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Partner presentations – some preliminary PEN findings

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1 Partner presentations – some preliminary PEN findings
PEN workshop, Bogor, March 2009

2 Forest income and poverty
Forest income share higher than all, except 2, predicted From % Average 25 % (Khaled &Pablo leading the prophet race) +8% more than you guessed. Some of you should be very surprised. If high: one single commercial product Brazil nut in B&B, Acai (Brazil), Tung oil (China)

3 Poverty profile Absolute forest income (forest use):
More for the rich for all except Marie Relative forest income (forest dependence) About half had a clear pro-poor profile

4 Which forest products Fuelwood listed as most important in 2/3 of cases Pricing? Sawnwood important in some Underestimating wood, it’s not only for the rich guys? Few NTFPs products dominate NTFP-inflation? Coding artifact? After all, forest is mainly wood?

5 Safety net and shocks Limited role
Reflect direct response Some exceptions (e.g. Ethiopia and Bangladesh) Need more detailed statistical analysis Do hh experiencing shocks have higher forest income, cet.par. ? Strong seasonality in most studies Interesting for further studies

6 Some more points Many data issues remain: Cleaning Coding Pricing
Better analysis to test hypotheses


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