1. U. S. Senate Kavanaugh Confirmation Hearing of Fall 2018
Can Tilly (1978) Help?
U. S. Senate Kavanaugh Confirmation Hearing of Fall 2018

2. Democrats Opposing Kavanaugh
Members of the Confirmation Committee (ten Democrats)
Walked out on Friday
Kamala Harris; California; now asks that we support Donnelly
Sheldon Whitehouse, Rhode Island
Richard Blumenthal, Connecticut
Mazie Hirono, Hawaii
Corey Booker, New Jersey (later joined other four?)
Diane Feinstein: senior Democrat, Californian
contacted by Dr. Christine Blasey Ford, who initially wanted to remain anonymous
Initially hesitated to use allegation
Sources: J&C 9/28-31/2018; NYT Sunday Review: 9/23, 30/ Kamala Harris

3. Democrats Opposing Kavanaugh (continued)
Members (continued)
Did not walk out?
Amy Klobucher, Minnesota
Dick Durbin, Illinois (said he will vote no)
Christopher Coons, Delaware
Patrick Leahy, Vermont (most senior member)
Other Democrats
Donnelly: junior senator from Indiana; decided to oppose Kavanaugh on Friday 9/28/2018
Others who oppose Kavanaugh?
Sources: J&C 9/28-31/2018; NYT Sunday Review: 9/23, 30/ Kamala Harris

4. Republicans Supporting Kavanaugh
Republicans in Senate: 51 of 100 Senators (down from 54: )
Concerned Republicans: Lisa Murkowsky, Alaska, and Susan Collins, Maine
47 Dems (up from 44: ; including Jeff Sessions’ replacement in January of 2018, after Republicans lost special election in Alabama)
2 Independents (including Bernie Sanders)
Committee Members
Orin Hatch, Utah: former chair of judiciary committee; voted for Clarence Thomas; reported, “It’s time to end the circus” on Friday 9/28/2018; wrote FBI on Saturday 9/29 to assure they stick to limited scope and time line
Jeff Flake, Arizona: lame duck who endorsed Kavanaugh but later insisted on one week FBI investigation
All the other white men on the committee; all from South or West
Sources: J&C 9/30/2018: 10A

5. Questions Why did Feinstein hesitate to use allegation earlier?
Why did half the Democratic committee members walk out?
Why did the others stay?
Why did Flake support a delay?
Why did Trump approve the delay?
Who won the battle on Friday?
What did they win?
What risks did they take?
Why?
So What?

6. What Would Tilly Say? Which interests are most important here?
What are the issues?
How powerful are the antagonists?
What are the opportunities?
What are the threats?
How were resources be mobilized?
Who acted? How? When? Why? So What?