1. Target Setting for Child Outcomes
Conference Call
October 30, 2009

2. Today we will discuss Baseline data trends
Data analysis to help set targets
Involving stakeholders
Target data trends
Improvement planning

3. The Summary Statements
Of those children who entered or exited the program below age expectations in each Outcome, the percent who substantially increased their rate of growth by the time they exited the program.
The percent of children who were functioning within age expectations in each Outcome by the time they exited the program.

4. What is due in February, 2010? In Feb, 2010 SPP/APR report, states:
Establish baseline for C3/B7
Calculate 2 summary statements based on your a-e progress categories
Baseline must (and can only) include all children who exited between 7/1/08 and 6/30/09
Set targets for FFY 2009 and FFY 2010
Targets for FFY 2009 can be lower than baseline
Targets for FFY 2010 must be higher than baseline

5. APR Reporting Feb, 2011 Report actual data
Compare actual data to FFY 2009 targets and discuss progress or slippage
HAVE THE OPTION to revise baseline using actual data reported in 2011 if the state believes the original baseline was inaccurate
If you revise baseline, you MUST provide rationale for revising
If you revise baseline, you may also revise targets for FFY 2010 based on new baseline

6. Baseline and Targets: Typical Timelines

7. OR Baseline and Target can be Revised in Feb, 2011

8. Reasons for Expected State Variation
States have different eligibility criteria
Some states may not yet have representative data (phasing in outcomes data collection)
Some states are still working on improving data quality

9. Looking at data by local program e.g. “e” category and SS2

16. Looking at data by local program e.g. “b” category and SS1

23. Comparing by Eligibility Category

27. Early Childhood Outcomes Center

28. Summarize across local programs

29. Early Childhood Outcomes Center
Summary of Outliers in Local System Data
Local ID (N)
A low
A high
B low
B high
C low
C high
A SS1 lo
A SS1 hi
A SS2 lo
A SS2 hi
B SS1 lo
B SS1 hi
B SS2 lo
B SS2 hi
C SS1 lo
C SS1 hi
C SS2 lo
C SS2 hi
1 (152)
2 (61) x
3 (52)
4 (37)
5 (50)
6 (76)
7 (47)
8 (33)
9 (30)
10 (45)
11 (127)
12 (69)
13 (42)
14 (152)
15 (74)
Early Childhood Outcomes Center

30. Possible Reasons for Outliers
“bad data”-Not using data collection tools appropriately
“good data”- serving different population of children
“good data”- related to different program practices

31. ECO/NECTAC Resources re: target setting
Summary statement calculator --
National Conference calls
Conference Call on Summary Statements - June 9, 2009
Conference Call on Target Setting - June 16, 2009
Conference Call on Updating SPP/APR Indicators – August 13, 2009
Suggested format for Feb 2010 SPP/APR:

32. ECO/NECTAC Resources re: target setting
Individualized TA with states:
Supporting states in preparing for stakeholder discussions on target setting
Supporting states in looking at their data in various ways
Resources:
Looking at State data:
Playing with data:

33. Resources for Stakeholder Groups
Overview PPT titled “Opening”: includes overview to why report outcomes data, the 3 outcome areas, the 5 progress categories, target setting
PPT titled “Summary Statements”:
PPT titled “EIA”: interpreting data and planning improvement activities

34. Baseline and Targets: Typical Timelines

35. OR Baseline and Target can be Revised in Feb, 2011

36. Comments?
Reactions?
Questions?