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MWO 56.81% vs S&P500 40.54% (diff. +16.27%).

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Presentation on theme: "MWO 56.81% vs S&P500 40.54% (diff. +16.27%)."— Presentation transcript:

1 MWO 56.81% vs S&P % (diff %)

2 DISCLOSURE

3 “If you’re terrific in this business, you’re right six out of 10”
(Peter Lynch)

4 FREE CASH FLOW

5 One of the biggest content providers around the world
Reaching around 1.2 billion households around the world

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7

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9 Discovery: MCAP: $21.5 billion Share: $29.00 (DISCK) Net debt: ~$18 billion (Q2 2018) EV: ~$40 billion FY 2018: FCF of $1.5 billion P/FCF: ~14X (not so cheap, right?)

10 John Malone I used to go to shareholder meetings and someone would ask about earnings, and I’d say, ‘I think you’re in the wrong meeting’.

11 Discovery: IPO

12 Discovery: 5 years

13 Discovery: 2 years

14 Why Is The Stock Down? Discovery took on debt to acquire Scripps for roughly $14.6 billion The buybacks stopped

15 Industry Problems There is huge competitive challenge going on between scripted and unscripted content. Amazon; Netflix; Apple, YouTube Premium.

16 Discovery Problems 1) Focus on paying down debt; presently looking to finish Q at 4X; FY 2019 early 2020 at 3.5X.

17 -Large FCF Margin -Stable FCF -Growing FCF

18 Catalyst??

19 Catalyst?? 1/2 Skinny Bundles ‘something that's quite unusual’

20 Catalyst?? 2/2 Direct To Consumer

21 Catalyst?? Direct To Consumer

22 Close to 50-70% upside (easily)
Fair Value: - At a minimum $30 billion mcap $48-50 per share At least P/FCF of 10X Close to 50-70% upside (easily)


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