1. IMPACT
BREACH
FORMATION
(Location)

2. Breach Formation Breach Location
Objective:
To investigate and develop a methodology / tool for identifying likely breach location within long length of embankments (flood embankments / bunded reservoirs etc)

3. Breach Formation Breach Location
Approach:
Collation and analysis of case study data
Analysis of factors affecting breach and relative importance in the breaching process
Development of methodology for determining location. Initial approach = high level, relative risk (e.g. high/med/low risk - regional).
Detail and complexity increased dependent upon the factors involved, reliability of case study data and uncertainty within overall process.
Approach to be consistent with other risk management initiatives (e.g. RASP)