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Project Reliability Approach

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Presentation on theme: "Project Reliability Approach"— Presentation transcript:

1 Project Reliability Approach
Weibull Reliability Engineering Workshop© Project Reliability Approach Ing. R. Schop Sr. Reliability Engineer

2 Reliability Tools in Program Phases and DFSS
Weibull Reliability Engineering Workshop© Reliability Tools in Program Phases and DFSS Design For Six Sigma (DFSS) integration in the Product Creation Process The application of Reliability Tools & Methods in the Product Creation Process to ensure the realization of Reliability Targets

3 Agenda Agenda The relation between the Program Development Phases and Six Sigma DFSS Steps Reliability Tools and Methods in the Program Phases Summary & Overview

4 The Program Phases The Product Creation Process Phases:
The relation between Program Phases and Six Sigma The Program Phases The Product Creation Process Phases: Orientation or Concept Phase Definition Phase Development / Engineering Phase System Test Phase / Product Validation Phase Production / Process Validation Phase Volume Production Phase Evaluation Phase

5 The Program Phases The relation between Program Phases and Six Sigma
Milestone Milestone Milestone Milestone Milestone Orientation Definition Develop-ment Testing Production Validation Volume Produc-tion Evaluation

6 Comparing Program Phases with Six Sigma Steps
The relation between Program Phases and Six Sigma Comparing Program Phases with Six Sigma Steps Six Sigma DMAIC to improve existing processes: Define: Identify requirements and project scope Measure: Establish data collection plan Analyse: Identify Key Process In/Out Variables Improve: Validate optimum operating conditions Control: Monitor and sustain improvements

7 Comparing Program Phases with Six Sigma
The relation between Program Phases and Six Sigma Comparing Program Phases with Six Sigma Design For Six Sigma DFFS using IDDOVE for New Developments: Identify: Identify requirements and opportunities Define: Define project content and strategy Design: Define and Design engineering solutions Optimise: Decompose and optimise robust design Validate: Verify Reliability Evaluate: Measure and Sustain Reliability Each of these can be mapped on Program Phases

8 The Program Phases and DFSS
The relation between Program Phases and Six Sigma The Program Phases and DFSS Orientation Definition Develop-ment Testing Production Validation Volume Produc-tion Evaluation Identify Define Design Optimize Validate Evaluate

9 The Program Phases and DFSS
Reliability Objectives of Program Phases and Six Sigma The Program Phases and DFSS Orientation Definition Develop-ment Testing Production Validation Volume Produc-tion Evaluation Identify Define Design Optimize Validate Evaluate Prove that Reliability Targets will be met Verify Reliability Targets Evaluate Project Achieve- ments Realize and monitor Reliability Growth Define & Check Feasible Reliability Targets Gather Reliability Information Prove that Process targets are met Control

10 The Program Phases Orientation Phase Gather Reliability Information
Definition Develop-ment Testing Production Validation Volume Produc-tion Evaluation Gather Reliability Information Historical data Actual field performance Test results previous projects Competitive information DFSS Tools Field Reliability Data Base (FRDB) Warranty Field Performance Document retention system Benchmarking

11 DFSS Tools & Explanation
Orientation Phase DFSS Tools & Explanation Field Reliability Data Base (FRDB) measures Field Reliability and Durability performance over multiple years including Competitor performance, if possible Warranty Field Performance measures Costs and Warranty Reliability. Large and complete database for quick signalling and measuring effects of implemented improvements Document retention system; Source of history on Systems and Components problems reported during Development and Usage in the Field FRDB Weibull analysis; Quantitative information on current product + competitors Reliability Performance (Benchmark)

12 Field Reliability Database
Orientation Phase Gather Reliability Information Field Reliability Database Reflection of the total population mix Sample Number of Systems to be tracked over a longer period, depending on targets set. - EACH failure / repair - Usage / Time per system - Seriousness of failure - Failure Root-Cause - Repair Analyses - Competitors performance

13 Field Reliability Database
Orientation Phase Field Reliability Database Minimal Sample-size & Test-length for:  = 2,5; > 3 failures; B(10) = hours 90% Probability of Detection

14 The Program Phases The relation between Program Phases and Six Sigma
Orientation Definition Develop-ment Testing Production Validation Volume Produc-tion Evaluation Define Reliability Targets Identify innovation content & systems (New / Carry-Over) Define Reference System Reliability Target Check feasibility of Targets Realistic assumptions / Actual system performance Comparison with similar parts or systems Tools Project / System Specification Company Reliability Target Book (CRTB)

15 DFSS Tools & Explanation
Definition Phase The Project or System Specification should state the Reliability requirements on System level, including brake down to Component or Group level plus New/Carry-Over overview. Company Reliability Target Book (CRTB) lists the latest Reliability Targets on Component and Group level. If NEW components are developed, the GENERIC Company targets conform the CRTB shall be used.

16 Define Reliability Targets
Definition Phase Define Reliability Targets Assure Reliability Targets are Feasible and can be met. Project content (New / Carry-Over / Improved) Current System Performance (FRDB / Warranty) Set proper Reliability Targets for New Components (CRTB) Project Target

17 Company Reliability Targets
Definition Phase Company Reliability Targets Listing of all Components of a System The total System is split-up in Components that are recognisable by both Customer and Manufacturer Each Component has a target assigned Proportional partition of System target over Components System target = SUM of Component targets Targets are: Acceptable by the Customers Achievable by the Industry Supporting Project Specification requirements Matching with Lease Contract Policies

18 Function of Reliability Targets
Definition Phase Function of Reliability Targets Clear Reliability targets for all Components, in order to achieve the Customer Requirements Utilization: Engineers design criteria Components or Systems Specifications Communication and agreements with Suppliers Set-up adequate Reliability Validation Plan Assess Supplier Reliability Validation Plan Assess Reliability Validation test results Initiate corrective actions during testing Check feasibility of project target

19 Sample GENERIC Targets
Definition Phase Sample GENERIC Targets

20 Sample Combined Target Plot
Definition Phase Sample Combined Target Plot Beta <1 Beta >1 Beta >> 5

21 The Program Phases The relation between Program Phases and Six Sigma
Orientation Definition Develop-ment Testing Production Validation Volume Produc-tion Evaluation Verified Reliability Targets Decide on reliable technical solutions Specify and Agree on Technical Requirements of Systems Identify most significant performance characteristics Identify Technical Risks and define Risk Reduction Plans Tools Quality Function Deployment (QFD) Baseline specifications (BSL) Top Level Score Cards (TLSC) Risk Analysis; Failure Mode Effect Analysis (FMEA) Design Validation Plan & Report (DVP&R)

22 DFSS Tools & Explanation
Development Phase DFSS Tools & Explanation Quality Function Deployment (QFD); Translates customer requirements into measurable dimensions Baseline specifications (BSL); Specification that describe what Functional, Fit & Reliability aspects have to be met. Top Level Score Card (TLSC); Functionality, Fit & Reliability measurables out of the Baseline are tracked during project. Failure Mode & Effect Analysis (FMEA) identifies Design and Process Risks and planned Risk Reduction activities Design Validation Plan & Report (DVP&R); Risk Reduction Plan for all Activities from FMEA planned in Time

23 BASELINE Specifications
Development Phase BASELINE Specifications Sample BASELINE CONTENTS Scope and Field of Application Property Requirements Noise Ergonomics Reliability Durability Safety Cost of Ownership Weight Fit and Finish Legislative Requirements Functional requirements Function Description Diagnostics Software quality requirements Architecture Boundary Conditions Configurations / Variants Operating conditions Interfacing Layout and packaging Process requirements References and Standards Annexes Specify System and Component targets on: Functionality Fit & Interface Reliability

24 BASELINE Specifications
Development Phase BASELINE Specifications Track Baseline Creation and Approval in Time BSL is part of the Supplier Development Contract

25 Top Level Score card (TLSC)
Development Phase Top Level Score card (TLSC) Keep Track of Key System Performance indicators and Critical Dimensions during development.

26 Design Validation Plan&Report (DVP&R)
Development Phase Design Validation Plan&Report (DVP&R) Plan, Measure and Track all the (in FMEA) identified Risk Reduction Activities in Time during the project.

27 The Program Phases The relation between Program Phases and Six Sigma
Orientation Definition Develop-ment Testing Production Validation Volume Produc-tion Evaluation Realize and Monitor Reliability Growth Type of testing + minimal Sample-size Manage Identified Problems and Corrective Actions Prove capability of product, assess Top Level Score Card Define Critical To Quality specifications Tools Project Test Plan; Reliability Validation Plans (RVP); Field-test Reliability Forecast, DVP&R, FRACAS Supplier Project Progress Reviews / Design Reviews / TLSC CTQ Score Cards on Drawing Level

28 DFSS Tools & Explanation
Testing Phase DFSS Tools & Explanation Decide on the Type of Testing Robust Design Reliability Improvement Meet the Requirements Project Test-plan; Reliability Validation Plan (RVP); Field-test; Determine minimal test-length and sample-size Interim Reliability Forecast, DVP&R status, FRACAS status for managing project risks and corrective actions Supplier Project Progress Reviews / Design Reviews / TLSC assessment to assure Product meets requirements Score Cards on Drawing Level CTQ’s, Check Measurement System Analysis (MSA), Show current Capability (Cp), Install Control Plans

29 Testing Phase Robust Design Test to a MUCH higher level than the Requirement Level in order to quickly find Failures and IMPROVE THEM to get the most ROBUST (=Reliable) Design you can get. This is NOT a Reliability Forecast Technique Testing to Failure Methods: HALT (Highly Accelerated Life Testing)

30 Robust Design HALT & Six Sigma Testing Phase Strength Failures Stress

31 Reliability Improvement
Testing Phase Reliability Improvement Test to higher than the Requirement Level up to Failures in order to predict the Component Reliability Performance. Success & Failure Testing Methods: Weibull Analysis Sudden Death Testing Back to Back (OLD / NEW) testing

32 Meet the Requirements Success Run Testing
Testing Phase Meet the Requirements Test up to the Requirement Level, in order to prove that the requirements are met. Success Run Testing Methods: Weibayes Analysis ZERO Failure Testing

33 Preferred Testing Methodologies
Testing Phase Preferred Testing Methodologies 1 - Start with HALT Testing during early development. Get a ROBUST Design 2 - Use Reliability Improvement Testing to check correlation Field-Performance and testing methods. Get a Reliability Forecast 3 - Use the Meet the Requirements Testing as MINIMAL to-be-performed project. This only if other testing is not possible. Get a Minimal to be expected Reliability

34 Project Test Plan Testing Phase
Create an overall testing plan that assures a sufficient probability of detecting failure-modes during the project validation taking all generic failure-modes in account.

35 Reliability Validation Plan (RVP)
Testing Phase Reliability Validation Plan (RVP) Derive the “High Risk” Items from FMEA Use “Gut Feeling” too … ... ! Create OBJECTIVE , Statistically supported Test-Plans, assessing the Confidence level to meet the Reliability Target with all Activities Planned. RVP Results: Objective % Confidence gained per planned Activity. Shows “Uncovered Failure-Modes” & “Overkill’s” Shows contribution (%C) per Activity. Leads to Cost Effective Testing / Activity Plan.

36 Reliability Validation Plan (RVP)
Testing Phase Reliability Validation Plan (RVP)

37 Testing Phase Field Test Define Field-Test Minimal Sample-size for Process and Random Modes.

38 The Program Phases The relation between Program Phases and Six Sigma
Orientation Definition Develop-ment Testing Production Validation Volume Produc-tion Evaluation Prove that Reliability Targets will be met: Evaluate RVP results & Reliability data, and check with Targets Measure Reliability Growth Prove capability of processes, measure CTQ’s Assess Supplier Process Readiness Tools Weibull analysis FRACAS and Crow-AMSAA MTBF Growth Score Cards on Drawing Level Process Control Plans / Supplier Readiness Reviews (SRR)

39 DFSS Tools & Explanation
Production Validation Phase DFSS Tools & Explanation RVP status; Weibayes for Zero Failures; Weibull analysis if failures occur FRACAS to manage corrective actions; Crow-AMSAA to measure MTBF Growth and Development Process effectiveness in solving problems CTQ Score Cards on Drawing Level to prove process capabilities Process Control Plans

40 Production Validation Phase
FRACAS Failure Report And Corrective Action System Identify ALL Failures. Report clearly and Track from first Reporting to final Validation of the Solution. All items in FRACAS are assessed by the FRB (Failure Review Board) ALL failures to report to the Failure Review Board (FRB) FRB to address each issue to appropriate Person / Department FRB makes sure that proposed change is indeed an improvement There are no INCIDENTS! An Incident is the beginning of a Trend... The “I- Word” … …

41 Production Validation Phase
FRACAS & FRB

42 Production Validation Phase
Weibull Analysis

43 Production Validation Phase
Weibull Analysis

44 Crow-AMSAA Reliability Growth
Production Validation Phase Crow-AMSAA Reliability Growth Measure the Reliability Growth of the Overall Project during the Validation Process. Planned Test Hours Target MTBF 300

45 The Program Phases The relation between Program Phases and Six Sigma
Orientation Definition Develop-ment Testing Production Validation Volume Produc-tion Evaluation Prove that Process Targets are met Agreements with suppliers on “Fit for Use” Prove Process Capabilities Review Supplier Readiness Tools Supplier Sign Off / Supplier Readiness Review Process Control Plan Production Parts Approval Process (PPAP) Statistic Process Control (SPC)

46 DFSS Tools & Explanation
Volume Production Phase DFSS Tools & Explanation Supplier Sign Off (SSO); Formal Document where Supplier states that his System is Fit to serve the Purpose in the System Supplier Readiness Reviews (SRR); Review, based on RVP results, MTBF Growth, Top Level & CTQ Score Cards Results Process Control Plans, based on MSA and Capability Study results Production Parts Approval Process (PPAP); Official approval for Start Of Production Statistic Process Control (SPC) to Control the Process in Time (Cpk)

47 The Program Phases The relation between Program Phases and Six Sigma
Orientation Definition Develop-ment Testing Production Validation Volume Produc-tion Evaluation Evaluate project Achievements Identify new Field Reliability Fleet Early Warning System for immediate corrective actions Tools Field Reliability Data Base (FRDB) Field Introduction Fleet

48 DFSS Tools & Explanation
Evaluation Phase DFSS Tools & Explanation Set-Up a new Field Reliability Data Base (FRDB) for the new type of Systems Decide on an Field Introduction Fleet that Tracks the first sales very close with the customers ON TOP OF the standard Warranty procedures.

49 FRACAS, DVP&R & Score Cards
The relation between Program Phases and Six Sigma Overview Orientation Definition Develop-ment Testing Production Validation Volume Produc-tion Evaluation Identify Define Design Optimize Validate Evaluate Historical Data (FRDB / Weibull) Reliability Targets (CRTB) Specify (BSL) Risk Analysis (FMEA + DVP&R) Validation Plan (RVP) Manage FRACAS & FRB Reliability Growth (CA / Weibull) Field Validation (FRDB / Weibull) Top Level Score Card CTQ’s Score Card Supplier System Sign-Off FRACAS, DVP&R & Score Cards

50 SUMMARY We have; The DATA The TOOLS The METHODS We have the medicine,
The relation between Program Phases and Six Sigma SUMMARY PAST NOW GOAL RISKS FOCUS CONTROL CORRECT FORECAST We have; The DATA The TOOLS The METHODS We have the medicine, we just have to take it !


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