1. Building on GLOBEC: evolution and revolution
Ian Perry (GLOBEC Chair)
Fisheries & Oceans Canada,
Pacific Biological Station,
Nanaimo, B.C., Canada

2. GOAL: “To advance our understanding of the structure and functioning of the global ocean ecosystem, its major subsystems, and its response to physical forcing so that a capability can be developed to forecast the responses of the marine ecosystem to global change”.

3. GLOBEC accomplishments
A. Contributions to knowledge
1. Ecosystem structure and function
2. Forcings
3. Physical / Biological / Human interactions and feedbacks
B. Innovative methodologies
1. Sampling and technological advances
2. Coupled models (trophic, scale, time)
3. Retrospective studies
4. Comparative approach (mostly regional)
C. Information transfer
1. Policy (conceptual understanding of ecosystem function)
2. Managers (tools to incorporate climate-driven variability)
3. Communities (enhancing communication on global environmental change)

4. “Full system” models (beyond “End-to-End”)
Evolutionary change
What are the features and characteristics that control marine ecosystem capacities to adapt to change?
“Full system” models (beyond “End-to-End”)

5. “Full system” models (beyond “End-to-End”)
Evolutionary change
What are the features and characteristics that control marine ecosystem capacities to adapt to change?
“Full system” models (beyond “End-to-End”)
Include:
“physiological and genetic” ecology
full spectrum of the “human dimensions”
uncertainties associated with present models:
marine productivity, upwelling responses, freshwater flows, thresholds

6. Revolutionary change
“Surprises” or events at the edges of our awareness
e.g. ocean acidification

7. Revolutionary change
“Surprises” or events at the edges of our awareness
e.g. ocean acidification
funding of international “big ocean” science projects

8. Revolutionary change
“Surprises” or events at the edges of our awareness
e.g. ocean acidification
funding of international “big ocean” science projects
genomics, and the ability to rapidly identify and monitor organisms

9. Revolutionary change
“Surprises” or events at the edges of our awareness
e.g. ocean acidification
funding of international “big ocean” science projects
genomics, and the ability to rapidly identify and monitor organisms
disease outbreaks in marine systems, their
dynamics and consequences

11. Bark beetle outbreaks
Raffa et al BioScience

12. GLOBEC 3rd Open Science Meeting
Victoria, BC, Canada June 2009