1. Visa applications, enrolments and policy change: what past trends can tell us about the future
Dr Stephanie Harris
Policy Manager, Immigration
@UUKIntl

2. Contents UK STUDENT ENROLMENT DATA UK VISA APPLICATION DATA
INTERNATIONAL STUDENT RECRUITMENT TO THE UK IN 2021

3. Total International student Numbers
Source: HESA student record

4. TOTAL INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS NUMBER BY TYPE
Source: HESA student record

5. EU/non-eu STUDENTS NUMBER BY TYPE
Source: HESA student record

6. EU/NON-FIRST YEAR ENROLMENTS BY TYPE
Source: HESA student record

7. EU/NON-FIRST YEAR ENROLMENTS
Source: HESA student record

8. And..? (Majority) enrolled in September 2017 Applied in 2016/17
Decision making 2015/16

9. Visa DATA
In the year ending September 2018, the number of sponsored Student visa applications (main applicants) rose 8% to 228,725. This was driven by increases in applications for the Higher education (university) sector, which increased by 9% to 194,152, and is the highest level on record. The Higher Education sector accounted for 85% of all sponsored visa applications. Of these, applications from:
Russell Group universities increased by 11% to 96,652
other universities increased by 8% to 97,500
Sponsored visa applications by sector year ending December 2010 to September 2018
Source: Home Office

10. Visa applications vs non-eu enrolments
Source: Home Office and HESA student record

11. Tier 4 policy change 2014 Immigration Act - NHS surcharge, landlords
2011 Tier 4 consultation, new English language requirements, dependent limits
Credibility interviews
2014 Immigration Act - NHS surcharge, landlords
Addition of China to Appendix H
2012 Closure of Tier 1 PSW

12. Visa applications from China and India
Tier 4 introduced
China added to appendix H
Credibility interviews introduced
Closure of Tier 1 PSW
Source: Home Office

13. Moving towards inclusive growth?
Source: Home Office

14. International student recruitment to the uk in 2021?
What we do know about the likely policy conditions in 2021?
What can the past tell us about how this might effect recruitment?

15. International student recruitment to the uk in 2021?
What we do know about the likely policy conditions in 2021?
Government White Paper on Immigration was published before Christmas:
Sets out a single immigration system for all
EU students will require a study visa
Modest changes to post-study leave to remain.

16. International student recruitment to the uk in 2021?
What can the past tell us about how this might effect recruitment?
Source: HESA student record

18. Questions? Dr Stephanie Harris Policy Manager, Immigration
@UUKIntl