1. Regional Demographic Review
2045 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN
Regional Demographic Review
January 28, 2019

2. How Have We Grown? 2006 – 2016 Annual Growth 0.77% 1.36% 0.86%
Sarasota
Manatee
Charlotte
1970
2016
Growth
Sarasota
Manatee
Charlotte
122,342
97,594
27,977
399,538
357,591
170,450
277,196
259,997
142,473
Total Growth 2006 – 2016
Sarasota – 29, 500
Manatee – 45,195
Charlotte – 13,959

3. 1990 Population County 1990 Manatee 216,563 Sarasota 279,748 Charlotte
112,821

4. 2016 Population County 1990 2016 Manatee 216,563 357,591 Sarasota
279,748
399,538
Charlotte
112,821
170,450

5. 2040 LRTP Projected Population
County
1990
2016
2040
Manatee
216,563
357,591
469,100
Sarasota
279,748
399,538
518,100
Charlotte
112,821
170,450
207,214

6. Median Age County County Rank Charlotte 66 Sarasota 64 Manatee 54
Of Florida’s 67 counties, only Sumter has a higher median age than Charlotte County 58 55 47 42 38

7. Employment Trends Since 2010: 58,000 new jobs | 20% growth
Average earnings have risen 14% from $38,500 to $44,000
2016 Florida Average Earnings was $48,600
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis; CAINC30 Economic Profile; November 15, 2018

8. Commute Patterns Indicator Sarasota County Manatee County
Charlotte County
Average Commute Time (Minutes)
23.6
25.4
24.7
Drove Alone
83.1%
79.7%
79%
Carpooled
6.7%
8.7%
8.8%
Public Transportation
0.7%
0.8%
0.2%
Walking
0.9%
1.4%
1.0%
Bicycle
0.5%
1.1%
Worked at Home
6.6%
7.5%
7.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 American Community Survey (5-Year Sample)

9. Population and Employment
49,464 Workers in Charlotte County Area
Where People who Live in Charlotte County Work.
42% Stay within County
14% Sarasota County
3% Tampa Bay Area
14% Lee County
4% Southwest Florida
22% out of Region
17%
42%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap Application,
18%

10. Population and Employment
43,540 Jobs in Charlotte County
Where People who Work in Charlotte County Live.
48% Stay within County
18% Sarasota and Manatee Counties
14% Southwest Florida
5% Tampa Bay Area
15% out of Region 5%
18%
48%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap Application,
14% 10

11. Population and Employment
258,000 Workers in Sarasota/Manatee Area 5%
Where People who Live in Sarasota/Manatee Work.
66% Stay within Two-County region
13% Tampa Bay Area
5% Central Florida
4% Southwest Florida
Remaining 12% out of Region
13%
66%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap Application, 4%

12. Population and Employment
247,000 Jobs in Sarasota/Manatee Area
Where People who Work in Sarasota/Manatee Live.
69% Stay within Two-County region
8% Tampa Bay Area
3% Central Florida
5% Southwest Florida
Remaining 12% out of Region 8% 3%
69% 5%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap Application,

13. Population and Employment
North Port and Englewood
11%
89%
27%
63%
24,007 Workers in
North Port/Englewood
11% work in the area
89% work outside the area
9,756 Jobs in
North Port/Englewood
27% live in the area
63% live outside the area
6,185 Jobs in North Port
2,086 Workers from North Port (34%)
4,099 Workers outside North Port (66%)
19,887 Workers living in North Port
2,086 Work in North Port (10%)
17,081 Work outside North Port (90%)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap Application,

14. Where is Housing?
Single family homes affordable at or below 100% Average Median Income (AMI)
35% of single family homes affordable in Sarasota/Manatee with AMI of $70,300
37% of single family homes affordable in Charlotte County with AMI of $58,300
Source: FDOR and HUD

15. Housing Choices & Affordability
2017 Median Household Income
2017 Median Home Values
Housing Choices & Affordability

16. Visitors by plane will double by 2035
From 2015 to 2035, visitors by plane
will increase
from 1,028,611
to 2,117,492
Source: FDOT Commercial Service Enplanement Forecast,

17. Truck Traffic will increase - 2010 to 2040

18. Roadway Fatality Rates
Source: FDOT State Safety Office (1/4/2019)
* Based on analysis conducted for Sarasota/Manatee MPO Safety Target Setting (January 2018)

19. Roadway Serious Injury Rates
Source: FDOT State Safety Office (1/4/2019)
* Based on analysis conducted for Sarasota/Manatee MPO Safety Target Setting (January 2018)

20. At-Risk Coastal Population
Population living in High Risk Flood Areas
Source: FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Maps

21. At-Risk Coastal Population
Population living in High Risk Flood Areas
26% of Single Family Homes in Sarasota/Manatee MPO are at-risk
35% of Single Family Homes in Charlotte/Punta Gorda MPO are at-risk
Source: FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Maps

22. What does the future hold?
2016 – 2045 Annual Growth
What does the future hold?
0.93%
1.50%
0.88%
Sarasota
Manatee
Charlotte
2016
2045
Growth
Sarasota
Manatee
Charlotte
399,538
357,591
170,450
522,600
550,800
219,600
123,062
193,209
49,150
Economy
Current job mix supports tourism and retail – Florida as a whole
Recent increases in working age population (ACS Yr average)
Planned improvements at Port Manatee
Florida Chamber’s six pillars economic development strategy
Technology
Telecommuting and remote office locations
Land use influences for development and redevelopment
Coastal and Environmental Concerns
US EPA proposed revised definition for Waters of United States –
Sea Level Rise and Storm Surge Vulnerabilities
Water Quality – Red Tide
Source: BEBR January 2018 Medium-Level Projections Volume 51, Bulletin 180

23. R esilient Environment E conomic Diversity G rowing Strategically
2045 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN
OUR
R esilient Environment
E conomic Diversity
G rowing Strategically
I nterdependent Communities
O ne Region
N ext Generation Technologies