1. Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017
Scope for the circular economy to affect GHG and employment embodied in trade
Sam J G Coopera, Jonathan B Normana,
Palash Kamruzzamanb, Geoff P Hammonda
University of Bath, Bath UK
University of South Wales, Pontypridd, UK
EPRSC grant: EP/N022645/1

2. Background
1. The effects of circular economy approaches are felt outside the region adopting them:
Cooper, S. J. G., Giesekam, J., Hammond, G. P., Norman, J. B., Owen, A., Rogers, J. G., & Scott, K. (2017). Thermodynamic insights and assessment of the “circular economy.” Journal of Cleaner Production.
Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017

3. Background
2. Different regions have different relationships between impacts based on consumption or production
3. Exporting goods and services is responsible for emissions but also value creation
Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017

4. How might macro-scale effects vary?
Modelling approximation: circular economy approaches replace the need for raw material inputs with alternatives. E.g. refurbishment, material efficiency, reuse, recycling etc.
Supply chain effects assessment based on Multi-regional input-output analysis
Linear, aggregated model
Which regions might be affected?
Which regions and sectors cause effects?
Eora dataset, worldmrio.com
Lenzen, M., Kanemoto, K., Moran, D., Geschke, A. Mapping the Structure of the World Economy (2012). Env. Sci. Tech. 46(15) pp DOI: /es300171x
Manfred Lenzen , Daniel Moran , Keiichiro Kanemoto & Arne Geschke (2013) Building Eora: A Global Multi-regional Input-Output Database at High Country and Sector Reso lution, Economic Systems Research, 25:1, 20-49, DOI: /
Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017

5. Global impact per % of global transition
Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017

6. Regional impact per % of global transition
Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017

7. Regional impact per % regional transition
Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017

8. Global impact per % regional transition
Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017

9. Sectors – impact per % transition
Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017

10. Sectors – impact per $ moved
Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017

11. Conclusions Effect of others adopting it may force adaptation.
Disruption potentially highest for low-income regions, but also greatest scope for benefit
Nations adopting CE approaches generally benefit.
Even if sectoral profit ratios unaffected
Generally, high-income regions see less employment churn for given level of change.
Potential savings per $ vary but can be high.
Further research – case studies considering actual challenges in transition.
Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017

12. All sectors and regions
Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017

13. All sectors and regions
Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017

14. All sectors and regions
Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017