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FIN 422: Student Managed Investment Fund

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1 FIN 422: Student Managed Investment Fund
Topic 6: Ratio Analysis Larry Schrenk, Instructor

2 Overview Methodology Ratio Classification DuPont Equation
Ratio Applications

3 Learning Objectives @

4 Readings @

5 1. Methodology

6 Purpose Ratio analysis begins
With the calculation of a set of financial ratios Designed to show the relative strengths and Weaknesses of a company as compared to Other firms in the industry Leadings firms in the industry The previous year of the same firm Ratio analysis helps to show whether the firm’s position has been improving or deteriorating Ratio analysis can also help plan for the future

7 My Principles Consider the Perspective Toolbox Approach Annualization
Anomalies/Accounting Numbers Red Flags Customized Ratios No Rules

8 2. Ratio Classification

9 Classification Short-Term Solvency (Liquidity)
Long-Term Solvency (Leverage) Efficiency Profitability Market Value

10 2.A Short-Term Solvency

11 Short-Term Solvency: Analysis
Form Purpose Short-Term Liquidity Can the Firm Meet Current Obligations? A liquid asset is one that can be easily converted into cash at a fair market value

12 Short-Term Solvency: The Ratios
Cash Ratio Quick Ratio Current Ratio

13 Short-Term Solvency: Walmart
Cash Ratio Quick Ratio Current Ratio

14 Short-Term Solvency: Net Working Capital
Net Working Capital as % of Total Assets

15 Short-Term Solvency: Walmart
Net Working Capital Net Working Capital as % of Total Assets

16 Liquidity Ratio Analysis
Liquidity–Ability to Convert Assets to Cash with Significant Loss of Value Differing Time Horizons for Liquidity Cash Ratio??? Quick Ratio??? Current Ratio???

17 2.B Long-Term Solvency

18 Long-Term Solvency Measures of the Long-Term Viability of the Firm
Two Metrics Degree of Leverage Coverage

19 Long-Term Solvency: Degree of Leverage Analysis
Form Purpose Long-Term Liquidity Is the Total Amount of Debt Reasonable? Can the Firm Remain Solvent?

20 Long-Term Solvency: Degree of Leverage Analysis
Implications of use of borrowings Creditors look to stockholders’ equity as a safety margin Interest on borrowings is a legal liability of the firm Interest is to be paid out of operating income Debt magnifies return and risk to common stockholders

21 Long-Term Solvency: Degree of Leverage Ratios
Total Debt to Total Assets Ratio Measures percentage of assets being financed through borrowings Too high a number means increased risk of bankruptcy Leverage What percentage of total assets are being financed through equity?

22 Long-Term Solvency: Degree of Leverage Ratios
Total Debt Ratio Debt/Equity Ratio Equity Multiplier

23 Long-Term Solvency: Walmart
Total Debt Ratio Debt/Equity Ratio Equity Multiplier

24 Long-Term Solvency: Degree of Leverage Ratios
Conversions

25 Long-Term Solvency: Degree of Leverage Ratios
LT Debt Ratio NOTE: Excludes current liabilities

26 Long-Term Solvency: Walmart
LT Debt Ratio

27 Long-Term Solvency: Coverage Analysis
Form Purpose Short-Term Liquidity Can the Firm Service its Long-Term Obligations? Is Bankruptcy a Concern?

28 Long-Term Solvency: Coverage Ratios
Times Earned Interest (TIE) Measure the extent to which operating income can decline before the firm is unable to meet its annual interest costs Failure to pay interest can result in legal action by creditors with possible bankruptcy for the firm

29 Long-Term Solvency: Coverage Ratios
Times Interest Earned (TIE) Cash Coverage

30 Long-Term Solvency: Walmart
Times Interest Earned (TIE) Cash Coverage

31 2.C Efficiency

32 Efficiency: Analysis Form Purpose
How Efficiently does the Firm Use the Value Invested in each Asset? Balance Sheet Assets as Portfolio Liquidity-Return Trade-Off Turnover versus ‘Days Sales’ Do we have too much investment in assets or too little investment in assets in view of current and projected sales levels? Assets as a portfolio

33 Turnover Analysis Sales as Goal Example
Total Asset Turnover Ratio–Sales versus a Dollar Spend on Total Assets Example Total Asset Turnover Ratio = 5x $1.00 in Assets Generates $5.00 in Sales on Average.

34 Efficiency: The Inventory Ratios
Inventory Turnover Ratio Measures the efficiency of Inventory Management A high ratio indicates that inventory does not remain in warehouses or on shelves, but rather turns over rapidly into sales Two cautions Market prices for sales and inventories at cost Sales over the year and inventory at the end of the year

35 Efficiency: The Inventory Ratios
Inventory Turnover Days’ Sales in Inventory

36 Efficiency: Walmart Inventory Turnover Days’ Sales in Inventory

37 Efficiency: The Receivables Ratios
Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) To appraise the quality of accounts receivables Average length of time that the firm must wait after making a sale before receiving cash from customers Measures effectiveness of a firm credit policy Indicates the level of investment needed in receivables to maintain firm’s sales level

38 Efficiency: The Receivables Ratios
Receivables Turnover Days’ Sales in Receivables

39 Efficiency: Walmart Receivables Turnover Days’ Sales in Receivables

40 Efficiency: The Asset Ratios
Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio Measures efficiency of long-term capital investment How effectively a firm is using its plant and machinery to generate sales? How much fixed assets are needed to achieve a particular level of sales?

41 Efficiency: The Asset Ratios
Total Asset Turnover Ratio Measure efficiency of total assets for the company as a whole or for a division of the firm Core competency

42 Efficiency: The Asset Ratios
Total Asset Turnover Fixed Asset Turnover

43 Efficiency: Walmart Total Asset Turnover Fixed Asset Turnover

44 Customized Efficiency Ratios
Denominator Any Balance Sheet Asset Numerator Any Firm Goal

45 2.D Profitability

46 Profitability: Analysis
Form Purpose Is the Firm Generating Reasonable Earnings Relative to Total Assets Equity NOTE: Accounting Measures

47 Profitability: Analysis
Net result of a number of policies and decisions Show the combined effect of liquidity, asset management, and debt management on operating results

48 Profit Margins vs. Return Ratios
Profit margins look at profits or earnings as a fraction of sales. Return ratios measure profits earned as a fraction of the assets used.

49 Profitability: The Margins
Net Profit Margin Gross Profit Margin Operating Gross Profit Margin

50 The Margins: Walmart Net Profit Margin Gross Profit Margin

51 Profit Margins: Walmart
Operating Gross Profit Margin

52 Profitability: The Ratios
Return on Assets (ROA) Return on Equity (ROE) NOTE: Book Values

53 Return Ratios: Walmart
Return on Assets (ROA) Return on Equity (ROE)

54 T-S-P You are considering investing in the bonds of a firm. Which ratio is the most important for your decision: Current Ratio Long-Term Debt Ratio TIE Ratio Cash Coverage Ratio

55 2.E Market Value Ratios

56 Market Value: Analysis
No Common Form No Common Purpose Commonality: Market Data

57 Market Value: Analysis
PE Ratio

58 PE Ratio: Walmart Share Price (9/27/18) $94.93 PE Ratio

59 Market Value: Analysis
Market-to-Book Ratio

60 Market-to-Book Ratio: Walmart

61 3. DuPont Equation

62 The Du Pont System DuPont Equation (ROE)

63 Du Pont Equation: Walmart

64 DuPont Equations: Analysis
Decomposition Analysis, Not Calculation

65 The Du Pont System DuPont Equation (ROA)

66 Du Pont Equation: Walmart

67 Extending the DuPont Equation

68 The Du Pont System Isberg Paper

69 4. Ratio Application

70 Comparisons Time-Trend Analysis Peer Group Analysis Forecasting
Firm’s Performance over Time Peer Group Analysis Similar Companies or Industry Analysis Forecasting Future Ratios Next Topic

71 Walmart: Time-Trend and Peer Analysis
Note: This section uses Compustat annual data rather than EDGAR quarterly data, so the ratios may not agree with the earlier calculations

72 Time-Trend and Peer Analysis Current Ratio

73 Time-Trend and Peer Analysis Total Debt Ratio

74 Time-Trend and Peer Analysis Times Interest Earned

75 Time-Trend and Peer Analysis Total Asset Turnover

76 Time-Trend and Peer Analysis ROA

77 Time-Trend and Peer Analysis ROE

78 Some Cautions No Underlying Theory Diversified Firms Globalization
Varying Accounting Procedures Different Fiscal Years Developing/Using Comparative Data Notes to Financial Statements Interpretation of Results Window Dressing Effects of Inflation Comparison with industry averages is difficult if the firm operates many different divisions. ‘Average’ performance is not necessarily good. Seasonal factors can distort ratios


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