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FIN 422: Student Managed Investment Fund
Topic 6: Ratio Analysis Larry Schrenk, Instructor
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Overview Methodology Ratio Classification DuPont Equation
Ratio Applications
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Learning Objectives @
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Readings @
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1. Methodology
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Purpose Ratio analysis begins
With the calculation of a set of financial ratios Designed to show the relative strengths and Weaknesses of a company as compared to Other firms in the industry Leadings firms in the industry The previous year of the same firm Ratio analysis helps to show whether the firm’s position has been improving or deteriorating Ratio analysis can also help plan for the future
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My Principles Consider the Perspective Toolbox Approach Annualization
Anomalies/Accounting Numbers Red Flags Customized Ratios No Rules
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2. Ratio Classification
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Classification Short-Term Solvency (Liquidity)
Long-Term Solvency (Leverage) Efficiency Profitability Market Value
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2.A Short-Term Solvency
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Short-Term Solvency: Analysis
Form Purpose Short-Term Liquidity Can the Firm Meet Current Obligations? A liquid asset is one that can be easily converted into cash at a fair market value
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Short-Term Solvency: The Ratios
Cash Ratio Quick Ratio Current Ratio
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Short-Term Solvency: Walmart
Cash Ratio Quick Ratio Current Ratio
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Short-Term Solvency: Net Working Capital
Net Working Capital as % of Total Assets
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Short-Term Solvency: Walmart
Net Working Capital Net Working Capital as % of Total Assets
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Liquidity Ratio Analysis
Liquidity–Ability to Convert Assets to Cash with Significant Loss of Value Differing Time Horizons for Liquidity Cash Ratio??? Quick Ratio??? Current Ratio???
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2.B Long-Term Solvency
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Long-Term Solvency Measures of the Long-Term Viability of the Firm
Two Metrics Degree of Leverage Coverage
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Long-Term Solvency: Degree of Leverage Analysis
Form Purpose Long-Term Liquidity Is the Total Amount of Debt Reasonable? Can the Firm Remain Solvent?
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Long-Term Solvency: Degree of Leverage Analysis
Implications of use of borrowings Creditors look to stockholders’ equity as a safety margin Interest on borrowings is a legal liability of the firm Interest is to be paid out of operating income Debt magnifies return and risk to common stockholders
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Long-Term Solvency: Degree of Leverage Ratios
Total Debt to Total Assets Ratio Measures percentage of assets being financed through borrowings Too high a number means increased risk of bankruptcy Leverage What percentage of total assets are being financed through equity?
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Long-Term Solvency: Degree of Leverage Ratios
Total Debt Ratio Debt/Equity Ratio Equity Multiplier
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Long-Term Solvency: Walmart
Total Debt Ratio Debt/Equity Ratio Equity Multiplier
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Long-Term Solvency: Degree of Leverage Ratios
Conversions
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Long-Term Solvency: Degree of Leverage Ratios
LT Debt Ratio NOTE: Excludes current liabilities
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Long-Term Solvency: Walmart
LT Debt Ratio
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Long-Term Solvency: Coverage Analysis
Form Purpose Short-Term Liquidity Can the Firm Service its Long-Term Obligations? Is Bankruptcy a Concern?
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Long-Term Solvency: Coverage Ratios
Times Earned Interest (TIE) Measure the extent to which operating income can decline before the firm is unable to meet its annual interest costs Failure to pay interest can result in legal action by creditors with possible bankruptcy for the firm
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Long-Term Solvency: Coverage Ratios
Times Interest Earned (TIE) Cash Coverage
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Long-Term Solvency: Walmart
Times Interest Earned (TIE) Cash Coverage
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2.C Efficiency
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Efficiency: Analysis Form Purpose
How Efficiently does the Firm Use the Value Invested in each Asset? Balance Sheet Assets as Portfolio Liquidity-Return Trade-Off Turnover versus ‘Days Sales’ Do we have too much investment in assets or too little investment in assets in view of current and projected sales levels? Assets as a portfolio
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Turnover Analysis Sales as Goal Example
Total Asset Turnover Ratio–Sales versus a Dollar Spend on Total Assets Example Total Asset Turnover Ratio = 5x $1.00 in Assets Generates $5.00 in Sales on Average.
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Efficiency: The Inventory Ratios
Inventory Turnover Ratio Measures the efficiency of Inventory Management A high ratio indicates that inventory does not remain in warehouses or on shelves, but rather turns over rapidly into sales Two cautions Market prices for sales and inventories at cost Sales over the year and inventory at the end of the year
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Efficiency: The Inventory Ratios
Inventory Turnover Days’ Sales in Inventory
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Efficiency: Walmart Inventory Turnover Days’ Sales in Inventory
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Efficiency: The Receivables Ratios
Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) To appraise the quality of accounts receivables Average length of time that the firm must wait after making a sale before receiving cash from customers Measures effectiveness of a firm credit policy Indicates the level of investment needed in receivables to maintain firm’s sales level
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Efficiency: The Receivables Ratios
Receivables Turnover Days’ Sales in Receivables
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Efficiency: Walmart Receivables Turnover Days’ Sales in Receivables
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Efficiency: The Asset Ratios
Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio Measures efficiency of long-term capital investment How effectively a firm is using its plant and machinery to generate sales? How much fixed assets are needed to achieve a particular level of sales?
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Efficiency: The Asset Ratios
Total Asset Turnover Ratio Measure efficiency of total assets for the company as a whole or for a division of the firm Core competency
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Efficiency: The Asset Ratios
Total Asset Turnover Fixed Asset Turnover
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Efficiency: Walmart Total Asset Turnover Fixed Asset Turnover
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Customized Efficiency Ratios
Denominator Any Balance Sheet Asset Numerator Any Firm Goal
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2.D Profitability
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Profitability: Analysis
Form Purpose Is the Firm Generating Reasonable Earnings Relative to Total Assets Equity NOTE: Accounting Measures
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Profitability: Analysis
Net result of a number of policies and decisions Show the combined effect of liquidity, asset management, and debt management on operating results
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Profit Margins vs. Return Ratios
Profit margins look at profits or earnings as a fraction of sales. Return ratios measure profits earned as a fraction of the assets used.
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Profitability: The Margins
Net Profit Margin Gross Profit Margin Operating Gross Profit Margin
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The Margins: Walmart Net Profit Margin Gross Profit Margin
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Profit Margins: Walmart
Operating Gross Profit Margin
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Profitability: The Ratios
Return on Assets (ROA) Return on Equity (ROE) NOTE: Book Values
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Return Ratios: Walmart
Return on Assets (ROA) Return on Equity (ROE)
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T-S-P You are considering investing in the bonds of a firm. Which ratio is the most important for your decision: Current Ratio Long-Term Debt Ratio TIE Ratio Cash Coverage Ratio
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2.E Market Value Ratios
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Market Value: Analysis
No Common Form No Common Purpose Commonality: Market Data
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Market Value: Analysis
PE Ratio
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PE Ratio: Walmart Share Price (9/27/18) $94.93 PE Ratio
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Market Value: Analysis
Market-to-Book Ratio
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Market-to-Book Ratio: Walmart
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3. DuPont Equation
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The Du Pont System DuPont Equation (ROE)
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Du Pont Equation: Walmart
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DuPont Equations: Analysis
Decomposition Analysis, Not Calculation
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The Du Pont System DuPont Equation (ROA)
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Du Pont Equation: Walmart
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Extending the DuPont Equation
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The Du Pont System Isberg Paper
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4. Ratio Application
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Comparisons Time-Trend Analysis Peer Group Analysis Forecasting
Firm’s Performance over Time Peer Group Analysis Similar Companies or Industry Analysis Forecasting Future Ratios Next Topic
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Walmart: Time-Trend and Peer Analysis
Note: This section uses Compustat annual data rather than EDGAR quarterly data, so the ratios may not agree with the earlier calculations
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Time-Trend and Peer Analysis Current Ratio
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Time-Trend and Peer Analysis Total Debt Ratio
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Time-Trend and Peer Analysis Times Interest Earned
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Time-Trend and Peer Analysis Total Asset Turnover
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Time-Trend and Peer Analysis ROA
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Time-Trend and Peer Analysis ROE
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Some Cautions No Underlying Theory Diversified Firms Globalization
Varying Accounting Procedures Different Fiscal Years Developing/Using Comparative Data Notes to Financial Statements Interpretation of Results Window Dressing Effects of Inflation Comparison with industry averages is difficult if the firm operates many different divisions. ‘Average’ performance is not necessarily good. Seasonal factors can distort ratios
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