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Price and Volume Measures
THE CONTRACTOR IS ACTING UNDER A FRAMEWORK CONTRACT CONCLUDED WITH THE COMMISSION
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Money and prices Flows and stocks are expressed in monetary units
Different types of stocks and flows: Transactions in products (P) Distributive transactions (D) Financial transactions (F) The monetary unit is the common denominator Value is price times amount V = P x Q
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Different categories of prices
In the production account Output and value added are valued at basic prices Subsequent account entries are valued at purchasers’ prices
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Basic prices and purchasers prices
The basic price is the price of a unit less taxes on the product plus subsidies on the product ( D.21 less D.31) It excludes any transport charges invoiced separately by the producer. It includes D.29 less D.39 : Other taxes less subsidies on production. (e.g. local business property tax) The purchaser’s price is the price the purchaser pays for the product. It includes taxes less subsidies on the products and transport charges paid separately by the purchaser.
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Valuation of transactions in products
Output is to be recorded and valued when it is generated by the production process Output of finished goods transferred into the producer’s inventories is valued at the current selling price So output of goods is not valued at the selling price but at prices which are current at the time they are produced For services, output and sale occur at the same time so there is no only one price
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Quantity Value, price and quantity are linked by the fundamental equation: This equation is valid only for homogeneous products
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Homogeneous products (1)
Homogeneous products are products for which it is possible to define units which are all considered equivalent and which can thus be exchanged for the same monetary value It is thus possible to define the price of a homogeneous product as the amount of money for which each product unit can be exchanged A homogeneous product consists of units of the same quality To Value the production of a good, it is necessary to find equivalent goods are actually sold at the time it is produced, this is only possible for homogeneous goods
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Quality In national accounts the concept of quality does not refer to a hierarchy of products, it refers to the characteristics of a product We cannot say that a product is better than another, we only say that products are of same quality or of different quality depending on whether they correspond to the same homogeneous product Differences in quality are reflected in the following factors: Physical characteristics; Deliveries in different locations; Deliveries at different times; Differences in conditions, circumstances, environment of sale
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Volume Measuring economic growth in volume terms over time is a key measure of a national economy This requires the value change in measures such as GDP ti be broken down into price change and “real” change ie volume change Volume change is a measure of the change in aggregate product quantities
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Volume and constant prices
For a given homogeneous product the equation v =p x q allows the change of value over time to broken down into change of price and change of quantity At an aggregated level, this equation is no longer useful since it is not possible to aggregate quantities of different products There is however a simple way of breaking down the change in value of a set of products between two periods The effect of change in price can be offset by calculating what the value of the set of products would have been if there had been no changes in prices
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Comparing base and current periods
The value of a set of products in the current period is: Where exponent 1 refers to the current period and index i to a specific product The volume can be defined as: The volume index is:
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Price index and volume index
It is possible to define a price index by analogy with the equation v = p x q Value index = price index x volume index Price index = value index / volume index In theory, the volume index form should be Laspeyres indices and price indices should be Paasche.
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Volume indices The Laspeyres philosophy
time periods 0 and t quantity (volume) relatives qt/q0 weights : share in total value of period 0 Laspeyres volume index (arithmetic mean of quantity relatives)
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Price indices The Laspeyres philosophy
time periods 0 and t price relatives pt/p0 weights of period 0 Laspeyres price index
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Chaining No fixed base year but moving base year: always use weights of previous year to calculate growth rates Chain year-on-year growth rates together to obtain “constant price” data Commission Decision requires chaining using Laspeyres method Non-additivity will occur in “constant price” series
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Chaining: example
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Base and reference period
Base period the period that provides the weights for the index Reference period the period for which the index has the value 100
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Price indices in practice
CPIs (HICP), PPIs: all Laspeyres price indices Define precise bundle of goods and services & obtain their value shares in base year (for weighting) Observe monthly prices, by going to shops, magazines, internet, etc. Calculate index
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New products (1) The method of calculating price and volume indices assumes that the products exist in both successive years However, many products appear and disappear from one year to the next There is no difficulty in the case of products which existed in the previous year but which no longer exist in the current year The problem appears in the case of new products, since for the previous year it is not possible to measure the price of a product which does not exist
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New products (2) There are to types of approaches for estimating the price of the previous year: The first supposes that the price of the new product changes like the price of similar products The second attempts to calculate directly what the price of the new product would have been if it had existed in the base period The first approach amounts simply to using a price index calculated on the basis of a sample of homogeneous products existing in both successive years Which the second approach, the methods which are more commonly used are the hedonic method and the input method
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Volume of value added Best method in theory: double deflation
This requires output and intermediate consumption to be deflated separately to produce Laspeyres style estimates of volume change Value added can then be derived as the difference Alternative method used in practice for early measures of growth: single deflation
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Non-market services (1)
Non-market services are not sold at a market price and their value at current prices is calculated as the sum of the costs incurred Those costs are: intermediate consumption, compensation of employees, other taxes less subsidies on production and consumption of fixed capital The unit cost of a non-market service can be considered as the equivalent of the price
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Non-market services (2)
Difference between “individual” and “collective” services Collective services are provided simultaneously to all members of society, such as households. Examples: police, defense. These are called “public” goods. An increase in the members of society benefitting from the services does not directly affect the amount of service provided. Services provided to identifiable single households are described as individual services. An increase in the individuals benefitting from the service will affect the amount of services provided. The current ESA recognises education and health services as individual
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Non-market services (3)
For individual services it is possible to identify quantity units for the products provided, and to derive volume measure through aggregates produced by using cost weights to combine quantity output measures.
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Education Definition: education output is the amount of teaching received by the students for each type of education. The quantity of teaching received by students can be measured by the number of hours they spent at being taught (the number of 'student-hours' or 'pupil-hours'). Where this measure is not available, the simple number of students or pupils is an alternative For some levels of education (for example tertiary education and distance-learning) the number of students may in fact be a better indicator of the education service delivered
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Health Health output is the quantity of health care received by patients, for each type of health care The quantities can be weighted together using data on the costs or prices of the health care provided. The quantity of health care received by patients should be measured in terms of complete treatments.
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Collective services For collective services it is impossible to define quantity units, and so the “input method” is used to measure real change The value of a non-market collective service is determined by the cost involved. Calculate the volume by the value at base period prices of intermediate consumption, compensation of employees, other net taxes on production and consumption of fixed capital
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Thank you for your attention
CONTRACTOR IS ACTING UNDER A FRAMEWORK CONTRACT CONCLUDED WITH THE COMMISSION
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