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Estimation of Rainfall over Bangladesh

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Presentation on theme: "Estimation of Rainfall over Bangladesh"— Presentation transcript:

1 Estimation of Rainfall over Bangladesh
Toru Terao(Osaka Gakuin Univ.)

2 TRMM 3A25 Monthly Jul Aug 1998 Bangladesh Flood 1999 2000

3 Rainfall South of Hills is not Represented?
CMAP Rainfall South of Hills is not Represented? Jul Aug 1998 Bangladesh Flood 1999

4 Raingauges in Bangladesh
BMD(Bang. Met. Dep.) Daily ×

5 CMAP Grids CMAP grids over Bangla. We examined...
Grid A: 12 BMD stations Grid B: 9 BMD stations Grid C: 9 BMD stations Grid D: No BMD stations D C A B

6 CMAP timeseries (JJAS)
B Good correlation after 1992 Significant underestimation in 1984 when severe flood attacked Bangladesh C

7 Comparison, Grid A Jun: 0.07 Jul: 0.46 Aug: 0.29 Sep: 0.25 JJAS: 0.08
-1991: -0.41 1992-: 0.95

8 Comparison, Grid B Jun: 0.30 Jul: 0.54 Aug: 0.62 Sep: 0.44 JJAS: 0.16
-1991: 0.06 1992-: 0.86

9 Comparison, Grid C Jun: 0.78 Jul: 0.79 Aug: 0.40 Sep: 0.66 JJAS: 0.63
-1991: 0.48 1992-: 0.96

10 Raingauges vs. Grid A A A

11 Raingauges vs. Grid B B B

12 Raingauges vs. Grid C C C

13 CMAP Grid vs. BMD Obs. Drastic change around 1991-1992
Small correlation before 1991 Significant Underestimation in 1984 Large correlation after 1992 Better estimation for grid C due to Indian data?


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