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Predicted Probability of Arrest by Self-Reported Offending, 1979 Source: Authors’ compilation based on the NLSY (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2014, 2015). Predicted Probability of Arrest by Self-Reported Offending, 1979 Source: Authors’ compilation based on the NLSY (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2014, 2015). Note: Unweighted. Logistic regressions with controls for age, gender, race, region, urbanicity, education, leaving school before completing high school. Confidence intervals appear in gray. Vesla M. Weaver et al. rsf 2019;5:89-123 © 2019 Russell Sage Foundation. Weaver, Vesla M., Andrew Papachristos, and Michael Zanger-Tishler “The Great Decoupling: The Disconnection Between Criminal Offending and Experience of Arrest Across Two Cohorts.” RSF: The Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences 5(1): 89–123. DOI: /RSF Direct correspondence to: Vesla M. Weaver at Departments of Political Science and Sociology, 338 Mergenthaler Hall, 3400 N. Charles St., Baltimore, MD 22181; Andrew Papachristos at Institute for Policy Research, Northwestern University; and Michael Zanger-Tishler at
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