1. What does the past tell us about the future?
What variables limit or sustain the continuation of a trend?
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2. Track the Trends Project
You will be taking on the role of a statisticians to collect and analyze statistical information about a subject over time
Use the past to predict the future
Integrate mathematics, statistics, and technology
Copyright © 2010 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved. Adapted with permission. Intel, the Intel logo and the Intel Education Initiative are trademarks of Intel Corporation or its subsidiaries in the U.S. and other countries.
*Other names and brands may be claimed as the property of others.

3. What is a Trend?
a general direction in which something is developing or changing
Social issues that have been documented can be analyzed based on their “trends”
Example: Salaries of Athletes has been trending upwards, meaning they are increasing
Example: Number of AIDS cases has been trending downward, meaning it is on the decline

4. Step 1 – Review Project Expectations
You will be creating:
A slideshow about the trend and possible implications, using mathematical tools of statistical analysis
Review Project Rubric and Checklists and self-assess your work as you go
Copyright © 2010 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved. Adapted with permission. Intel, the Intel logo and the Intel Education Initiative are trademarks of Intel Corporation or its subsidiaries in the U.S. and other countries.
*Other names and brands may be claimed as the property of others.

5. Step 2 – Pick a Topic
Pick a subject that interests you and your partner.
Examples: cancer rates, population changes, baseball salaries
Come up with three possible topics and we will choose so there is no overlap with other groups.
Copyright © 2010 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved. Adapted with permission. Intel, the Intel logo and the Intel Education Initiative are trademarks of Intel Corporation or its subsidiaries in the U.S. and other countries.
*Other names and brands may be claimed as the property of others.

6. Step 3 – Research Your Subject
Use the Internet and library for research
Need data from at least 5 separate years/time periods
You need to define what the data represents, i.e. if you’re doing cancer rates, specify if it is in the US or Global.
Copyright © 2010 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved. Adapted with permission. Intel, the Intel logo and the Intel Education Initiative are trademarks of Intel Corporation or its subsidiaries in the U.S. and other countries.
*Other names and brands may be claimed as the property of others.

7. Step 4 – Apply Math to Data
Using Microsoft Excel
Find equation for curve of best fit
Find correlation coefficient
Using equation, make prediction for at least five future years/time periods
Copyright © 2010 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved. Adapted with permission. Intel, the Intel logo and the Intel Education Initiative are trademarks of Intel Corporation or its subsidiaries in the U.S. and other countries.
*Other names and brands may be claimed as the property of others.

8. Step 5 – Graph your Data Make a spreadsheet with three columns:
Column 1 = Year
Column 2 = Historical Data
Column 3 = Data if using formula (best fit)
Create “XY Scatter” graph of spreadsheet
Historical Data (points)
Formula Calculations (best fit line)
Copyright © 2010 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved. Adapted with permission. Intel, the Intel logo and the Intel Education Initiative are trademarks of Intel Corporation or its subsidiaries in the U.S. and other countries.
*Other names and brands may be claimed as the property of others.

9. Step 6 – Future Implications
Now that you have made future predictions using your equation, brainstorm potential ramifications.
How does a trend affect people’s choices?
What will our quality of life be like in the future?
Social
Environmental
Economic
Political
Medical
Copyright © 2010 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved. Adapted with permission. Intel, the Intel logo and the Intel Education Initiative are trademarks of Intel Corporation or its subsidiaries in the U.S. and other countries.
*Other names and brands may be claimed as the property of others.

10. Step 7 – Create a Presentation
Include the following elements:
Data from research
Mathematical analysis
Excel graph of historical vs. best fit data
Discussion of future implications
Pictures/graphics/sounds that enhance content
Select internet resources for more info
Sources cited
Self-Assess with checklist and rubric
Copyright © 2010 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved. Adapted with permission. Intel, the Intel logo and the Intel Education Initiative are trademarks of Intel Corporation or its subsidiaries in the U.S. and other countries.
*Other names and brands may be claimed as the property of others.

11. Step 8 – Present Slideshow to Class
You and your partner will present to entire class beginning Tuesday October 1.
Presentation can be no longer than 5 minutes.
Copyright © 2010 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved. Adapted with permission. Intel, the Intel logo and the Intel Education Initiative are trademarks of Intel Corporation or its subsidiaries in the U.S. and other countries.
*Other names and brands may be claimed as the property of others.