1. SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMPOSIUM-2019
Benefiting society through user-inspired weather and climate research applications
Lucky Ntsangwane
2019/04/28
SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMPOSIUM-2019

2. SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMPOSIUM-2019
Outline
Introduction
SAWS R&D Programme
Critical Challenges
Weather Forecasts
Seasonal predictions
Weather & climate research applications
Summary
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SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMPOSIUM-2019

3. SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMPOSIUM-2019
Introduction
Services
Technological
Science
The reach: ~57 m people
Embracing partnerships
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4. SAWS Vision, Mission & Values
“South African Weather-related Solutions for everyone, everyday”
Mission
“To provide weather, climate and related environmental (meteorological) solutions in support of improved safety and quality of life of people in South Africa”
SAWS will realise this through:
Thought leadership in meteorological, climatological and other related sciences;
The development of relevant and innovative applications and products utilising cutting edge technology; and
Establishing and leveraging collaborative partnerships.
Core Values
Integrity, Collaborative, Solution oriented science, and Passion for service excellence
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5. SAWS Strategic Programmes and Objectives
The Strategic Framework put forward four programmes the organisation will base its work on. These programmes include the following:
Programme 1: Weather and Climate Services
Programme 2: Research and Innovation
Programme 3: Infrastructure and Information Systems
Programme 4: Administration and Corporate Services
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6. SAWS’ Research & Development
The most significant challenges and opportunities in each of the seven research themes
SAWS’ response to the challenges & opportunities identified above
Most important current activities
New areas that deserve more attention in the next five years
Observation research
Weather research
Climate change & climate variability
Air quality research
Applications research
Market intelligence
Disaster Risk Reduction Research
Fig: Seven pillars underpinning the research programme
SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMPOSIUM-2019

7. Critical Global Challenges
Weather forecasts & seasonal predictions

8. SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMBOSIUM-2019

9. Weather Forecast for Gauteng
Monday 18 Mar
Tuesday 19 Mar
Wednesday 20 Mar
Thursday 21 Mar
No rain
No rain
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10. Weather Forecast for Gauteng
Monday 18 Mar
Tuesday 19 Mar
Wednesday 20 Mar
Thursday 21 Mar
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11. Weather Forecast for Gauteng
Monday 18 Mar
Tuesday 19 Mar
Wednesday 20 Mar
Thursday 21 Mar
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12. SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMBOSIUM-2019
Seasonal Prediction
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13. SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMBOSIUM-2019
Seasonal Prediction
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14. SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMBOSIUM-2019
Seasonal Prediction
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SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMBOSIUM-2019

15. SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMBOSIUM-2019
2019 Symposium Focus
Air Quality Monitoring and Research Activities
GAW Monitoring and Research
Marine related Research Activities and Applications
Aviation related Research and Applications
Disaster Risk Reduction through Impact-based
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16. Climate Change Research at SAWS
Climate consists of the accumulation of weather events, meaning that climate change implies changes in weather on all time scales.
Climate Change research can therefore not isolated from other research activities at SAWS:
Observations
Now-casting
Weather forecasting
Extended-range forecasting
Seasonal predictions
Decadal outlooks
SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMPOSIUM-2019

17. SAWS Climate Change Reference Atlas
Annual
near-surface temperature change (°C)
RCP 8.5 (business as usual)
RCP 4.5
Annual
Rainfall change (mm)
RCP 8.5 (business as usual)
RCP 4.5
SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMPOSIUM-2019

18. A future “view” on Climate Change

19. Adaptation route towards climate resilience
History
Adaptation target
according to projections
Risk
Risk
Risk
Risk
Reality
Climate resilience
Reality
Reality
Reality
Observations
Timeline

20. A holistic “view” on Climate Change

21. SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMBOSIUM-2019
Agrometeorology
Purpose
To support agricultural production and activities by providing meteorological services to the agricultural sector
Research Focus Areas
Operational Agrometeorology
Development and implementation of agrometeorological products and services.
Provide guidance to enhance agrometeorology research for operational applications in the agricultural sector.
Agrometeorological modelling systems
Application of crop simulation models for forecasting and yield prediction.
Application of agrometeorological models for decision making.
Micrometeorology
Investigations of energy and water balances between the soil, plants and atmosphere interactions.
Development and application of science and new technology to provide high quality observation data and products.
 Remote Sensing and GIS applications in Agrometeorology
Vegetation cover and water stress monitoring.
Water use of different vegetation types
Climate variability and climate change impacts on agriculture
Impacts of climate variability and change on agriculture
Investigate impacts of weather and climate extremes on agriculture
SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMBOSIUM-2019

22. SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMBOSIUM-2019
Hydrometeorology
Aim: provide water-sector-related products, services and solutions in support of improved quality of life of people in South Africa
Key research activities:
Drought monitoring & prediction
Hydrological modelling and forecasting:
Scenario – based analysis and forecasting (e.g. streamflow, runoff)
Hydrological process
Water accounting and socio – hydrology
Hydrometeorology research:
Influence of climate elasticity on water resources
Weather/climate extremes and impacts on water resources
The use of multi-sensor satellites and GIS in water management and planning practices.
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23. Observation Modelling
Weather/climate-Energy
Observation Modelling
Full Radiation
Current research:-
Monitor SAWS solar radiometric network
Develop products for the energy sector
Conduct research on solar radiation validation and verification between Model (SSPS) and Observations
Conduct research on solar radiation verification between Satellite and Observations
Conduct Research on solar mapping and forecasting
Conduct research that captures the ability of NWP model’s capability to forecast surface shortwave radiation and how different cloud regimes influence the accuracy of those predictions
SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMBOSIUM-2019

24. Weather/climate-Health
Current research:-
Biometeorology
Malaria prediction
UV &Ozone
Human biometeorology research
UV monitoring since 1994 at six locations namely: Pretoria, Nelspruit, Cape Town, Cape Point, Durban and De Aar.
Instrument used is UV-Biometer
Spatio-temporal distribution of malaria cases of in Limpopo province, South Africa from January 1997 to December 2017.
SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMBOSIUM-2019

25. SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMPOSIUM-2019
Thank You
SAWS-SERV-RES-WEATHERSMART-SYMPOSIUM-2019