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Published byEtelka Bodnár Modified over 5 years ago
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Day-Trading Commodities and Navigating the Prop Firm Universe
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Personal Background 2002 Graduate from University of Notre Dame
Equity Prop Trader Tape reading Opening strategies Futures Prop Trader Technical analysis Psychological analysis
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Agenda Futures Market Overview Proprietary Trading Firms
Technical Analysis Trade Strategy/Examples
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Futures Markets
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Market Participants Farmers, Manufacturers
Hedgers Speculators Farmers, Manufacturers Hedge against future price risk Lock in price margins Benefit from risky nature of futures markets Provide liquidity Does not intend to take delivery
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Characteristics of Futures
Margin Different from equities/options Determined by exchanges Expiration Monthly and quarterly Leverage Control large amounts of a commodity with little capital
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Crude Oil Futures (WTI)
Traded on NYMEX/GLOBEX 1000 barrels/contract Margin = $3,740 $10/tick Pit Hours: 9:00am – 2:30pm Avg. Daily Volume = 210,000 contracts Avg. Daily Range = $1.70
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Proprietary Trading Firms
Traditional Model Profit Split/Draw/Fees How to gain entry
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Prop vs. Retail Keep 100% of profits Need substantial capital
Retail Trading Prop Trading Keep 100% of profits Need substantial capital Responsible for support Profit split No capital needed Access to software, community, etc
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Equity Prop Trading Personal Experience Current Landscape
Spike Trading/Assent ECHO Trade Current Landscape Prop vs. Arcade Capital Contribution vs. Fee for education
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TopStep Trader Education & Recruitment Chat room Guest Speakers
Product rooms Energies, Metals, Equities, FX, Interest Rates Guest Speakers Dr. Andrew Menaker, Ron Feinstein, Anne-Marie Baiynd, John Bougearel, Wally Labuz
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Topstep Trader Chat
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TopStep Trader Combine
Used to evaluate trading talent $30K, 50K, $100K and $150K accounts Evaluation Metrics Can not hit daily “loss-limit” Achieve profit objective Winning day percentage > 55
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$50K Combine Example 10 or 20 trading days 5 lot max position size
$3500 profit objective $2000 max drawdown $1000 daily loss limit
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Patak Trading Partners
Combine Live Trader Junior vs. Senior trader Mentoring Morning meetings
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Technical Analysis Trend Lines Support/Resistance
Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
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Trendline
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Trend lines (example)
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Trend
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Trend (Example)
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Support/Resistance
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Support/Resistance Example
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Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
Most important retracement is 61.8% (Golden Ratio) Key Zone = 61.8% % 38.2% - 50% is used as a trend indicator 161.8% extension used for targets/support/resistance
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61.8% Retrace
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61.8% Retrace (Example)
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CL 161.8% extension
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CL 161.8% extension
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Trading Strategy Top-down view to find levels
Fibs Trendlines Highs/Lows Focus on the psychology of the markets Springs/upthrusts Flags/pennants Momentum – used for entries at key levels
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Springs & Upthrusts Provide excellent risk:reward situations
Immediate feedback Occur on all timeframes Powerful with the trend Spring An immediate rejection of a previous low Upthrust An immediate rejection of a previous high
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Spring – Daily Chart
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Upthrust – Daily Chart
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Spring – 500 Tick Chart
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Upthrust – 500 Tick Chart
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Continuation Patterns
Flag Pattern Sharp move higher/lower Tight consolidation near highs/lows Continued move higher/lower Pennant Pattern Forms in top of uptrend/bottom of downtrend Series of lower highs/higher lows
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Flag
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Flag (Example)
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Pennant
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Pennant (Example)
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Q &A
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