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Principles of Management Learning Session # 19 Dr. A. Rashid Kausar
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Re-cap of Session # 18
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Enhancing Creativity in Decision Making
1. Brainstorming 2. Nominal Group Technique 3. Delphi Technique 4. Scenario Analysis
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Creativity in Decision Making
‘Creativity is the cognitive process of developing an idea, concept, commodity or discovery viewed as novel by its creator or target audience.’
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Creativity and Brainstorming in Your Class !
1. What features would you like cars to have 10 years from now ? 2. What new approaches could recent graduates use in getting better jobs ?
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Brainstorming may be Electronic!
1) Criticism is ruled out 2) All ideas are welcomed 3) Quantity is wanted 4) Combinations and improvement are sought
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Nominal Group Technique
Enhancing creativity and decision making by integrating individuals working independently and then presenting it for group interaction and discussion. Voting for best idea or Ranking!
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3 Basic Steps of the Delphi Technique
1. A questionnaire is sent to a group of experts 2. A summary of the first round is prepared 3. A summary of the second round is prepared
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Reasons for Using Scenarios
Scenarios are intended to: 1.Provide a wide range of possibilities against which to evaluate strategies 2.Provide a broad vision of possible events
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Reasons for Using Scenarios
3.To assist in the identification of events that warrant the development of contingency plans
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Devil’s Advocacy Generate a potential solution
Assign a devil’s advocate to criticize Present the critique of the solution to key decision makers Gather additional information Decide whether to use, change, or not to use the originally proposed solution
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Continuous Improvement over Time
The Deming Cycle 1. Plan 2. Do 1. Plan 2. Do 4. Act 3.Check 4. Act 3. Check Continuous Improvement over Time
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Creativity in Decision Making
Creativity requires both: Convergent Thinking Attempting to move logically to a problem solution.
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Creativity in Decision Making
Divergent Thinking Generating new ways of viewing a problem and seeking novel alternatives.
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Creativity in Decision Making
Creativity requires both: Vertical Thinking Step wise , Sequential and Rational Style
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Creativity in Decision Making
Lateral Thinking Step wise but not sequential
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Creativity in Decision Making
Lateral Thinking Dr. Edward DeBono
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Manager As Decision Maker
Intuitive Decision Making - Subconscious process of making decisions on the basis of experience and accumulated judgment.
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Planning and Decision Aids
Management Science Or Operation Research For ?
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Planning and Decision Aids
Increasing Decision Effectiveness by using Mathematical, Statistical & Qualitative Models.
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