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The Capital Budgeting Decision

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Presentation on theme: "The Capital Budgeting Decision"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Capital Budgeting Decision
12 Chapter

2 Chapter 12 - Outline What is Capital Budgeting?
4 Methods of Evaluating Investment Proposals Payback Period Net Present Value Internal Rate of Return Profitability index Accept/Reject Decision Net Present Value Profile Summary and Conclusions

3 Capital Budgeting Techniques
Should we build this plant?

4 What is Capital Budgeting?
represents a long-term investment decision for example, buy a new computer system or build a new plant involves the planning of expenditures for a project with a life of 1 or more years emphasizes amounts and timing of cash flows and opportunity costs and benefits investment usually requires a large initial cash outflow with the expectation of future cash inflows considers only those cash flows that will change as a result of the investment all cash flows are calculated after tax

5 Table 12-1 Cash flow for Alston Corporation
Earnings before amortization and taxes (cash inflow) $20,000 Amortization (non-cash expense) ,000 Earnings before taxes ,000 Taxes (cash outflow) ,500 Earnings after taxes ,500 Amortization ,000 Cash flow $12,500

6 4 Methods of Evaluating Investment Proposals
Payback Period (PP) Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Net Present Value (NPV) Profitability Index (PI)

7 Types of Capital Projects
Independent Projects Projects whose cash flows are not affected by the acceptance or rejection of other projects. Ex: A book publishing company trying to purchase a TV network Mutually Exclusive Projects A set of projects where the acceptance of one project means the others cannot be accepted Ex: Got a parcel of land: Build apartments or Amusement parks

8 Figure 12-1 Capital budgeting procedures
PPT 12-4 Figure 12-1 Capital budgeting procedures Accounting, finance, engineering Collection of data Idea development Decision making Results Assign probabilities Reassign probabilities Reevaluation

9 Payback Period Payback Period (PP): Advantages: Disadvantages:
computes the amount of time required to recoup the initial investment a cutoff period is established Advantages: easy to use (“quick and dirty” approach) emphasizes liquidity Disadvantages: ignores inflows after the cutoff period fails to consider the time value of money

10 Formula For Pay Back period
where, A= The year in which the cumulative net cash flow is nearer to NCO NCO= Net cash outlay C=Cumulative net cash flow of year A. D= Net cash flow of the year following the year A

11 Net Present Value Net Present Value (NPV):
the present value of the cash inflows minus the present value of the cash outflows the future cash flows are discounted back over the life of the investment the basic discount rate is usually the firm’s cost of capital (WACC)(assuming similar risk)

12 Net Present Value (NPV) Method
NPV is a method of evaluating capital investment proposals by finding the present value of future net cash flows, discounted at the rate of return required by the firm One of two discounted cash flow (DCF) techniques using time value of money that we will cover NPV = PV of inflows – Cost (Initial Investment) = Net gain in wealth

13 NPV Method: Disadvantage
NPV Method: Advantage It Considers the time value of money concept. It considers the total benefit arising out of invest proposal over its life time. It is particularly useful for the selection of mutually exclusive project. NPV Method: Disadvantage It involves the calculation of the required rate of return to discount the cash flows. It is absolute measures that favors the higher present value project that may also involves a larger initial outlay. In case of projects having different lives it may not give dependable results.

14 Internal Rate of Return
PPT 12-12 Internal Rate of Return Internal Rate of Return (IRR): represents a yield on an investment or an interest rate requires calculating the discount rate that equates the initial cash outflow (cost) with the future cash inflows (benefits) is the discount rate where the cash outflows equal the cash inflows (or NPV = 0)

15 Formula for IRR PV of inflows = Investment Cost (Initial Investment)
So the discount rate at which NPV=O is IRR.

16 IRR: Advantage Business executives and non-technical people understand the concept of IRR much more readily than they understand the concept of NPV. IRR recognizes the time value of money concepts. It considers all the cash flows occurring over the entire life of the project. It does not use the concept of required rate of return. It is consistent with the overall objective of maximizing shareholders’ wealth.

17 IRR: Disadvantage Multiple IRRs Calculation is very much difficult.
It is determined based on the assumption that all intermediate cash inflows are reinvested at IRR.

18 Profitability Index Method
The method measures the present value of returns per unit of present value of investment. The profitability index is defined as the ratio which is obtained by dividing the present value of future cash inflows by cash outflows.

19 The Profitability Index (PI)
Advantages: May be useful when available investment funds are limited Easy to understand and communicate Correct decision when evaluating independent projects Disadvantages: Problems with mutually exclusive investments> ignores differences in scale

20 Accept/Reject Decision
Payback Period (PP): if PP < cutoff period, accept the project if PP > cutoff period, reject the project Internal Rate of Return (IRR): if IRR > cost of capital, accept the project if IRR < cost of capital, reject the project Net Present Value (NPV): if NPV > 0, accept the project if NPV < 0, reject the project Profitability Index (PI) if PI > 1, accept the project if PI > 1, reject the project

21 Net Present Value Profile
a graph of the NPV of a project at different discount rates shows the NPV at 3 different points: a zero discount rate the normal discount rate (or cost of capital) the IRR allows an easy way to visualize whether or not an investment should be undertaken

22 Figure 12-2 Net present value profile
6,000 4,000 2,000 Net present value ($) 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% IRRB = 14.33% IRRA = 11.16% Discount rate (percent) Investment B Investment A B A A B

23 Multiple IRRs (Project C)
There are two IRRs for this project: $ $800 -$200 - $800 Which one should we use? 100% = IRR2 0% = IRR1

24 Summary and Conclusions
Payback period indicates risk and liquidity of a project NPV gives a direct measure of the dollar benefit to the shareholders IRR provides information about a project’s “safety margin” IRR reinvestment assumption may be unrealistic Watch out for multiple IRRs

25 Summary and Conclusions
This chapter evaluates the most popular alternatives to NPV: Payback period Internal rate of return Profitability index When it is all said and done, they are not the NPV rule; for those of us in finance, it makes them decidedly second-rate.


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