1. Pilot Shortage: Sustainability Perspective
Adem Okal

2. Overview Pilot Shortage Forecast Two Cases Sustainability
Flight Schools
Northern Remote Regions
Sustainability

3. 10-Year Outlook Americas 85K Europe 50K Mid. East 30K Asia Pacific 90K
Source: CAE 2017

4. 20-Year Outlook
Source: Boeing 2016

5. Possible Career Paths Canada
Training Period
Hour (Experience) Building
Regional Airlines
Major Airlines
Flying in the Northern Regions
First Officer
&
Captain
First Officer
&
Captain
Pilot with CPL
Instructor at Flight Schools

6. First Case Flight Schools

7. Pilot Supply
Source: CAE 2017

8. Flight Schools Flight instructor as a stepping stone to airlines
Low wages (especially for new instructors)
Increasing number of recruitment
High Turnover Rate

9. Flight Schools Possible Impacts: Shortfall of experienced instructor
Quality & Quantity problems
Drying up training capacity
Flight Schools
Regional Airlines
Major Airlines

10. Second Case Northern Remote Regions

11. Northern Remote Regions
Grise Fiord
Source: Transport Canada, 2017

12. Northern Remote Regions Grise Fiord
Airport

13. Northern Remote Regions
Hard weather conditions
Remoteness of regions to the South
Prestigious positions at southern airlines
Increasing # of recruitment (southern airlines)
High Turnover Rate

14. Overview Pilot Shortage Forecast Two Cases Sustainability
Flight Schools
Northern Remote Regions
Sustainability

15. Sustainable Solutions
Sustainability
Economic
Environmental
Social
Sustainable Solutions
The Brundtland Report (1987),
Sustainable Development:
“development that meets the need of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs”(WCED, 1987, p. 43).

16. Economic Sustainability
Common themes:
GDP
Growth
Profit
Source: Air Transport Action Group Report (2014)

17. Social Sustainability
Society
Cohesion
Diversity
Basic Needs
Public Services
Safety
Equity

19. Pilot Shortage Sustainability Perspective