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Efficiency, Exchange, and The Invisible Hand in Action

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1 Efficiency, Exchange, and The Invisible Hand in Action
Chapter 7 ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.

2 Learning Objectives How to optimize your decision in time?
Define and explain the differences between accounting profit, economic profit, and normal profit Explain the Invisible Hand Theory and show how economic profit and economic loss affect the allocation of resources across industries Explain why economic profit, unlike economic rent, tends toward zero in the long run Identify whether the market equilibrium is socially efficient, and explain why no opportunities for gain remain open for individuals when a market is in equilibrium Calculate total economic surplus and explain how it is affected by policies that prevent the market from reaching equilibrium ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-2

3 Present Values and Future Values (1)
You deposit $1,000 at your bank with an annual interest rate of 10%. The future value (FV) of your $1,000 is $1,100. If you leave your money at the bank for T years – and the interest rate (r) = 10% doesn’t change over time, your FV of the $1,000 will be: In general form:

4 Present Values and Future Values (2)
You expect to receive $1,000 a year from now, and the annual interest rate is 10%. The present value (PV) of your $1,000 is $1,000/1.1 = $ If you receive $1,000 for T years, starting next year – and the interest rate (r) = 10% doesn’t change over time, your PV of your income flow will be: In general form:

5 Present Value – Future Value
Your monetary income in year 0 is m0, in year 1 is m1, the market rate of interest is r%. (m0, m1) C1 C0

6 Optimal Choice in Time Your consumption in year 0 is C0, in year 1 is C1. (m0, m1) C1 C0 Time preference (c*0, c*1)

7 How fast can your wealth grow?
The discount factor (in PV): If your discount factor is low (the market rate of interest is high) then your wealth grows faster than the wealth of that person (country) who (which) prefers current consumption to future consumption:

8 Bonds, Stocks and Annuities
When would you buy a corporate or government bond? How much would you pay for a company’s share? How much is an annuity worth to you?

9 Markets Are Dynamic Every time you see one of these signs, you see the market dynamics at work: Store for Lease Going Out of Business Sale Everything Must Go Now Open Close-Out Model Under New Management ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-9

10 The Invisible Hand Individuals act in their own interests
Aggregate outcome is collective well-being Profit motive Produces highly valued goods and services Allocates resources to their highest value use Jon Stewart does not wait tables ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-10

11 Accounting profit = total revenue – explicit costs
Most common profit idea Accounting profit = total revenue – explicit costs Explicit costs are payments firms make to purchase Resources (labor, land, etc.) and Products from other firms Easy to compute Easy to compare across firms ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-11

12 Economic Profit Economic profit is the difference between a firm's total revenue and the sum of its explicit and implicit costs Also called excess profits Implicit costs are the opportunity costs of the resources supplied by the firm's owners Normal profit is the difference between accounting profit and economic profit Normal profits keep the resources in their current use ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-12

13 Three Kinds of Profit Total Revenue Explicit Costs Explicit Costs
Total Revenue = Explicit Costs + Accounting Profit Explicit Costs Explicit Costs Accounting Profit Normal Profit Economic Profit Economic Profit = Accounting Profit – Normal Profit ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-13

14 Example: Economic Profit Guides Decisions
Pudge Buffet's decision: continue farming or quit? Quit farming and earn $11,000 per year working retail Explicit farm costs are $10,000 Total revenue is $22,000 Pudge should stick with farming His economic profit is positive Accounting Profit Economic Profit Normal Profit $12,000 $1,000 $11,000 ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-14

15 Example: Economic Profit Guides Decisions, A Change in Revenue
Pudge Buffet's decision: continue farming or quit if total revenue decreases to $20,000? Quit farming and earn $11,000 per year working retail Explicit farm costs are $10,000 Total revenue is $20,000 Pudge should quit His economic profit is negative Accounting Profit Economic Profit Normal Profit $10,000 -$1,000 $11,000 ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-15

16 Example: Owned Inputs Rent for the farm land is $6,000 of the $10,000 in explicit costs What changes if Pudge inherits the land? His rent payments become an implicit cost Pudge should quit farming Total Revenue Explicit Costs Implicit Costs $20,000 $4,000 $17,000 Accounting Profit Economic Profit Normal Profit $16,000 -$1,000 $17,000 ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-16

17 Two Functions of Price Rationing function of price distributes scarce goods to the consumers who value them most highly Allocative function of price directs resources away from overcrowded markets to markets that are underserved Invisible Hand Theory states that the actions of independent, self-interested buyers and sellers will often result in the most efficient allocation of resources Articulated by Adam Smith in eighteenth century ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-17

18 Responses to Profits and Losses
Will the firm remain in business in the long run? If it covers ALL of its costs Firms that earn normal profit recover only their opportunity cost Firms that earn positive economic profit recover more than their opportunity cost Markets in which firms are earning economic profit will attract resources Markets in which firms are suffering economic losses will lose resources ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-18

19 Response to Economic Profits
Markets with excess profits attract resources P 2 Quantity (000s of bushels/year) Price $/bu MC 130 ATC 1.20 Typical Corn Farm Quantity (M of bushels/year) S D 65 Corn Industry Economic Profit ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-19 19

20 Shrinking Economic Profits
Supply increases P Quantity (000s of bushels/year) Price $/bu MC 130 ATC Typical Corn Farm 2 Quantity (M of bushels/year) S D 65 Corn Industry Economic Profit S' 1.50 95 120 ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-20 20

21 Market Equilibrium Zero economic profits P
Quantity (000s of bushels/year) Price $/bu MC 130 ATC Typical Corn Farm 2 Quantity (M of bushels/year) S D 65 Corn Industry S' 1.50 115 1 S" 90 ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-21 21

22 Economic Losses Resources leave 1.05 Quantity (M of bushels/year)
Quantity (000s of bushels/year) 70 0.75 P 90 ATC MC S D 60 Price $/bu Corn Industry Typical Corn Farm ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-22 22

23 Market Equilibrium No economic losses Quantity (M of bushels/year)
Quantity (000s of bushels/year) 70 0.75 P 90 ATC MC S D 60 Price $/bu 1 S' 40 ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-23 23

24 Constant-Cost Industry
In the long run, corn costs $1/bu regardless of the size of the industry Quantity (M of bushels/year) Quantity (000s of bushels/year) 1.00 D S P MC ATC Price $/bu ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-24 24

25 Features of the Invisible Hand
Benefits of Invisible Hand Cost – Benefit Principle applies P = MC Marginal benefit of last buyer equals marginal cost of last unit produced Price paid by buyers is no greater than cost to the seller ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-25 25

26 Example: Movement Toward Equilibrium
All markets are in equilibrium when Demand for haircuts decreases Demand for exercise increases Price of haircuts goes down; hair stylists have losses Price of aerobics classes go up; instructors have excess profits Eventually the long-run prices of haircuts and aerobics class return to long-run equilibrium ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-26 26

27 Short-Run Adjustments
Price ($/haircut) Haircuts/day Classes/day Price ($/class) S D 500 15 200 10 350 D' 12 300 Haircut Market Aerobics Market ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-27 27

28 Short-Run Adjustments
MCH QH ATCH Price ($/haircut) Q'H 15.50 12 Economic loss MCA QA ATCA Price ($/class) Q'A 15 11 profit Typical Hair Salon Typical Aerobics Studio ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-28 28

29 Free Entry and Exit Barrier to entry: any force that prevents firms from entering a new industry Legal constraints Practical factors Free entry and exit is required for the Invisible Hand to work ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-29

30 Economic Rent Economic profits tend toward zero, yet people get rich
Economic rent is the portion of a payment to a factor of production that exceeds the owner's reservation price People who love their work Non-reproducible input The case of the talented chef Unique talent for cooking In equilibrium, pay the chef the increase in revenue from his talent ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-30

31 Invisible Hand in the Supermarket
No Cash on the Table Principle says short check-out lines get longer – quickly Information is freely available Start in the shortest line Observe the pace of all lines Missing price in your line Complaining customer next to you Decide whether to switch ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-31

32 Invisible Hand and Cost-Saving Innovations
Competitive firms are price takers Cost management required Innovation lowers cost for one firm Profits increase by amount of cost savings Information is freely available Industry costs decrease Equilibrium price decreases by amount of cost savings No excess profit ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-32

33 Example: Shipping Innovation
40 companies compete in trans-Atlantic shipping Cost per trip is $500,000 One firm innovates to save $20,000 in fuel per trip Short-run economic profit Over time, competitors copy the innovation Industry costs decrease by $20,000 Equilibrium price decreases by $20,000 In the long run, no firm earns economic profit ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-33

34 Market Equilibrium and Big Payoffs
Equilibrium leaves no opportunities for individuals to gain Non-equilibrium opportunities benefit individuals Exploiting opportunities moves the market toward equilibrium Three ways to earn a big payoff: Work exceptionally hard Have some unique skill or talent Be lucky ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-34

35 Invisible Hand and Socially Optimal Outcome
Markets work best when Buyers' marginal benefits = sellers' marginal costs AND Society's marginal benefits = society's marginal costs Individual spending to improve a stock price forecast may benefit the individual Some other individual loses Return to society of the investment is less than the benefit ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-35

36 Market Equilibrium and Efficiency
Economic efficiency exists when no change could be made to benefit one party without harming the other Sometimes called Pareto efficiency Different from engineering efficiency Equilibrium price and quantity are efficient Prices above or below equilibrium are not ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-36

37 Price Below Equilibrium
Suppose milk is $1 per gallon 2.50 Quantity (1,000s of gallons/day) Price ($/gallon) 1 2 3 4 5 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 D S ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-37

38 Price Below Equilibrium
A buyer offers $1.25 S 2.50 2.00 1.50 Price ($/gallon) 1.25 1.00 0.50 D 1 2 3 4 5 Quantity (1,000s of gallons/day) ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-38

39 Price above Equilibrium
2.50 Quantity (1,000s of gallons/day) Price ($/gallon) 1 2 3 4 5 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 D S 1.75 Only equilibrium price is efficient ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-39

40 Efficiency Conditions
Perfectly Competitive Markets No Costs or Benefits Shifted Market Efficiency ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-40

41 Trade-Offs Efficiency Equity Basic Needs Maximum Total Surplus
Fairness Basic Needs Maximum Total Surplus ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-41

42 The Cost of Preventing Price Adjustments
Price ceilings A maximum allowable price, specified by law Price subsidies Meant to assist low-income consumers, governmental funding of “essential” goods and services ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-42

43 Example: Heating Oil Market
D S 2.00 Quantity (1,000s of gallons/day) Price ($/gallon) 1 2 3 4 5 1.60 1.20 1.00 .80 1.80 1.40 8 Producer surplus = $900/day Consumer surplus = $900/day ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-43

44 Price Ceiling on Heating Oil
2.00 Consumer surplus = $900/ day 1.80 S 1.60 1.40 Lost surplus = $800/ day 1.20 Price ($/gallon) 1.00 0.80 Producer surplus = $100/ day D 1 2 3 4 5 8 Quantity (1,000s of gallons/day) ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-44

45 Surplus Lost to a Price Ceiling
$800 underestimates surplus loss Consumers place different values on heating oil If a person with a lower reservation price gets the oil, there is additional surplus lost Shortages increase non-market costs Waiting in line Side payments ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-45

46 Alternative Heating Oil Policy
Surplus with Price Controls Surplus with Income Transfers Only R P R P R = high income P = low income ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-46

47 Example: Price Subsidy for Bread
Imported bread costs $2 Perfectly elastic supply Government program to subsidize bread Government imports bread for $2 Government sells bread for $1 Results More bread Less efficiency ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-47

48 Price Subsidies for Bread
Quantity (millions of loaves/month) 2 4 6 $3.00 $1.00 $4.00 8 $2.00 D S Price ($/loaf) Consumer Surplus = $4 M/month Consumer Surplus = $9 M/month BUT… S with subsidy ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-48

49 The Cost of the Subsidy The bread subsidy appears to increase consumer surplus from $4 million to $9 million BUT … The government loses $1 on every loaf Imports 6 million loaves for $2 per loaf Government losses are $6 million The net benefit of the subsidy program Consumer surplus – government losses Net benefit = $3 million ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-49

50 Price Subsidies for Bread
Price ($/loaf) Consumer Surplus $4.00 Total Surplus Lost = $1 M/month $3.00 S $2.00 Government Losses $1.00 S with subsidy D 2 4 6 8 Quantity (millions of loaves/month) ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-50

51 Invisible Hand in Action
Economic Efficiency Invisible Hand Resource Allocation Profits Market Equilibrium Economic Rents Examples Price Ceilings Subsidies ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. 7-51


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