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Distributions and Densities

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1 Distributions and Densities
Jacek Wallusch _________________________________ Mathematical Statistics for International Business Lecture 5: Distributions and Densities

2 is the distribution skewed or symmetrical?
getting started Income Distribution in Germany: what should we look at? shape of distribution Probability distribution and uncertainty and risk – this topic will be reconsidered soon is the distribution skewed or symmetrical? Mathematical Statistics: 5 What is the intuitive definition of distribution?

3 frequencies and income clusters
Distribution ____________________________________________________________________________________________ example Income Deciles in Germany: frequencies and income clusters Probability distribution and uncertainty and risk – this topic will be reconsidered soon Mathematical Statistics: 5 black – 1934, red – 2006

4 Distribution Function ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Important definition Random variable: continuous e.g.: discrete Probability distribution and uncertainty and risk – this topic will be reconsidered soon Mathematical Statistics: 5 4

5 Distribution Functions:
CDF&PDF Distribution Functions: cumulative (CDF): probability (PDF): probability that random variable X will be not greater than x probability that random variable X will fall within the interval between x and x + dx Probability distribution and uncertainty and risk – this topic will be reconsidered soon Mathematical Statistics: 5 5

6 finite x, continuous or discrete random variable X
Distribution Function ____________________________________________________________________________________________ CDF Cumulative Distribution Function: finite x, continuous or discrete random variable X Properties of CDF: Probability distribution and uncertainty and risk – this topic will be reconsidered soon Mathematical Statistics: 5 Recall: probability measure, semi-closed interval, improper integrals;

7 Distribution and Density ____________________________________________________________________________________________ properties Properties of a distribution of discrete R.V.: Properties of a density function: Probability distribution and uncertainty and risk – this topic will be reconsidered soon Mathematical Statistics: 5 Exercise 1: Why b.-properties must be satisfied? Exercise 2: eq(4.5) p. 46

8 Empirical Distribution ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Histogram Histogram: graphical presentation of frequencies or relative frequencies for selected clusters (bins) of a random variable Example: Discount granted: frequency relative frequency less than 20% 5 0.040 20%-25% 22 0.176 25%-30% 45 0.360 30%-35% 35 0.280 35%-40% 15 0.120 more than 40% 3 0.024 Total: 125 Total: 1.000 Probability distribution and uncertainty and risk – this topic will be reconsidered soon Mathematical Statistics: 5 8


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