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Statistical Inference
Introduction to Statistical Inference
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1 We observed !
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What is the true value of p , in the experiment ?
Is exact value of ? No
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Plausible range that will be in ?
(0, 1) : true but no meaning A reasonable way is How to take the value ?
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Is the statement right ? How can we decide the answer ?
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statistic vs. parameter
sample population statistic vs. parameter
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Parameter characterizes the population
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Statistic is a function of a sample.
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Statistic
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sample mean, sample median & sample variance
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(o) 12
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(X) is neither parameter nor statistic (X) (o) 13
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non-parametric question vs. parametric question
What is the population ? What is and ? non-parametric question vs. parametric question 14
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Answer the following questions
by using the information obtained from the sample. A: What is ? B: What is the plausible range for ? C: Is true ? 15
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We have a random sample obtained from What is ? estimator 16
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?
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? 1 2 3 4 5 6 1/6
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1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5
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Sampling distribution:
the distribution that a statistics follows.
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1 2 3 4 5 6 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 n = 8
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Why (n-1) ? 28
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Which one is better ?
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for large
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For an estimator, if the mean of the sampling distribution
of the estimator is equal to the parameter, then the estimator is called unbiased; otherwise biased. 33
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unbiased! unbiased! 34
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biased ! 36
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unbiased! unbiased! 37
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Strong Law of Large Numbers (SLLN)
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X
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Central Limit Theorem (CLT)
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Thank you !!
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