1. Territorial Trends and Challenges in Regional Policies
Regions and Cities Week, Brussels 9-11 October 2018
Ben Gardiner
09/10/2018

2. Outline Introduction and context Database description
Examples of European regional trends analysis
Conclusions

3. Introduction and Context
Description of CE European Regional database
Project for JRC-ISPRA
Helping to transition European regional database on to JRC territorial platform
Handover of knowledge to ISPRA
Further enhancements to database
Some applications looking at regional trends and patterns of behaviour across Europe

4. What is the CE EuroReg database?
NUTS2/3 EU-wide
(newer MS from >)
GVA, Employment, Hours Worked, Employee Compensation, GFCF, Population (total, active)
6 sectors of activity (agriculture, industry, construction, financial and business services, other market services, public services)

5. Changing Spatial and Sectoral Classifications
National Accounts Classification
Time period
NUTS Classification
Industry Classification
ESA79
NUTS 1999
NACE Rev. 1
ESA95
NUTS 2003
NACE Rev. 1.1
NUTS 2006
NACE Rev. 2
ESA2010
NUTS 2010
NUTS 2013

6. Painstaking Process to Ensure Consistency
Many gaps to be filled, errors to be corrected, consistencies to be maintained (across space, time and activity)
The hierarchy of relationships is illustrated below.
Employment
Gross Value Added
GDP
Compensation of Employees
Gross Fixed Capital Formation
Population
Active population
Hours Worked

7. Now available for free download!
JRC data platform:
Enter ‘Cambridge Econometrics’ in the search field

8. Empirical Analysis: Levels, Growth and Convergence

9. Empirical Analysis: Levels, Growth and Convergence

10. Empirical Analysis: Regional Disparities
BE DK DE EL ES FR IE IT LU NL AT PT FI SE UK BG CZ EE LV LT HU PL RO SI SK

11. Empirical Analysis: Transition Matrices
Proportion of Regions in GDP per capita Qunitiles, 2015 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
100 56 4 48 8 24 44 16 12 32 36 28 76
Proportion of Regions in GDP per capita Qunitiles, 1996

12. Empirical Analysis: Transition Matrices
Proportion of Regions in GDP per capita Qunitiles, 2015 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
100 72 8 76 12 4 16 48 28 32 44 24 68 92
Proportion of Regions in GDP per capita Qunitiles, 2006

13. Empirical Analysis: GDP per capita, Productivity and Employment

14. Empirical Analysis: GDP per capita, Productivity and Employment

15. Empirical Analysis: GDP per capita Drivers
EU15 = 100
2001
GDP COMPONENT
Regional GDP per capita group
No of regions
GDP per capita
Sectoral productivity
Sectoral hours worked
Employment rate
Dependency rate
Less than 75% EU average 48
62.82
81.28
109.11
91.98
92.57
More than 75% but less than EU average 74
90.09
97.65
97.45
96.01
99.06
More than EU average 92
125.30
108.55
98.58
106.04
105.95
2015 44
57.98
76.06
107.87
90.95
91.36 78
88.84
97.26
98.83
95.22
99.91
127.09
110.87
98.90
107.51
104.77

16. Empirical Analysis: Convergence

17. Twin Peaks – a Cautionary Tale….

18. Conclusions CE database Empirical analysis
Upload done, freely available
GFCF still missing but available
Further work (capital stock) in the pipeline
2016 update being planned shortly
Empirical analysis
Regional disparities, GDP per capita (convergence, decomposition, drivers)
Income traps and lagging regions
Academic papers
Still holding out hope for a more detailed regional-sector database in future…

19. Now available for free download!
JRC data platform:
Enter ‘Cambridge Econometrics’ in the search field