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Agricultural Marketing

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Presentation on theme: "Agricultural Marketing"— Presentation transcript:

1 Agricultural Marketing
ECON 337: Agricultural Marketing Lee Schulz Assistant Professor Chad Hart Associate Professor 1

2 Example Transaction for Marketing Report
Details Cash Price Basis Gross Revenue Net Return after Prod. Costs Futures/Options Return Storage and Opportunity Costs Final Net Return

3 25,000 Bushels of Corn Stored at Home
Timeline Harvested Nov. 1 Hedged with futures Jan. 11 Offset hedge and sold Apr. 11 So the corn was in storage for 5.3 months

4 Relevant Prices and Costs
Cash Prices: Nov. 1 $3.43 Apr. 11 $3.22 Basis at Sale: -$0.35 Prod. Costs: -$3.72 Futures Prices: Jan. 11 $3.57 Apr. 11 $3.57 Storage Costs: $0.01/month Interest Rate: %

5 Costs of Ownership Storage Costs Opportunity Costs
5.3 months * $0.01/bu/month * 25,000 bu $1,325 or $0.053/bu Opportunity Costs (5.3/12) * $3.43/bu * 7.5% * 25,000 bu $2, or $0.1136/bu Total $4, or $0.1666/bu

6 Futures/Options Return
Sold 5 May ’16 corn futures on Jan. $3.57 Offset by buying 5 May ’16 corn futures on Apr. $3.57 Paid broker $0.01/bu for the service Per Bushel Return: ($ $3.57) - $0.01 = -$0.01 Return on Hedge: -$250.00

7 Final Tally for On-farm Corn
Per Bushel Total Cash Price $3.22 $80,500.00 Production Cost -$3.72 -$93,000.00 -$0.50 -$12,500.00 Costs of Ownership -$0.1666 -$ 4,165.47 -$0.6666 -$16,665.47 Futures/Options Return -$0.01 -$ Final Net Return -$0.6766 -$16,915.47

8 25,000 Bushels of Corn Stored at Coop
Timeline Harvested Nov. 1 Sold some & bought put Jan. 11 Sold more Feb. 22 Sold the rest & offset put Apr. 11 Some of the corn was in storage for 2.3 months, some for 3.7 months, and the rest was in storage for 5.3 months

9 Relevant Prices and Costs
Cash Prices: Nov. 1 $3.43 Jan. 11 $3.19 Feb. 22 $3.39 Apr. 11 $3.22 Basis: Jan. 11 -$0.3275 Feb. 22 -$0.285 Apr. 11 -$0.35 Prod. Costs: -$3.72 Storage Costs: $0.03/month Interest Rate: %

10 Relevant Prices and Costs
Put Option: May 2016 $3.50 Futures Prices: Jan. 11 $3.57 Apr. 11 $3.57 Put Premium: Jan. 11 $0.12 Apr. 11 $0.01

11 Costs of Ownership Storage Costs Opportunity Costs
2.3 months * $0.03/bu/month * 5,000 bu $345 or $0.069/bu Opportunity Costs (2.3/12) * $3.43/bu * 7.5% * 5,000 bu $ or $0.0493/bu Total $ or $0.1183/bu

12 Costs of Ownership Storage Costs Opportunity Costs
3.7 months * $0.03/bu/month * 15,000 bu $1, or $0.111/bu Opportunity Costs (3.7/12) * $3.43/bu * 7.5% * 15,000 bu $1, or $0.0793/bu Total $2, or $0.1903/bu

13 Costs of Ownership Storage Costs Opportunity Costs
5.3 months * $0.03/bu/month * 5,000 bu $795 or $0.159/bu Opportunity Costs (5.3/12) * $3.43/bu * 7.5% * 5,000 bu $ or $0.1136/bu Total $1, or $0.2726/bu Grand Total $4, or $0.1924/bu

14 Futures/Options Return
Bought 1 May ’16 corn put option w/ $3.50 strike price on Jan. $0.12 Offset by selling 1 May ’16 corn put option w/ $3.50 strike price on Apr. $0.01 Paid broker $0.01/bu for the service Per Bushel Return: ($ $0.12) - $0.01 = -$0.12 Return on Option: -$600.00

15 Final Tally for Off-farm Corn
Per Bushel Total Cash Price – Sale 1 $3.19 $15,950.00 Cash Price – Sale 2 $3.39 $50,850.00 Cash Price – Sale 3 $3.22 $16,100.00 $3.316 $82,900.00 Production Cost -$3.72 -$93,000.00 -$0.404 -$10,100.00 Costs of Ownership -$0.1924 -$ 4,809.40 -$0.5964 -$14,909.40 Futures/Options Return -$0.024 -$ Final Net Return -$0.6204 -$15,509.40

16 Final Tally for All of My Corn
Per Bushel Total Cash Price $3.268 $163,400.00 Production Cost -$3.72 -$186,000.00 -$0.452 -$ 22,600.00 Costs of Ownership -$0.1795 -$ 8,974.87 -$0.6315 -$ 31,574.87 Futures/Options Return -$0.017 -$ Final Net Return -$0.6485 -$ 32,424.87

17 Estimate 2016 Production Costs

18 Estimate 2016 Production Costs

19 Other Information/Decisions
Expected Production Futures Hedges Options Forward Sales Crop Storage Crop Insurance Farm Bill Programs

20 Class web site:


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