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Most Probable Landfall

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Presentation on theme: "Most Probable Landfall"— Presentation transcript:

1 Most Probable Landfall
Hurricane Wilma Wind Distribution Landfall Has Occurred For Official Use Only! Most Probable Landfall Wind Distribution This model is based on a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. Hurricane Wilma Wind Fields Information provided on this page displays a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 10/24/2005) forecast. Details about this model may be obtained at or contact ENGLink at Generated By: LaDue and Siemsen, LRL EDT 10/24/2005 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Page 1 of 15

2 Most Probable Landfall Debris Model Results
Hurricane Wilma Debris Model Landfall Has Occurred For Official Use Only! Most Probable Landfall Debris Model Results Florida – 4,833,000 yd3 Model results per county on following page This model is based on a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. Hurricane Wilma Debris Model Information provided on this page displays a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 10/24/2005) forecast. The amount of debris forecasted is possible total volume, not necessarily the volume that may need to be removed with Federal funds. Details about this model may be obtained at or contact ENGLink at Generated By: LaDue and Siemsen, LRL EDT 10/24/2005 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Page 2 of 15

3 Hurricane Wilma Debris Model
Landfall Has Occurred For Official Use Only! Hurricane Wilma Debris Model The amount of debris forecasted is possible total volume, not necessarily the volume that may need to be removed with Federal funds. Details about this model may be obtained at or contact ENGLink at Generated By: LaDue and Siemsen, LRL EDT 10/24/2005 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Page 3 of 15

4 Most Probable Landfall
Hurricane Wilma Ice Model Landfall Has Occurred For Official Use Only! Most Probable Landfall Ice Model Results Florida – 50 Truckloads Day One 100 Truckloads Day Two 148 Truckloads Day Three Model results per county on following page This model is based on a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. Hurricane Wilma Ice Model Information provided on this page displays a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 10/24/2005) forecast. The amount of ice forecasted is based on Mission Guide Book requirements (8 pounds per day per person) and Ice SME input and represents a first day daily need. Details about this model may be obtained at or contact ENGLink at Generated By: LaDue and Siemsen, LRL EDT 10/24/2005 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Page 4 of 15

5 Hurricane Wilma Ice Model
Landfall Has Occurred For Official Use Only! Hurricane Wilma Ice Model The amount of ice forecasted is based on Mission Guide Book requirements (8 pounds per person) and Ice SME input and represents a first day daily need. The assumption in this scenario is that 40% of the resident population affected by Wilma will have power outage in this area will cause a need for ice. Details about this model may be obtained at or contact ENGLink at Generated By: LaDue and Siemsen, LRL EDT 10/24/2005 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Page 5 of 15

6 Most Probable Landfall
Hurricane Wilma Water Model Landfall Has Occurred For Official Use Only! Most Probable Landfall Water Model Results Florida – 50 Truckloads Day One 100 Truckloads Day Two 148 Truckloads Day Three Model results per county on following page This model is based on a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. Information provided on this page displays a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 10/24/2005) forecast. The amount of water forecasted is based on Mission Guide Book requirements (3 liters per person per day) and Water SME input and represents a first day daily need. Details about this model may be obtained at or contact ENGLink at Hurricane Wilma Water Model Generated By: LaDue and Siemsen, LRL EDT 10/24/2005 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Page 6 of 15

7 Hurricane Wilma Water Model
Landfall Has Occurred For Official Use Only! Hurricane Wilma Water Model The amount of water forecasted is based on Mission Guide Book requirements (3 liters per person) and Water SME input and represents a first day daily need. The assumption in this scenario is that 40% of the resident population affected by Wilma will have power outage in this area will cause a need for water. Details about this model may be obtained at or contact ENGLink at Generated By: LaDue and Siemsen, LRL EDT 10/24/2005 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Page 7 of 15

8 Most Probable Landfall Population Model Results
Hurricane Wilma Population Model Landfall Has Occurred For Official Use Only! Most Probable Landfall Population Model Results Florida – 1,801,000 persons Model results per county on following page This model is based on a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. Hurricane Wilma Population Model Information provided on this page displays a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 10/24/2005) forecast. The number of persons included in this model output are those that would be included within estimated hurricane force winds (Census 2000 values). Details about this model may be obtained at or contact ENGLink at Generated By: LaDue and Siemsen, LRL EDT 10/24/2005 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Page 8 of 15

9 Hurricane Wilma Population Model
Landfall Has Occurred For Official Use Only! Hurricane Wilma Population Model The number of persons estimated to be within hurricane force winds comes from Census 2000 values. Details about this model may be obtained at or contact ENGLink at Generated By: LaDue and Siemsen, LRL EDT 10/24/2005 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Page 9 of 15

10 Most Probable Landfall Households Model Results
Hurricane Wilma Households Model Landfall Has Occurred For Official Use Only! Most Probable Landfall Households Model Results Florida – 709,000 households Model results per county on following page This model is based on a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. Information provided on this page displays a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 10/24/2005) forecast. The number of households included in this model output are those that would be included within estimated hurricane force winds (Census 2000 values). Details about this model may be obtained at or contact ENGLink at Hurricane Wilma Households Model Generated By: LaDue and Siemsen, LRL EDT 10/24/2005 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Page 10 of 15

11 Hurricane Wilma Households Model
Landfall Has Occurred For Official Use Only! Hurricane Wilma Households Model The number of households estimated to be within hurricane force winds comes from Census 2000 values. Details about this model may be obtained at or contact ENGLink at Generated By: LaDue and Siemsen, LRL EDT 10/24/2005 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Page 11 of 15

12 Most Probable Landfall Temporary Roofing Model Results
Hurricane Wilma Temporary Roofing Model Results Landfall Has Occurred For Official Use Only! Most Probable Landfall Temporary Roofing Model Results Florida – 17,100 Model results per county on following page This model is based on a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. Information provided on this page displays a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 10/24/2005) forecast. The amount of temporary roofing that may be required is based on 2% of housing units damaged in CAT 1 wind areas, 4% of housing units damaged in CAT 2 wind areas and 8% of housing units damaged in CAT 3 wind areas. This only indicates possible need – not necessarily a mission to repair roofs. Details about this model may be obtained at or contact ENGLink at Hurricane Wilma Roofing Model Generated By: LaDue and Siemsen, LRL EDT 10/24/2005 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Page 12 of 15

13 Temporary Roofing Model Results
Hurricane Wilma Temporary Roofing Model Results Landfall Has Occurred For Official Use Only! THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL MODEL !! THE VALUES ARE PRELIMINARY AND SHOULD BE CONSIDERED A GUIDE BUT NOT AN ABSOLUTE VALUE !! The amount of temporary roofing that may be required is based on 2% of housing units damaged in CAT 1 wind areas, 4% of housing units damaged in CAT 2 wind areas and 8% of housing units damaged in CAT 3 wind areas. This only indicates possible need – not necessarily a mission to repair roofs. Details about this model may be obtained at or contact ENGLink at Hurricane Wilma Roofing Model Generated By: LaDue and Siemsen, LRL EDT 10/24/2005 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Page 13 of 15

14 Most Probable Landfall Temporary Housing Model Results
Hurricane Wilma Temporary Housing Model Results Landfall Has Occurred For Official Use Only! Most Probable Landfall Temporary Housing Model Results Florida – 3,200 Model results per county on following page This model is based on a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. Information provided on this page displays a Category 3 storm making landfall south of Naples, FL. These projections are based on information from the NHC (0500 EDT 10/24/2005) forecast The amount of temporary housing that may be required is based on no housing need in CAT 1 wind area, 2% of housing units requiring temporary replacement in CAT 2 wind areas and 4% of housing units requiring replacements in Cat 3. Details about this model may be obtained at or contact ENGLink at Hurricane Wilma Housing Model Generated By: LaDue and Siemsen, LR EDT 10/24/2005 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Page 14 of 15

15 Temporary Housing Model Results
Hurricane Wilma Temporary Housing Model Results Landfall Has Occurred For Official Use Only! THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL MODEL !! THE VALUES ARE PRELIMINARY AND SHOULD BE CONSIDERED A GUIDE BUT NOT AN ABSOLUTE VALUE !! The amount of temporary housing that may be required is based on no housing need in CAT 1 wind areas, 2% of housing units requiring replacement in CAT 2 wind areas and 4% of housing units requiring replacement in CAT 3 wind areas. Details about this model may be obtained at or contact ENGLink at Hurricane Wilma Housing Model Generated By: LaDue and Siemsen, LRL EDT 10/24/2005 Sources: HURREVAC LRL-DEBRIS Page 15 of 15


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